Wales vs Sweden, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Wales Lineups
Sweden Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Wales Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.66
Wales xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1
Sweden xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 69% + Wales to win 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Wales win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.66
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
Wales or Draw
86%
Draw or Sweden
33%
Wales or Sweden
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Wales win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
2 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
8.9%
3 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
7.8%
1 – 1
7.6%
1 – 0
6.7%
4 – 0
5.2%
4 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 0
3.8%
1 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Wales
| Handicap | Wales covers | Push | Sweden covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -2 | 30% | 20% | 49% |
| -1.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| -1 | 51% | 21% | 29% |
| -0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Wales keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Sweden keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.