Thursday , 2 July 2026

Plymouth Argyle FC vs Luton Town FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Sat 24 Jan 2026 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Plymouth Argyle FC vs Luton Town FCLeague One .

Match Details

  • Referee Elliot Bell (England)
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 5.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan Luton Town FC H 1–0 W
17 Jan Peterborough United FC A 1–0 W
04 Jan Burton Albion FC H 3–0 W
01 Jan Stevenage FC A 1–1 D
29 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
26 Dec Reading FC H 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC A 0–1 L
17 Jan Lincoln City FC H 2–2 D
10 Jan Stevenage FC H 2–1 W
01 Jan Exeter City FC A 0–1 L
29 Dec Leyton Orient FC H 3–0 W
26 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC H 4–0 W

Season Stats

Plymouth Argyle FC Luton Town FC
#8 Position #7
73 Points 74
46 Played 46
22 / 7 / 17 W / D / L 21 / 11 / 14
75 Scored 68
63 Conceded 56
+12 GD +12
1.59 PPG 1.61
48% Win % 46%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Plymouth Argyle FC are 8th (73 pts). Luton Town FC are 7th (74 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Plymouth Argyle FC Lineups

Luton Town FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.6 Plymouth Argyle FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Plymouth Argyle FC52% Draw26% Luton Town FC22%
Actual: Plymouth Argyle FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Plymouth Argyle FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Luton Town FC
48%
Plymouth Argyle FC or Luton Town FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Plymouth Argyle FC35% Draw47% Luton Town FC18%
Actual: Plymouth Argyle FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
8.9%
0 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 0
4.7%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Plymouth Argyle FC

Handicap Plymouth Argyle FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 23% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Plymouth Argyle FC keeps clean sheet
36%
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.