New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

New York Red Bulls

0 – 1

Full Time

Philadelphia Union

Sat 6 May 2023 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 31' Daniel Gazdag pen

Andres Reyes 25' Y

Y 36' Leon Flach

Y 45' Quinn Sullivan

Cory Burke 68' Y

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
Philadelphia Union 34 games · 50 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 20 games · Avg 2.4 goals Philadelphia Union

Last 5 meetings

2023-05-06 New York Red Bulls 0–1 Philadelphia Union 2022-09-03 New York Red Bulls 0–2 Philadelphia Union 2022-05-14 Philadelphia Union 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2021-09-29 New York Red Bulls 1–1 Philadelphia Union 2021-07-09 New York Red Bulls 1–1 Philadelphia Union

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 May	Philadelphia Union	H	0–1	L
30 Apr	Chicago Fire FC	A	1–1	D
22 Apr	Montreal Impact FC	A	0–2	L
15 Apr	Houston Dynamo	H	1–1	D
08 Apr	San Jose Earthquakes	H	1–1	D
01 Apr	Atlanta United FC	A	0–1	L

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 May	New York Red Bulls	A	1–0	W
22 Apr	Toronto FC	H	4–2	W
16 Apr	Chicago Fire FC	A	2–2	D
08 Apr	FC Cincinnati	A	0–1	L
01 Apr	Sporting Kansas City	H	0–0	D
25 Mar	Orlando City SC	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		Philadelphia Union
#11	Position	#6
42	Points	50
34	Played	34
12 / 6 / 16	W / D / L	14 / 8 / 12
48	Scored	66
62	Conceded	52
-14	GD	+14
1.24	PPG	1.47
35%	Win %	41%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

24% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

24% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

New York Red Bulls are 11th (42 pts). Philadelphia Union are 6th (50 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

7/7

16-30

4/3

31-45

8/7

46-60

7/10

61-75

4/6

76+

8/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Philadelphia Union

0-15

4/6

16-30

6/7

31-45

8/7

46-60

12/2

61-75

17/5

76+

8/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	13 G	3 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	8 G	1 A

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski	19 G	2 A
Bruno Damiani	13 G	3 A
Cavan Sullivan	9 G	6 A

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against New York Red Bulls and Philadelphia Union has kicked off!
5' Philadelphia Union looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Milan Iloski scoring 2 goals.
10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His New York Red Bulls side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
20' Jack McGlynn is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for New York Red Bulls tonight.
25' Andres Reyes catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 25.
30' Dru Yearwood has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
31' Brilliant from the ! Daniel Gazdag makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 31.
36' The referee has no hesitation. Leon Flach is booked for Philadelphia Union — Yellow card on 36.
41' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both New York Red Bulls and Philadelphia Union are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
45' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Quinn Sullivan on 45 minutes.
50' Philadelphia Union has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
55' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gerhard Struber might look to freshen things up shortly.
59' Wikelman Carmona is ready to make an impact after coming on for Omir Fernandez at the 59 minute mark.
62' It is a substitution in Philadelphia Union team. Quinn Sullivan is replaced by Mikael Uhre on 62 minute.
64' The crowd applauds Elias Manoel as he leaves the pitch. Tom Barlow steps in for New York Red Bulls.
68' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Cory Burke.
73' Both keepers have barely been tested. New York Red Bulls and Philadelphia Union are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
78' It looks like no one’s ball. Philadelphia Union is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
79' The Philadelphia Union manager makes a substitution. Alejandro Bedoya departs to be replaced by Jesus Bueno.
84' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
89' A quiet spell here at Red Bull Arena. Philadelphia Union seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
90' Philadelphia Union make a change. Julian Carranza trudges off to be replaced by Chris Donovan on 90 minutes.
It finishes all square. New York Red Bulls and Philadelphia Union share the spoils 0-1.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

16
Dru Yearwood
23
Cristian Casseres Jr.
7
Cory Burke
1
Carlos Miguel
21
Omir Fernandez ↓ Wikelman Carmona 59'
15
Sean Nealis
12
Dylan Nealis
47
John Tolkin
4
Andres Reyes
17
Cameron Harper
11
Elias Manoel ↓ Tom Barlow 64'

Bench

Coach Gerhard Struber

Philadelphia Union Lineups

4-1-2-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jim Curtin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Daniel Gazdag	4
Patryk Klimala	3
Kacper Przybylko	2
Milan Iloski	2
Ilsinho	2
Neil Pierre	2
Tom Barlow	2
Sergio Santos	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2023-05-06 New York Red Bulls 0–1 Philadelphia Union L 2023-04-30 Chicago Fire FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2023-04-22 Montreal Impact FC 2–0 New York Red Bulls L 2023-04-15 New York Red Bulls 1–1 Houston Dynamo D 2023-04-08 New York Red Bulls 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes D 2023-04-01 Atlanta United FC 1–0 New York Red Bulls L

Philadelphia Union Form

2023-05-06 New York Red Bulls 0–1 Philadelphia Union W 2023-04-22 Philadelphia Union 4–2 Toronto FC W 2023-04-16 Chicago Fire FC 2–2 Philadelphia Union D 2023-04-08 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Philadelphia Union L 2023-04-01 Philadelphia Union 0–0 Sporting Kansas City D 2023-03-25 Philadelphia Union 1–2 Orlando City SC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.11 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.61 Philadelphia Union xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls27% Draw28% Philadelphia Union45%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.72

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

54%

Draw or Philadelphia Union

73%

New York Red Bulls or Philadelphia Union

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

New York Red Bulls20% Draw46% Philadelphia Union34%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.7%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

9.1%

0 – 0

8.5%

0 – 2

8.3%

1 – 0

6.3%

2 – 1

6.3%

2 – 2

5.1%

1 – 3

4.9%

0 – 3

4.4%

2 – 0

2 – 3

2.8%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	15%	75%
-0.5	25%	—	75%
+0.5	53%	—	47%
+1	53%	22%	25%
+1.5	75%	—	25%
+2	75%	15%	11%
+2.5	89%	—	11%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

33% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.