Wales vs Portugal, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Wales Lineups
Portugal Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 1 |
| Nani | 1 |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 1 |
| Nani | 1 |
Head to Head
Wales Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
1.64
Wales xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84
Portugal xG
I would bet for:
Wales to win 58% + Under 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Wales win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Wales or Draw
83%
Draw or Portugal
42%
Wales or Portugal
75%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.8%
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
6%
3 – 0
5.9%
3 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Wales
| Handicap | Wales covers | Push | Portugal covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 17% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 25% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Wales keeps clean sheet
44%
✗
Portugal keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.