Portugal vs Iceland, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Portugal Lineups
Iceland Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nani | 1 |
| Birkir Bjarnason | 1 |
| Nani | 1 |
| Birkir Bjarnason | 1 |
Head to Head
Portugal Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1
Portugal xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
Iceland xG
I would bet for:
Iceland or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Iceland win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Portugal or Draw
60%
Draw or Iceland
71%
Portugal or Iceland
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.1%
1 – 2
7.6%
0 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
3%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Portugal
| Handicap | Portugal covers | Push | Iceland covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 18% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 22% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Portugal keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Iceland keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.