Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC — MLS at Providence Park.
- Portland Timbers 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
- Minnesota United FC 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Ismail Elfath
- Referee Corey Parker
- Referee Kyle Atkins
- Referee Joe Dickerson
- Referee Edvin Jurisevic
12 games this season
🟨 2.1/game
⚽ 6.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Minnesota United FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Oct | Real Salt Lake | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Oct | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Sep | Sporting Kansas City | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Sep | New England Revolution | H | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Sep | Minnesota United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Portland Timbers | A | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Oct | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Sep | Los Angeles FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | Sporting Kansas City | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Sep | Portland Timbers | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Portland Timbers | Minnesota United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #23 | Position | #25 |
| 24 | Points | 24 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 3 / 8 | W / D / L | 6 / 6 / 6 |
| 33 | Scored | 20 |
| 33 | Conceded | 25 |
| +0 | GD | -5 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 39% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
6%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
32%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
Portland Timbers are 23rd (24 pts). Minnesota United FC are 25th (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portland Timbers
0-15
2/5
16-30
4/5
31-45
4/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/–
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Minnesota United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Portland Timbers
| Kevin Kelsy | 8 G | 2 A |
Minnesota United FC
| Kelvin Yeboah | 8 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Portland Timbers welcome Minnesota United FC for this crunch clash at Providence Park.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Portland Timbers is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' Portland Timbers currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 20' Cristhian Paredes has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 37 cards already picked up this season.
- 25' Portland Timbers is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 30' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Portland Timbers and Minnesota United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 31' That is a Yellow card for Minnesota United FC. Osvaldo Alonso will be fuming at that decision.
- 36' USA international Ethan Finlay has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 38' Romain Metanire has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 38.
- 43' Portland Timbers receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 43.
- 48' With 0 assists to his name this season, Chase Gasper is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Portland Timbers.
- 51' The Trinidad & Tobago Kevin Molino breaks the deadlock on 51 minutes. 0-1!
- 56' The Argentina Diego Valeri breaks the deadlock on 56 minutes. 1-1!
- 61' It’s a booking for Portland Timbers player. Diego Valeri gets a Yellow card.
- 66' Jan Gregus is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Minnesota United FC so far.
- 69' The crowd applauds Yimmi Chara as he leaves the pitch. Dairon Asprilla steps in for Portland Timbers.
- 71' Diego Chara is having his name booked by the referee on 71.
- 76' What composure from Luis Amarilla! The Paraguay international strokes it home. 1-2.
- 78' Kevin Molino has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 78 minutes.
- 81' Minnesota United FC make a change. Kevin Molino trudges off to be replaced by Hassani Dotson on 81 minutes.
- 83' The crowd applauds Cristhian Paredes as he leaves the pitch. Jeremy Ebobisse steps in for Portland Timbers.
- 87' It is a substitution in Minnesota United FC team. Luis Amarilla is replaced by Aaron Schoenfeld on 87 minute.
- 89' A tactical swap from Portland Timbers — Eryk Williamson on, Jorge Moreira off on 89 minutes.
- It finishes all square. Portland Timbers and Minnesota United FC share the spoils 1-3.
Lineups
Portland Timbers Lineups
Starting XI
-
23
Yimmi Chara ↓ Dairon Asprilla 69'
- 4
- 21
- 8
- 33
- 22
- 12
- 10
-
2
Jorge Moreira ↓ Eryk Williamson 89'
- 13
- 9
Bench
- 18
-
27
Dairon Asprilla ↑ 69'
- 32
-
30
Eryk Williamson ↑ 89'
-
17
Jeremy Ebobisse ↑ 83'
- 15
- 31
Coach
Giovanni Savarese
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 17
- 3
- 1
- 6
- 15
- 13
-
7
Kevin Molino ↓ Hassani Dotson 81'
- 9
- 8
- 77
Bench
- 44
- 94
- 23
- 4
-
12
Aaron Schoenfeld ↑ 87'
-
31
Hassani Dotson ↑ 81'
- 97
Coach
Adrian Heath
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sebastian Blanco | 4 |
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | 4 |
| Luis Amarilla | 3 |
| Robin Lod | 3 |
| Alvas Powell | 2 |
| Diego Valeri | 2 |
| Romario Ibarra | 2 |
| Alvas Powell | 2 |
Head to Head
Portland Timbers Form
2020-03-02
Portland Timbers
1–3
Minnesota United FC
L
2019-10-20
Real Salt Lake
2–1
Portland Timbers
L
2019-10-06
Portland Timbers
3–1
San Jose Earthquakes
W
2019-09-29
Sporting Kansas City
2–2
Portland Timbers
D
2019-09-26
Portland Timbers
2–2
New England Revolution
D
2019-09-22
Portland Timbers
0–0
Minnesota United FC
D
Minnesota United FC Form
2020-03-02
Portland Timbers
1–3
Minnesota United FC
W
2019-10-21
Minnesota United FC
1–2
Los Angeles Galaxy
L
2019-10-06
Seattle Sounders FC
1–0
Minnesota United FC
L
2019-09-29
Minnesota United FC
1–1
Los Angeles FC
D
2019-09-26
Minnesota United FC
2–1
Sporting Kansas City
W
2019-09-22
Portland Timbers
0–0
Minnesota United FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.53
Portland Timbers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46
Minnesota United FC xG
I would bet for:
Portland Timbers or Minnesota United FC 73% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Minnesota United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Portland Timbers or Draw
64%
Draw or Minnesota United FC
63%
Portland Timbers or Minnesota United FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.9%
1 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
6.8%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.8%
0 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
Actual
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers
| Handicap | Portland Timbers covers | Push | Minnesota United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 11% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 19% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 18% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

