Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
- Atlanta United FC 18 games · 12 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Sibiga
- Referee Eric Weisbrod
- Referee Edvin Jurisevic
- Referee Elvis Osmanovic
- Referee Gjovalin Bori
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Mar | Nashville SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Oct | Toronto FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | New England Revolution | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Oct | New England Revolution | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–3 | L |
| 06 Oct | D.C. United SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Sep | Orlando City SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Sep | Chicago Fire FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Sep | Atlanta United FC | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Atlanta United FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #6 |
| 12 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 3 / 3 / 12 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 6 |
| 19 | Scored | 45 |
| 33 | Conceded | 44 |
| -14 | GD | +1 |
| 0.67 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 17% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Atlanta United FC are 15th (12 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/6
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 5 G | 2 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati — let the football do the talking.
- 4' The referee has no hesitation. Kendall Waston is booked for FC Cincinnati — Yellow card on 4.
- 9' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 14' The energy levels are beginning to show. Yoann Damet might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 19' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 21' Goal! Ezequiel Barco scores his 44 goal in 287 matches.
- 26' France international Mathieu Deplagne has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 31' Both keepers have barely been tested. Atlanta United FC and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 34' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Greg Garza.
- 39' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Atlanta United FC and FC Cincinnati are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 44' The whistle greets Laurence Wyke as he departs to be replaced by George Campbell.
- 49' Atlanta United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 53' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Frankie Amaya.
- 55' Emerson Hyndman adds to his 0 season tally! Atlanta United FC lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 60' Fernando Meza has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 61' The whistle greets Joe Gyau as he departs to be replaced by Adrien Regattin.
- 64' Yuya Kubo doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 67' Matheus Rossetto gets the nod from Atlanta United FC. He replaces Gonzalo Martinez and will look to change the dynamic.
- 72' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 72.
- 75' Matheus Rossetto was booked on 75.
- 80' Atlanta United FC make a change. Jake Mulraney trudges off to be replaced by Jeff Larentowicz on 80 minutes.
- 85' Anton Walkes is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
- 89' Controversy at the stadium! Allan Cruz argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FC Cincinnati.
Lineups
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 11
- 10
- 23
- 20
- 5
- 8
- 1
- 14
- 6
-
27
Laurence Wyke ↓ George Campbell 44'
Bench
-
9
Matheus Rossetto ↑ 67'
-
18
Jeff Larentowicz ↑ 80'
- 25
- 21
- 29
- 22
-
32
George Campbell ↑ 44'
Coach
Frank de Boer
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 17
- 7
-
36
Joe Gyau ↓ Adrien Regattin 61'
- 6
- 2
- 8
-
4
Greg Garza ↓ Andrew Gutman 80'
- 18
-
24
Frankie Amaya ↓ Brandon Vazquez 80'
Bench
- 33
- 22
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↑ 80'
-
9
Adrien Regattin ↑ 61'
- 27
-
96
Andrew Gutman ↑ 80'
- 3
Coach
Yoann Damet
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josef Martinez | 6 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Georgios Giakoumakis | 2 |
| Evander | 2 |
| Thiago Almada | 2 |
| Ezequiel Barco | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Marcelino Moreno | 1 |
Head to Head
Atlanta United FC Form
2020-03-08
Atlanta United FC
2–1
FC Cincinnati
W
2020-03-01
Nashville SC
1–2
Atlanta United FC
W
2019-10-31
Toronto FC
1–2
Atlanta United FC
W
2019-10-25
Atlanta United FC
2–0
Philadelphia Union
W
2019-10-19
Atlanta United FC
1–0
New England Revolution
W
2019-10-06
Atlanta United FC
3–1
New England Revolution
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.85
Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 69% + Over 2.5 goals 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atlanta United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.61
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
Atlanta United FC or Draw
71%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
52%
Atlanta United FC or FC Cincinnati
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Atlanta United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 2
6.8%
3 – 1
4.8%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 0
4.4%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
4.2%
0 – 0
4%
Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC
| Handicap | Atlanta United FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 12% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 18% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 17% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.