Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC — MLS at Providence Park.
- Portland Timbers 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Minnesota United FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Ismail Elfath
- Referee Corey Parker
- Referee Kyle Atkins
- Referee Joe Dickerson
- Referee Edvin Jurisevic
14 games this season
🟨 2.1/game
⚽ 6.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Minnesota United FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Oct | Real Salt Lake | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Oct | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Sep | Sporting Kansas City | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Sep | New England Revolution | H | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Sep | Minnesota United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Portland Timbers | A | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Oct | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Sep | Los Angeles FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | Sporting Kansas City | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Sep | Portland Timbers | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Portland Timbers | Minnesota United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #22 | Position | #25 |
| 46 | Points | 44 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 13 / 7 / 14 | W / D / L | 11 / 11 / 12 |
| 62 | Scored | 56 |
| 61 | Conceded | 58 |
| +1 | GD | -2 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.29 |
| 38% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
65%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
9%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
21%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
Portland Timbers are 22nd (46 pts). Minnesota United FC are 25th (44 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portland Timbers
0-15
7/10
16-30
8/10
31-45
9/9
46-60
6/5
61-75
10/4
76+
12/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Minnesota United FC
0-15
4/9
16-30
5/10
31-45
7/5
46-60
8/5
61-75
9/5
76+
11/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Portland Timbers
| Kristoffer Velde | 12 G | 6 A |
| Ariel Lassiter | 9 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Kelsy | 9 G | 2 A |
Minnesota United FC
| Kelvin Yeboah | 18 G | 4 A |
| Anthony Markanich | 9 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Portland Timbers host Minnesota United FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Giovanni Savarese might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Portland Timbers and Minnesota United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 15' Aaron Schoenfeld has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 20' A quiet spell here at Providence Park. Portland Timbers seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Hassani Dotson suffering a number of foals already.
- 30' Portland Timbers currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 31' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Osvaldo Alonso.
- 36' Minnesota United FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 38' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Romain Metanire.
- 43' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Cristhian Paredes.
- 48' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Osvaldo Alonso made 305 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 51' GOAL! Kevin Molino scores on 51.
- 56' Diego Valeri makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Portland Timbers are in front.
- 61' A moment of madness from Diego Valeri on 61 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Portland Timbers will be frustrated.
- 66' Both keepers have barely been tested. Portland Timbers and Minnesota United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 69' A tactical swap from Portland Timbers — Dairon Asprilla on, Yimmi Chara off on 69 minutes.
- 71' Diego Chara was booked on 71.
- 76' Luis Amarilla does the damage! The net is bulging and Minnesota United FC surge ahead!
- 78' Kevin Molino has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 78 minutes.
- 81' A tactical swap from Minnesota United FC — Hassani Dotson on, Kevin Molino off on 81 minutes.
- 83' Cristhian Paredes makes way for Jeremy Ebobisse at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from Portland Timbers.
- 87' The Minnesota United FC manager makes a substitution. Luis Amarilla departs to be replaced by Aaron Schoenfeld.
- 89' Eryk Williamson gets the nod from Portland Timbers. He replaces Jorge Moreira and will look to change the dynamic.
- Minnesota United FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Portland Timbers Lineups
Starting XI
-
23
Yimmi Chara ↓ Dairon Asprilla 69'
- 4
- 21
- 8
- 33
- 22
- 12
- 10
-
2
Jorge Moreira ↓ Eryk Williamson 89'
- 13
- 9
Bench
- 18
-
27
Dairon Asprilla ↑ 69'
- 32
-
30
Eryk Williamson ↑ 89'
-
17
Jeremy Ebobisse ↑ 83'
- 15
- 31
Coach
Giovanni Savarese
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 17
- 3
- 1
- 6
- 15
- 13
-
7
Kevin Molino ↓ Hassani Dotson 81'
- 9
- 8
- 77
Bench
- 44
- 94
- 23
- 4
-
12
Aaron Schoenfeld ↑ 87'
-
31
Hassani Dotson ↑ 81'
- 97
Coach
Adrian Heath
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sebastian Blanco | 4 |
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | 4 |
| Robin Lod | 3 |
| Vincent Janssen | 3 |
| Luis Amarilla | 3 |
| Marcus Caldeira | 2 |
| Emanuel Reynoso | 2 |
| Alvas Powell | 2 |
Head to Head
Portland Timbers Form
2020-03-02
Portland Timbers
1–3
Minnesota United FC
L
2019-10-20
Real Salt Lake
2–1
Portland Timbers
L
2019-10-06
Portland Timbers
3–1
San Jose Earthquakes
W
2019-09-29
Sporting Kansas City
2–2
Portland Timbers
D
2019-09-26
Portland Timbers
2–2
New England Revolution
D
2019-09-22
Portland Timbers
0–0
Minnesota United FC
D
Minnesota United FC Form
2020-03-02
Portland Timbers
1–3
Minnesota United FC
W
2019-10-21
Minnesota United FC
1–2
Los Angeles Galaxy
L
2019-10-06
Seattle Sounders FC
1–0
Minnesota United FC
L
2019-09-29
Minnesota United FC
1–1
Los Angeles FC
D
2019-09-26
Minnesota United FC
2–1
Sporting Kansas City
W
2019-09-22
Portland Timbers
0–0
Minnesota United FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.72
Portland Timbers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73
Minnesota United FC xG
I would bet for:
Portland Timbers or Minnesota United FC 74% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Minnesota United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.45
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
Portland Timbers or Draw
62%
Draw or Minnesota United FC
64%
Portland Timbers or Minnesota United FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 2
6.7%
0 – 1
4.9%
1 – 0
4.8%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 0
4.7%
0 – 0
4.6%
1 – 3
Actual
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 3
3.9%
Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers
| Handicap | Portland Timbers covers | Push | Minnesota United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 11% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 18% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 18% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

