Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

Philadelphia Union

1 – 0

Full Time

New York City FC

Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Danley Jean Jacques 19' Y

Y 34' Kevin O'Toole

Jacob Glesnes 36' Y

Bruno Damiani 55' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC — MLS at Subaru Park.

Philadelphia Union 15 games · 7 pts (2026/26)
New York City FC 15 games · 19 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

Philadelphia Union 19 games · Avg 2.9 goals New York City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-04 Philadelphia Union 1–0 New York City FC 2025-04-12 New York City FC 1–0 Philadelphia Union 2024-09-18 New York City FC 1–5 Philadelphia Union 2024-05-15 Philadelphia Union 1–2 New York City FC 2023-07-15 Philadelphia Union 2–1 New York City FC

Recent Form

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	New York City FC	H	1–0	W
27 Sep	D.C. United SC	A	6–0	W
20 Sep	New England Revolution	H	1–0	W
14 Sep	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	A	0–7	L
30 Aug	FC Cincinnati	A	1–0	W
23 Aug	Chicago Fire FC	H	4–0	W

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Philadelphia Union	A	0–1	L
27 Sep	New York Red Bulls	A	3–2	W
24 Sep	Internacional CF Miami	H	0–4	L
20 Sep	Charlotte FC	H	2–0	W
17 Sep	Columbus Crew SC	H	3–2	W
14 Sep	Chicago Fire FC	A	3–1	W

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union		New York City FC
#15	Position	#8
7	Points	19
15	Played	15
1 / 4 / 10	W / D / L	5 / 4 / 6
18	Scored	25
30	Conceded	21
-12	GD	+4
0.47	PPG	1.27
7%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

20% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

Philadelphia Union are 15th (7 pts). New York City FC are 8th (19 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

0-15

2/3

16-30

1/4

31-45

2/2

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/1

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York City FC

0-15

2/–

16-30

2/3

31-45

1/3

46-60

3/2

61-75

1/2

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Philadelphia Union and New York City FC get this one started.
5' Aiden O'Neill is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for New York City FC tonight.
10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Andre Blake, as he is very good at scoring at Subaru Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
19' It’s a booking for Philadelphia Union player. Danley Jean Jacques gets a card.
24' The home supporters are growing impatient. Philadelphia Union must find a spark to ignite this game.
29' New York City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
34' The referee calls foul for Kevin O'Toole. He receives a card.
36' Philadelphia Union receives a card for a hard tackle on 36.
40' Goal! Mikkel Uhre scores his 21 goal in 286 matches.
45' Both keepers have barely been tested. Philadelphia Union and New York City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
46' Aiden O'Neill is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kevin O'Toole at the 46 minute mark.
51' New York City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
55' A moment of madness from Bruno Damiani on 55 minutes earns him a card. Philadelphia Union will be frustrated.
59' A tactical swap from Philadelphia Union — Tai Baribo on, Mikkel Uhre off on 59 minutes.
64' It looks like no one’s ball. New York City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
69' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with New York City FC winning 100% of all matches.
73' Jesus Bueno has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bruno Damiani on 73 minute.
78' Julian Fernandez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hannes Wolf on 78 minute.
81' Olivier Mbaizo is replacing Milan Iloski for the Philadelphia Union side.
86' Kevin O'Toole is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for New York City FC so far.
87' Another change for New York City FC made on 87 minute. Maxi Moralez leaves to be changed by Maximo Carrizo.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Philadelphia Union 1-0 New York City FC.

Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

27
Kai Wagner
18
Andre Blake
19
Indiana Vassilev ↓ Alejandro Bedoya 81'
32
Milan Iloski ↓ Olivier Mbaizo 81'
26
Nathan Harriel
21
Danley Jean Jacques
5
Jacob Glesnes
7
Mikkel Uhre ↓ Tai Baribo 59'
20
Bruno Damiani ↓ Jesus Bueno 73'
29
Olwethu Makhanya
4
Jovan Lukic

Bench

Coach Bradley Carnell

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pascal Jansen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Cory Burke	6
Valentin Castellanos	5
Daniel Gazdag	4
Maxi Moralez	4
Julian Carranza	3
Alonso Martinez	3
Alejandro Bedoya	3
Mikkel Uhre	2

Head to Head

Philadelphia Union Form

2025-10-04 Philadelphia Union 1–0 New York City FC W 2025-09-27 D.C. United SC 0–6 Philadelphia Union W 2025-09-20 Philadelphia Union 1–0 New England Revolution W 2025-09-14 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 7–0 Philadelphia Union L 2025-08-30 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Philadelphia Union W 2025-08-23 Philadelphia Union 4–0 Chicago Fire FC W

New York City FC Form

2025-10-04 Philadelphia Union 1–0 New York City FC L 2025-09-27 New York Red Bulls 2–3 New York City FC W 2025-09-24 New York City FC 0–4 Internacional CF Miami L 2025-09-20 New York City FC 2–0 Charlotte FC W 2025-09-17 New York City FC 3–2 Columbus Crew SC W 2025-09-14 Chicago Fire FC 1–3 New York City FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.43 Philadelphia Union xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.44 New York City FC xG

I would bet for: Philadelphia Union or New York City FC 74% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Philadelphia Union42% Draw26% New York City FC32%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.87

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw

68%

Draw or New York City FC

58%

Philadelphia Union or New York City FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Philadelphia Union27% Draw45% New York City FC28%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.6%

1 – 2

8.1%

2 – 1

0 – 0

7.5%

0 – 1

7.3%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 2

5.8%

2 – 2

5.8%

2 – 0

5.7%

1 – 3

3.9%

3 – 1

3.8%

2 – 3

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap	Philadelphia Union covers	Push	New York City FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	11%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	19%	64%
-0.5	36%	—	64%
+0.5	63%	—	37%
+1	63%	19%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	11%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

24% ✗

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.