Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
- Atlanta United FC 14 games · 11 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Sibiga
- Referee Eric Weisbrod
- Referee Edvin Jurisevic
- Referee Elvis Osmanovic
- Referee Gjovalin Bori
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Mar | Nashville SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Oct | Toronto FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | New England Revolution | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Oct | New England Revolution | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–3 | L |
| 06 Oct | D.C. United SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Sep | Orlando City SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Sep | Chicago Fire FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Sep | Atlanta United FC | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Atlanta United FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #7 |
| 11 | Points | 20 |
| 14 | Played | 15 |
| 3 / 2 / 9 | W / D / L | 5 / 5 / 5 |
| 14 | Scored | 36 |
| 23 | Conceded | 37 |
| -9 | GD | -1 |
| 0.79 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 21% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Atlanta United FC are 14th (11 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Atlanta United FC and FC Cincinnati get this one started.
- 4' Controversy at the stadium! Kendall Waston argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 9' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 14' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 19' A quiet spell here at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Atlanta United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 21' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Ezequiel Barco makes it 1-0.
- 26' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Frank de Boer will be considering his options from the bench.
- 31' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Cincinnati that had 245 games and scored 352 goals.
- 34' A moment of madness from Greg Garza on 34 minutes earns him a Yellow card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
- 39' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with FC Cincinnati winning 100% of all matches.
- 44' Time for substitution for Atlanta United FC. Laurence Wyke is replaced by George Campbell.
- 49' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 53' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Frankie Amaya on 53 minutes.
- 55' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Emerson Hyndman makes it 2-0.
- 60' The home supporters are growing impatient. Atlanta United FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 61' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Joe Gyau is replaced by Adrien Regattin.
- 64' Assisted by Adrien Regattin with the perfectly-timed delivery and Yuya Kubo makes no mistake. 2-1!
- 67' Matheus Rossetto is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gonzalo Martinez at the 67 minute mark.
- 72' Atlanta United FC is showing some good football. However, Atlanta United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 75' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Matheus Rossetto.
- 80' The crowd applauds Jake Mulraney as he leaves the pitch. Jeff Larentowicz steps in for Atlanta United FC.
- 85' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Atlanta United FC and FC Cincinnati are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 89' Allan Cruz catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 89.
- Another three points for Atlanta United FC.
Lineups
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 11
- 10
- 23
- 20
- 5
- 8
- 1
- 14
- 6
-
27
Laurence Wyke ↓ George Campbell 44'
Bench
-
9
Matheus Rossetto ↑ 67'
-
18
Jeff Larentowicz ↑ 80'
- 25
- 21
- 29
- 22
-
32
George Campbell ↑ 44'
Coach
Frank de Boer
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 17
- 7
-
36
Joe Gyau ↓ Adrien Regattin 61'
- 6
- 2
- 8
-
4
Greg Garza ↓ Andrew Gutman 80'
- 18
-
24
Frankie Amaya ↓ Brandon Vazquez 80'
Bench
- 33
- 22
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↑ 80'
-
9
Adrien Regattin ↑ 61'
- 27
-
96
Andrew Gutman ↑ 80'
- 3
Coach
Yoann Damet
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josef Martinez | 6 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Ezequiel Barco | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Georgios Giakoumakis | 2 |
| Evander | 2 |
| Thiago Almada | 2 |
| Bartosz Slisz | 1 |
Head to Head
Atlanta United FC Form
2020-03-08
Atlanta United FC
2–1
FC Cincinnati
W
2020-03-01
Nashville SC
1–2
Atlanta United FC
W
2019-10-31
Toronto FC
1–2
Atlanta United FC
W
2019-10-25
Atlanta United FC
2–0
Philadelphia Union
W
2019-10-19
Atlanta United FC
1–0
New England Revolution
W
2019-10-06
Atlanta United FC
3–1
New England Revolution
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.79
Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.54
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atlanta United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.33
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Atlanta United FC or Draw
73%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
50%
Atlanta United FC or FC Cincinnati
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Atlanta United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
5.8%
1 – 0
5.8%
0 – 0
5.1%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC
| Handicap | Atlanta United FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 19% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 16% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.