Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
- Atlanta United FC 34 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Sibiga
- Referee Eric Weisbrod
- Referee Edvin Jurisevic
- Referee Elvis Osmanovic
- Referee Gjovalin Bori
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Mar | Nashville SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Oct | Toronto FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | New England Revolution | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Oct | New England Revolution | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–3 | L |
| 06 Oct | D.C. United SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Sep | Orlando City SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Sep | Chicago Fire FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Sep | Atlanta United FC | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Atlanta United FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #8 |
| 33 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 9 / 6 / 19 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 12 |
| 43 | Scored | 67 |
| 60 | Conceded | 75 |
| -17 | GD | -8 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 26% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
61%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Atlanta United FC are 13th (33 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
5/6
31-45
4/7
46-60
5/12
61-75
6/8
76+
7/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 6 G | 6 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Atlanta United FC launch into their encounter with FC Cincinnati.
- 4' The referee calls foul for Kendall Waston. He receives a Yellow card.
- 9' Emerson Hyndman is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Atlanta United FC so far.
- 14' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 19' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Atlanta United FC and FC Cincinnati are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 21' What a strike from Ezequiel Barco! The score is 1-0.
- 26' Anton Walkes, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 31' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 34' Controversy at the stadium! Greg Garza argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 39' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Cincinnati needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 44' The crowd applauds Laurence Wyke as he leaves the pitch. George Campbell steps in for Atlanta United FC.
- 49' Kendall Waston has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 53' FC Cincinnati receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 53.
- 55' Against the run of play, Emerson Hyndman has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 60' Atlanta United FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Cincinnati backline.
- 61' The crowd applauds Joe Gyau as he leaves the pitch. Adrien Regattin steps in for FC Cincinnati.
- 64' Magnificent from Yuya Kubo! That is 18 goals in 308 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 67' Another substitution for Atlanta United FC to replace Gonzalo Martinez by Matheus Rossetto on 67 minute.
- 72' FC Cincinnati has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
- 75' Matheus Rossetto has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 75.
- 80' Jake Mulraney makes way for Jeff Larentowicz at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Atlanta United FC.
- 85' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Cincinnati that had 264 games and scored 381 goals.
- 89' FC Cincinnati player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- With this win, Atlanta United FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 11
- 10
- 23
- 20
- 5
- 8
- 1
- 14
- 6
-
27
Laurence Wyke ↓ George Campbell 44'
Bench
-
9
Matheus Rossetto ↑ 67'
-
18
Jeff Larentowicz ↑ 80'
- 25
- 21
- 29
- 22
-
32
George Campbell ↑ 44'
Coach
Frank de Boer
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 17
- 7
-
36
Joe Gyau ↓ Adrien Regattin 61'
- 6
- 2
- 8
-
4
Greg Garza ↓ Andrew Gutman 80'
- 18
-
24
Frankie Amaya ↓ Brandon Vazquez 80'
Bench
- 33
- 22
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↑ 80'
-
9
Adrien Regattin ↑ 61'
- 27
-
96
Andrew Gutman ↑ 80'
- 3
Coach
Yoann Damet
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josef Martinez | 6 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Georgios Giakoumakis | 2 |
| Evander | 2 |
| Thiago Almada | 2 |
| Ezequiel Barco | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
Head to Head
Atlanta United FC Form
2020-03-08
Atlanta United FC
2–1
FC Cincinnati
W
2020-03-01
Nashville SC
1–2
Atlanta United FC
W
2019-10-31
Toronto FC
1–2
Atlanta United FC
W
2019-10-25
Atlanta United FC
2–0
Philadelphia Union
W
2019-10-19
Atlanta United FC
1–0
New England Revolution
W
2019-10-06
Atlanta United FC
3–1
New England Revolution
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.92
Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atlanta United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.34
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Atlanta United FC or Draw
77%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
46%
Atlanta United FC or FC Cincinnati
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Atlanta United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 0
5.1%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC
| Handicap | Atlanta United FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 15% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 20% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 15% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.