Luton Town FC vs Stevenage FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Luton Town FC vs Stevenage FC — League One .
- Luton Town FC 46 games · 74 pts (2026/27)
- Stevenage FC 46 games · 75 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Simon Mather
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 46 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City AFC | 46 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage FC | 46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton Town FC | 46 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 46 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 46 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town FC | 46 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 46 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading FC | 46 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley FC | 46 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan Athletic FC | 46 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton Albion FC | 46 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough United FC | 46 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan | Stevenage FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Jan | Exeter City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Dec | Leyton Orient FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Dec | Wycombe Wanderers FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 18 Dec | Reading FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 13 Dec | Port Vale FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan | Luton Town FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Jan | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Dec | Cardiff City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Dec | AFC Wimbledon | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Dec | Burton Albion FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Dec | Stockport County FC | A | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Luton Town FC | Stevenage FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #6 |
| 74 | Points | 75 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 21 / 11 / 14 | W / D / L | 21 / 12 / 13 |
| 68 | Scored | 49 |
| 56 | Conceded | 46 |
| +12 | GD | +3 |
| 1.61 | PPG | 1.63 |
| 46% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Luton Town FC are 7th (74 pts). Stevenage FC are 6th (75 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Luton Town FC and Stevenage FC is underway.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.
Lineups
Luton Town FC Lineups
Stevenage FC Lineups
H2H
Luton Town FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.5
Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06
Stevenage FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Luton Town FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Luton Town FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Stevenage FC
52%
Luton Town FC or Stevenage FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
3 – 2
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC
| Handicap | Luton Town FC covers | Push | Stevenage FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 22% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Stevenage FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

