Queens Park Rangers FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2024-25

Queens Park Rangers FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Luton Town FC

Mon 6 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Loftus Road 14,025 HT 45' · FT 45'

Michael Frey 24' 1–0

1–1 45+2' Mark McGuinness

Morgan Fox 62' 2–1

Jonathan Varane 49' Y

Y 56' Tahith Chong

Overview

Match Preview

Queens Park Rangers FC vs Luton Town FC — Championship at Loftus Road.

Queens Park Rangers FC 15 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
Luton Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Andy Davies (England)
Assistant 1 Graham Kane
Assistant 2

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Birmingham City FC	15	29
2	Middlesbrough FC	15	29
3	Stoke City FC	15	29
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	15	28
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	15	28
6	Swansea City AFC	15	26
7	Southampton FC	15	24
8	Queens Park Rangers FC	15	24
9	West Ham United FC	15	23
10	Sheffield United FC	15	22
11	Portsmouth FC	15	22
12	Norwich City FC	15	21
13	Blackburn Rovers FC	15	21
14	Cardiff City FC	15	18
15	Wrexham AFC	15	18
16	Millwall FC	15	18
17	Bristol City FC	15	18
18	Bolton Wanderers FC	15	17
19	Charlton Athletic FC	15	17
20	Watford FC	15	15
21	Lincoln City FC	15	15
22	Burnley FC	15	10
23	Derby County FC	15	10
24	Preston North End FC	15	8

Head-to-Head

Queens Park Rangers FC 10 games · Avg 3.1 goals Luton Town FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-06 Queens Park Rangers FC 2–1 Luton Town FC 2024-08-30 Luton Town FC 1–2 Queens Park Rangers FC 2022-12-29 Queens Park Rangers FC 0–3 Luton Town FC 2022-10-15 Luton Town FC 3–1 Queens Park Rangers FC 2022-03-13 Luton Town FC 1–2 Queens Park Rangers FC

Recent Form

Queens Park Rangers FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Jan	Luton Town FC	H	2–1	W
01 Jan	Watford FC	H	3–1	W
29 Dec	Norwich City FC	A	1–1	D
26 Dec	Swansea City AFC	A	0–3	L
21 Dec	Preston North End FC	H	2–1	W
14 Dec	Bristol City FC	A	1–1	D

Luton Town FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Jan	Queens Park Rangers FC	A	1–2	L
01 Jan	Norwich City FC	H	0–1	L
29 Dec	Swansea City AFC	A	1–2	L
26 Dec	Bristol City FC	A	0–1	L
20 Dec	Derby County FC	H	2–1	W
14 Dec	Blackburn Rovers FC	A	0–2	L

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
Queens Park Rangers FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Queens Park Rangers FC

0-15

4/3

16-30

3/4

31-45

6/2

46-60

2/3

61-75

5/3

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Queens Park Rangers FC

Richard Kone	5 G	1 A
Paul Smyth	3 G	1 A
Jimmy Dunne	3 G
Ilias Chair	2 G	1 A
Rumarn Burrell	2 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at Loftus Road. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Queens Park Rangers FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
20' Queens Park Rangers FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
24' Goal! Michael Frey scores his 59 goal in 198 matches.
29' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
34' Both keepers have barely been tested. Queens Park Rangers FC and Luton Town FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
39' It looks surprising Queens Park Rangers FC does not make any changes. Thomas Kaminski has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
44' Over 44 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
47' A stunning finish from Mark McGuinness — that came from absolutely nowhere!
49' The referee has no hesitation. Jonathan Varane is booked for Queens Park Rangers FC — card on 49.
54' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
56' Luton Town FC player sees a card in front of him.
61' Paul Smyth makes way for Koki Saito at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from Queens Park Rangers FC.
62' GOAL! Morgan Fox scores on 62. Assisted by Ilias Chair
67' Luton Town FC is showing some good football. However, Luton Town FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
69' Jack Colback is replacing Harrison Ashby for the Queens Park Rangers FC side.
74' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Queens Park Rangers FC that had 390 games and scored 417 goals.
75' Time for substitution for Luton Town FC. Marvelous Nakamba is replaced by Elijah Adebayo.
77' Fresh legs for Luton Town FC! Jacob Brown comes on to replace Zack Nelson.
82' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
85' Luton Town FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Cauley Woodrow is hanging Lamine Dabo on the field on 85 minute.
86' The whistle greets Reuell Walters as he departs to be replaced by Jordan Clark.
88' Another change for Queens Park Rangers FC made on 88 minute. Kieran Morgan leaves to be changed by Jake Clarke-Salter.
The referee brings this contest to a close. Queens Park Rangers FC take all three points.

Lineups

Queens Park Rangers FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

3
Jimmy Dunne
12
Michael Frey ↓ Alfie Lloyd 69'
8
Sam Field
15
Morgan Fox
10
Ilias Chair
11
Paul Smyth ↓ Koki Saito 61'
22
Kenneth Paal
1
Paul Nardi
20
Harrison Ashby ↓ Jack Colback 69'
40
Jonathan Varane ↓ Ronnie Edwards 61'
21
Kieran Morgan ↓ Jake Clarke-Salter 88'

Bench

4
Jack Colback ↑ 69'
6
Jake Clarke-Salter ↑ 88'
24
Nicolas Madsen
13
Joe Walsh
19
Elijah Dixon-Bonner
17
Ronnie Edwards ↑ 61'
14
Koki Saito ↑ 61'
28
Alfie Lloyd ↑ 69'
26
Rayan Kolli

Luton Town FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

20
Liam Walsh
29
Tom Holmes ↓ Daiki Hashioka 85'
13
Marvelous Nakamba ↓ Elijah Adebayo 75'
3
Amari'i Bell
9
Carlton Morris
24
Thomas Kaminski
14
Tahith Chong
6
Mark McGuinness
2
Reuell Walters ↓ Jordan Clark 86'
22
Lamine Dabo ↓ Cauley Woodrow 85'
37
Zack Nelson ↓ Jacob Brown 77'

Bench

10
Cauley Woodrow ↑ 85'
19
Jacob Brown ↑ 77'
23
Tim Krul
18
Jordan Clark ↑ 86'
11
Elijah Adebayo ↑ 75'
27
Daiki Hashioka ↑ 85'
8
Tom Krauss
5
Mads Juel Andersen
17
Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Charlie Austin	3
Nahki Wells	2
James Collins	2
Cameron Jerome	2
Carlton Morris	2
Michael Frey	2
Andre Gray	1
Morgan Fox	1

Head to Head

Queens Park Rangers FC Form

2025-01-06 Queens Park Rangers FC 2–1 Luton Town FC W 2025-01-01 Queens Park Rangers FC 3–1 Watford FC W 2024-12-29 Norwich City FC 1–1 Queens Park Rangers FC D 2024-12-26 Swansea City AFC 3–0 Queens Park Rangers FC L 2024-12-21 Queens Park Rangers FC 2–1 Preston North End FC W 2024-12-14 Bristol City FC 1–1 Queens Park Rangers FC D

Luton Town FC Form

2025-01-06 Queens Park Rangers FC 2–1 Luton Town FC L 2025-01-01 Luton Town FC 0–1 Norwich City FC L 2024-12-29 Swansea City AFC 2–1 Luton Town FC L 2024-12-26 Bristol City FC 1–0 Luton Town FC L 2024-12-20 Luton Town FC 2–1 Derby County FC W 2024-12-14 Blackburn Rovers FC 2–0 Luton Town FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.59 Queens Park Rangers FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.15 Luton Town FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Queens Park Rangers FC51% Draw25% Luton Town FC24%

Actual: Queens Park Rangers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.74

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Queens Park Rangers FC or Draw

76%

Draw or Luton Town FC

49%

Queens Park Rangers FC or Luton Town FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Queens Park Rangers FC33% Draw46% Luton Town FC21%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.7%

1 – 0

9.4%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

8.4%

2 – 0

1 – 2

6.5%

0 – 1

6.5%

2 – 2

5.2%

3 – 1

4.8%

3 – 0

4.2%

0 – 2

4.2%

3 – 2

2.8%

Asian Handicap — Queens Park Rangers FC

Handicap	Queens Park Rangers FC covers	Push	Luton Town FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	14%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	22%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	15%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Queens Park Rangers FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.