Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

Philadelphia Union

1 – 0

Full Time

New York City FC

Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Danley Jean Jacques 19' Y

Y 34' Kevin O'Toole

Jacob Glesnes 36' Y

Bruno Damiani 55' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC — MLS at Subaru Park.

Philadelphia Union 29 games · 45 pts (2026/26)
New York City FC 29 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	29	66
2	Internacional CF Miami	29	52
3	New England Revolution	29	49
4	Chicago Fire FC	29	48
5	Charlotte FC	29	46
6	Philadelphia Union	29	45
7	Orlando City SC	29	38
8	FC Cincinnati	28	36
9	New York Red Bulls	29	36
10	New York City FC	29	33
11	Toronto FC	29	33
12	D.C. United SC	28	33
13	Columbus Crew SC	29	32
14	Atlanta United FC	29	30
15	Montreal Impact FC	29	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	29	52
17	St. Louis City	29	51
18	FC Dallas	29	50
19	San Jose Earthquakes	29	47
20	Houston Dynamo	29	46
21	Los Angeles FC	30	45
22	Seattle Sounders FC	29	41
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	30	39
24	Colorado Rapids SC	29	38
25	San Diego FC	29	33
26	Portland Timbers	29	33
27	Real Salt Lake	29	33
28	Minnesota United FC	29	31
29	Austin FC	29	31
30	Sporting Kansas City	29	22

Head-to-Head

Philadelphia Union 20 games · Avg 3.0 goals New York City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-04 Philadelphia Union 1–0 New York City FC 2025-04-12 New York City FC 1–0 Philadelphia Union 2024-09-18 New York City FC 1–5 Philadelphia Union 2024-05-15 Philadelphia Union 1–2 New York City FC 2023-07-15 Philadelphia Union 2–1 New York City FC

Recent Form

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	New York City FC	H	1–0	W
27 Sep	D.C. United SC	A	6–0	W
20 Sep	New England Revolution	H	1–0	W
14 Sep	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	A	0–7	L
30 Aug	FC Cincinnati	A	1–0	W
23 Aug	Chicago Fire FC	H	4–0	W

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Philadelphia Union	A	0–1	L
27 Sep	New York Red Bulls	A	3–2	W
24 Sep	Internacional CF Miami	H	0–4	L
20 Sep	Charlotte FC	H	2–0	W
17 Sep	Columbus Crew SC	H	3–2	W
14 Sep	Chicago Fire FC	A	3–1	W

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union		New York City FC
#6	Position	#10
45	Points	33
29	Played	29
13 / 6 / 10	W / D / L	8 / 9 / 12
59	Scored	42
46	Conceded	40
+13	GD	+2
1.55	PPG	1.14
45%	Win %	28%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

24% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

17% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

Philadelphia Union are 6th (45 pts). New York City FC are 10th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

0-15

4/6

16-30

4/7

31-45

7/5

46-60

11/1

61-75

15/3

76+

7/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York City FC

0-15

5/2

16-30

5/5

31-45

5/6

46-60

4/5

61-75

4/6

76+

2/8

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski	18 G	2 A
Bruno Damiani	11 G	3 A
Cavan Sullivan	7 G	5 A

New York City FC

Nicolas Fernandez Marcau	15 G	4 A
Agustin Ojeda	5 G	5 A
Hannes Wolf	5 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Philadelphia Union is hosting New York City FC for another epic battle.
5' New York City FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
10' It is a cagey affair so far. Philadelphia Union in their trying to find a way past New York City FC's compact .
15' New York City FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
19' Philadelphia Union player sees a card in front of him.
24' It looks like no one’s ball. Philadelphia Union is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
29' Milan Iloski has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 27 appearances with only 13 goals this season.
34' That is a card for New York City FC. Kevin O'Toole will be fuming at that decision.
36' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jacob Glesnes.
40' The Denmark Mikkel Uhre breaks the deadlock on 40 minutes. 1-0!
45' Both keepers have barely been tested. Philadelphia Union and New York City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
46' Aiden O'Neill is replacing Kevin O'Toole for the New York City FC side.
51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
55' The referee shows Philadelphia Union player a card on 55.
59' Time for substitution for Philadelphia Union. Mikkel Uhre is replaced by Tai Baribo.
64' Hannes Wolf, a Austria , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
69' USA international Matt Freese has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
73' The supporters are chanting for Jesus Bueno. He replaces Bruno Damiani on 73 minute.
78' Another substitution for New York City FC to replace Hannes Wolf by Julian Fernandez on 78 minute.
81' Philadelphia Union ring the changes. Milan Iloski has done his job and it is now time for Olivier Mbaizo to step up.
86' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Philadelphia Union side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
87' Maximo Carrizo is replacing Maxi Moralez for the New York City FC side.
1-0 the final result. New York City FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

27
Kai Wagner
18
Andre Blake
19
Indiana Vassilev ↓ Alejandro Bedoya 81'
32
Milan Iloski ↓ Olivier Mbaizo 81'
26
Nathan Harriel
21
Danley Jean Jacques
5
Jacob Glesnes
7
Mikkel Uhre ↓ Tai Baribo 59'
20
Bruno Damiani ↓ Jesus Bueno 73'
29
Olwethu Makhanya
4
Jovan Lukic

Bench

Coach Bradley Carnell

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pascal Jansen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Cory Burke	6
Valentin Castellanos	5
Daniel Gazdag	4
Maxi Moralez	4
Julian Carranza	3
Alejandro Bedoya	3
Alonso Martinez	3
Ismael Tajouri	2

Head to Head

Philadelphia Union Form

2025-10-04 Philadelphia Union 1–0 New York City FC W 2025-09-27 D.C. United SC 0–6 Philadelphia Union W 2025-09-20 Philadelphia Union 1–0 New England Revolution W 2025-09-14 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 7–0 Philadelphia Union L 2025-08-30 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Philadelphia Union W 2025-08-23 Philadelphia Union 4–0 Chicago Fire FC W

New York City FC Form

2025-10-04 Philadelphia Union 1–0 New York City FC L 2025-09-27 New York Red Bulls 2–3 New York City FC W 2025-09-24 New York City FC 0–4 Internacional CF Miami L 2025-09-20 New York City FC 2–0 Charlotte FC W 2025-09-17 New York City FC 3–2 Columbus Crew SC W 2025-09-14 Chicago Fire FC 1–3 New York City FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.83 Philadelphia Union xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.15 New York City FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Philadelphia Union53% Draw24% New York City FC23%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.98

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw

78%

Draw or New York City FC

47%

Philadelphia Union or New York City FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Philadelphia Union38% Draw44% New York City FC18%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.5%

2 – 1

9.4%

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 0

8.4%

0 – 0

6.8%

1 – 2

5.9%

3 – 1

5.8%

2 – 2

5.4%

3 – 0

0 – 1

3 – 2

3.4%

0 – 2

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap	Philadelphia Union covers	Push	New York City FC covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	16%	70%
-1.5	30%	—	70%
-1	30%	22%	48%
-0.5	52%	—	48%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	14%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

32% ✗

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.