Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC — MLS at Providence Park.
- Portland Timbers 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
- Minnesota United FC 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Ismail Elfath
- Referee Corey Parker
- Referee Kyle Atkins
- Referee Joe Dickerson
- Referee Edvin Jurisevic
10 games this season
🟨 2.0/game
⚽ 5.9 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Minnesota United FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Oct | Real Salt Lake | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Oct | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Sep | Sporting Kansas City | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Sep | New England Revolution | H | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Sep | Minnesota United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Portland Timbers | A | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Oct | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Sep | Los Angeles FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | Sporting Kansas City | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Sep | Portland Timbers | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Portland Timbers | Minnesota United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #28 | Position | #23 |
| 14 | Points | 22 |
| 14 | Played | 15 |
| 4 / 2 / 8 | W / D / L | 6 / 4 / 5 |
| 22 | Scored | 18 |
| 28 | Conceded | 22 |
| -6 | GD | -4 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.47 |
| 29% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
Portland Timbers are 28th (14 pts). Minnesota United FC are 23rd (22 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portland Timbers
0-15
2/5
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Minnesota United FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Providence Park!
- 5' Dario Zuparic has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Portland Timbers must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 15' Diego Valeri has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Minnesota United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Robin Lod, as he is very good at scoring at Providence Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 30' Romain Metanire needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 14 Yellow cards this season.
- 31' A meaty challenge results in booking for Osvaldo Alonso on 31.
- 36' The travelling Minnesota United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 38' Minnesota United FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 38.
- 43' That is a Yellow card for Portland Timbers. Cristhian Paredes will be fuming at that decision.
- 48' Jan Gregus has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 51' What a moment for Kevin Molino! That strike on 51 puts his side firmly in control.
- 56' The Argentina Diego Valeri breaks the deadlock on 56 minutes. 1-1!
- 61' That is a Yellow card for Portland Timbers. Diego Valeri will be fuming at that decision.
- 66' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Minnesota United FC winning 100% of all matches.
- 69' Another substitution for Portland Timbers to replace Yimmi Chara by Dairon Asprilla on 69 minute.
- 71' Diego Chara picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 76' Luis Amarilla is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 78' The Trinidad & Tobago Kevin Molino breaks the deadlock on 78 minutes. 1-3!
- 81' Fresh legs for Minnesota United FC! Hassani Dotson comes on to replace Kevin Molino.
- 83' Jeremy Ebobisse is replacing Cristhian Paredes for the Portland Timbers side.
- 87' Another change for Minnesota United FC made on 87 minute. Luis Amarilla leaves to be changed by Aaron Schoenfeld.
- 89' The whistle greets Jorge Moreira as he departs to be replaced by Eryk Williamson.
- 1-3 the final result. Portland Timbers will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Portland Timbers Lineups
Starting XI
-
23
Yimmi Chara ↓ Dairon Asprilla 69'
- 4
- 21
- 8
- 33
- 22
- 12
- 10
-
2
Jorge Moreira ↓ Eryk Williamson 89'
- 13
- 9
Bench
- 18
-
27
Dairon Asprilla ↑ 69'
- 32
-
30
Eryk Williamson ↑ 89'
-
17
Jeremy Ebobisse ↑ 83'
- 15
- 31
Coach
Giovanni Savarese
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 17
- 3
- 1
- 6
- 15
- 13
-
7
Kevin Molino ↓ Hassani Dotson 81'
- 9
- 8
- 77
Bench
- 44
- 94
- 23
- 4
-
12
Aaron Schoenfeld ↑ 87'
-
31
Hassani Dotson ↑ 81'
- 97
Coach
Adrian Heath
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sebastian Blanco | 4 |
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | 4 |
| Luis Amarilla | 3 |
| Robin Lod | 3 |
| Alvas Powell | 2 |
| Jaroslaw Niezgoda | 2 |
| Kevin Molino | 2 |
| Emanuel Reynoso | 2 |
Head to Head
Portland Timbers Form
2020-03-02
Portland Timbers
1–3
Minnesota United FC
L
2019-10-20
Real Salt Lake
2–1
Portland Timbers
L
2019-10-06
Portland Timbers
3–1
San Jose Earthquakes
W
2019-09-29
Sporting Kansas City
2–2
Portland Timbers
D
2019-09-26
Portland Timbers
2–2
New England Revolution
D
2019-09-22
Portland Timbers
0–0
Minnesota United FC
D
Minnesota United FC Form
2020-03-02
Portland Timbers
1–3
Minnesota United FC
W
2019-10-21
Minnesota United FC
1–2
Los Angeles Galaxy
L
2019-10-06
Seattle Sounders FC
1–0
Minnesota United FC
L
2019-09-29
Minnesota United FC
1–1
Los Angeles FC
D
2019-09-26
Minnesota United FC
2–1
Sporting Kansas City
W
2019-09-22
Portland Timbers
0–0
Minnesota United FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.42
Portland Timbers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55
Minnesota United FC xG
I would bet for:
Portland Timbers or Minnesota United FC 72% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Minnesota United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Portland Timbers or Draw
61%
Draw or Minnesota United FC
66%
Portland Timbers or Minnesota United FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 1
7.1%
0 – 0
6.9%
1 – 0
6.4%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
Actual
3 – 1
3.6%
2 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers
| Handicap | Portland Timbers covers | Push | Minnesota United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 18% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 19% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

