Sunday , 16 August 2026

Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct New York City FC H 1–0 W
27 Sep D.C. United SC A 6–0 W
20 Sep New England Revolution H 1–0 W
14 Sep Vancouver Whitecaps FC A 0–7 L
30 Aug FC Cincinnati A 1–0 W
23 Aug Chicago Fire FC H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Philadelphia Union A 0–1 L
27 Sep New York Red Bulls A 3–2 W
24 Sep Internacional CF Miami H 0–4 L
20 Sep Charlotte FC H 2–0 W
17 Sep Columbus Crew SC H 3–2 W
14 Sep Chicago Fire FC A 3–1 W

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union New York City FC
#13 Position #5
16 Points 26
18 Played 18
4 / 4 / 10 W / D / L 7 / 5 / 6
25 Scored 31
33 Conceded 24
-8 GD +7
0.89 PPG 1.44
22% Win % 39%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
17% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

Philadelphia Union are 13th (16 pts). New York City FC are 5th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union
0-15
3/3
16-30
1/5
31-45
3/3
46-60
3/1
61-75
4/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York City FC
0-15
4/
16-30
3/4
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union
Milan Iloski 8 G 1 A
New York City FC
Nicolas Fernandez Marcau 11 G 3 A
Hannes Wolf 5 G 1 A
Agustin Ojeda 4 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.5 Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 New York City FC xG
I would bet for: Philadelphia Union or New York City FC 74% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Philadelphia Union44% Draw26% New York City FC30%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw
70%
Draw or New York City FC
56%
Philadelphia Union or New York City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Philadelphia Union29% Draw45% New York City FC26%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
7.2%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap Philadelphia Union covers Push New York City FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
25%
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.