Portugal vs Wales, 2017
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Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history -
Events
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Lineups
Portugal Lineups
Wales Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Cristiano Ronaldo 1 Nani 1 Cristiano Ronaldo 1 Nani 1 Head to Head
Portugal Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy3 / 41.62 Portugal xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.18 Wales xGI would bet for: Both teams to score 56%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Portugal winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 2.8Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 92% 8% ± 1.5 77% 23% ± 2.5 52% 48% ± 3.5 31% 69% ± 4.5 16% 84% Double Chance
Portugal or Draw 73%Draw or Wales 53%Portugal or Wales 73%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Portugal win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 12.5%2 – 1 9.1%1 – 0 8.9%0 – 0 7.9%2 – 0 7.8%1 – 2 6.6%0 – 1 6.2%2 – 2 5.4%3 – 1 Actual0 – 2 4.2%3 – 0 4.1%3 – 2 3%Asian Handicap — Portugal
Handicap Portugal covers Push Wales covers -2.5 10% — 90% -2 10% 14% 75% -1.5 25% — 75% -1 25% 22% 54% -0.5 46% — 54% +0.5 73% — 27% +1 73% 15% 11% +1.5 89% — 11% +2 89% 8% 4% +2.5 96% — 4% Clean Sheet
Portugal keeps clean sheet 31% ✓Wales keeps clean sheet 21% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.