Portugal vs Wales, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Portugal Lineups
Wales Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 1 |
| Nani | 1 |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 1 |
| Nani | 1 |
Head to Head
Portugal Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.62
Portugal xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18
Wales xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Portugal win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Portugal or Draw
73%
Draw or Wales
53%
Portugal or Wales
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Portugal win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
7.9%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — Portugal
| Handicap | Portugal covers | Push | Wales covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 22% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 15% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Portugal keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Wales keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.