Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

Philadelphia Union

1 – 0

Full Time

New York City FC

Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Danley Jean Jacques 19' Y

Y 34' Kevin O'Toole

Jacob Glesnes 36' Y

Bruno Damiani 55' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC — MLS at Subaru Park.

Philadelphia Union 34 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
New York City FC 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

Philadelphia Union 20 games · Avg 3.0 goals New York City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-04 Philadelphia Union 1–0 New York City FC 2025-04-12 New York City FC 1–0 Philadelphia Union 2024-09-18 New York City FC 1–5 Philadelphia Union 2024-05-15 Philadelphia Union 1–2 New York City FC 2023-07-15 Philadelphia Union 2–1 New York City FC

Recent Form

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	New York City FC	H	1–0	W
27 Sep	D.C. United SC	A	6–0	W
20 Sep	New England Revolution	H	1–0	W
14 Sep	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	A	0–7	L
30 Aug	FC Cincinnati	A	1–0	W
23 Aug	Chicago Fire FC	H	4–0	W

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Philadelphia Union	A	0–1	L
27 Sep	New York Red Bulls	A	3–2	W
24 Sep	Internacional CF Miami	H	0–4	L
20 Sep	Charlotte FC	H	2–0	W
17 Sep	Columbus Crew SC	H	3–2	W
14 Sep	Chicago Fire FC	A	3–1	W

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union		New York City FC
#6	Position	#10
50	Points	42
34	Played	34
14 / 8 / 12	W / D / L	10 / 12 / 12
66	Scored	49
52	Conceded	45
+14	GD	+4
1.47	PPG	1.24
41%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

24% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

18% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

Philadelphia Union are 6th (50 pts). New York City FC are 10th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

0-15

4/6

16-30

6/7

31-45

8/7

46-60

12/2

61-75

17/5

76+

8/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York City FC

0-15

5/2

16-30

6/5

31-45

6/8

46-60

5/6

61-75

5/6

76+

5/10

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski	19 G	2 A
Bruno Damiani	13 G	3 A
Cavan Sullivan	9 G	6 A

New York City FC

Nicolas Fernandez Marcau	16 G	6 A
Agustin Ojeda	5 G	5 A
Hannes Wolf	5 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Philadelphia Union and New York City FC has kicked off!
5' Aiden O'Neill needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
10' A quiet spell here at Subaru Park. New York City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
15' New York City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
19' The referee has no hesitation. Danley Jean Jacques is booked for Philadelphia Union — card on 19.
24' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with New York City FC winning 50% of all matches.
29' Both keepers have barely been tested. Philadelphia Union and New York City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
34' Kevin O'Toole has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 34.
36' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jacob Glesnes on 36 minutes.
40' Mikkel Uhre is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
45' The 27-year-old Raul Gustavo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
46' Another substitution for New York City FC to replace Kevin O'Toole by Aiden O'Neill on 46 minute.
51' USA international Maximo Carrizo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
55' The referee shows Philadelphia Union player a card on 55.
59' The supporters are chanting for Tai Baribo. He replaces Mikkel Uhre on 59 minute.
64' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
69' It’s high time Bradley Carnell made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
73' Another change for Philadelphia Union made on 73 minute. Bruno Damiani leaves to be changed by Jesus Bueno.
78' Another substitution for New York City FC to replace Hannes Wolf by Julian Fernandez on 78 minute.
81' Milan Iloski makes way for Olivier Mbaizo at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Philadelphia Union.
86' Philadelphia Union is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
87' The supporters are chanting for Maximo Carrizo. He replaces Maxi Moralez on 87 minute.
New York City FC will have plenty to reflect on. Philadelphia Union were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

27
Kai Wagner
18
Andre Blake
19
Indiana Vassilev ↓ Alejandro Bedoya 81'
32
Milan Iloski ↓ Olivier Mbaizo 81'
26
Nathan Harriel
21
Danley Jean Jacques
5
Jacob Glesnes
7
Mikkel Uhre ↓ Tai Baribo 59'
20
Bruno Damiani ↓ Jesus Bueno 73'
29
Olwethu Makhanya
4
Jovan Lukic

Bench

Coach Bradley Carnell

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pascal Jansen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Cory Burke	6
Valentin Castellanos	5
Daniel Gazdag	4
Maxi Moralez	4
Julian Carranza	3
Alejandro Bedoya	3
Alonso Martinez	3
Bruno Damiani	2

Head to Head

Philadelphia Union Form

2025-10-04 Philadelphia Union 1–0 New York City FC W 2025-09-27 D.C. United SC 0–6 Philadelphia Union W 2025-09-20 Philadelphia Union 1–0 New England Revolution W 2025-09-14 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 7–0 Philadelphia Union L 2025-08-30 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Philadelphia Union W 2025-08-23 Philadelphia Union 4–0 Chicago Fire FC W

New York City FC Form

2025-10-04 Philadelphia Union 1–0 New York City FC L 2025-09-27 New York Red Bulls 2–3 New York City FC W 2025-09-24 New York City FC 0–4 Internacional CF Miami L 2025-09-20 New York City FC 2–0 Charlotte FC W 2025-09-17 New York City FC 3–2 Columbus Crew SC W 2025-09-14 Chicago Fire FC 1–3 New York City FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.75 Philadelphia Union xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.13 New York City FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Philadelphia Union52% Draw25% New York City FC23%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 2.88

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	33%	67%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw

77%

Draw or New York City FC

48%

Philadelphia Union or New York City FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Philadelphia Union36% Draw45% New York City FC19%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12%

2 – 1

9.4%

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 0

8.5%

0 – 0

7.4%

1 – 2

3 – 1

5.5%

0 – 1

5.4%

2 – 2

5.3%

3 – 0

4.9%

0 – 2

3.5%

3 – 2

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap	Philadelphia Union covers	Push	New York City FC covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	16%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	22%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	14%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

33% ✗

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.