Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

Philadelphia Union

1 – 0

Full Time

New York City FC

Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Danley Jean Jacques 19' Y

Y 34' Kevin O'Toole

Jacob Glesnes 36' Y

Bruno Damiani 55' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC — MLS at Subaru Park.

Philadelphia Union 27 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
New York City FC 27 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Philadelphia Union 20 games · Avg 3.0 goals New York City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-04 Philadelphia Union 1–0 New York City FC 2025-04-12 New York City FC 1–0 Philadelphia Union 2024-09-18 New York City FC 1–5 Philadelphia Union 2024-05-15 Philadelphia Union 1–2 New York City FC 2023-07-15 Philadelphia Union 2–1 New York City FC

Recent Form

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	New York City FC	H	1–0	W
27 Sep	D.C. United SC	A	6–0	W
20 Sep	New England Revolution	H	1–0	W
14 Sep	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	A	0–7	L
30 Aug	FC Cincinnati	A	1–0	W
23 Aug	Chicago Fire FC	H	4–0	W

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Philadelphia Union	A	0–1	L
27 Sep	New York Red Bulls	A	3–2	W
24 Sep	Internacional CF Miami	H	0–4	L
20 Sep	Charlotte FC	H	2–0	W
17 Sep	Columbus Crew SC	H	3–2	W
14 Sep	Chicago Fire FC	A	3–1	W

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union		New York City FC
#6	Position	#8
39	Points	33
27	Played	27
11 / 6 / 10	W / D / L	8 / 9 / 10
54	Scored	41
44	Conceded	36
+10	GD	+5
1.44	PPG	1.22
41%	Win %	30%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

26% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

19% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

Philadelphia Union are 6th (39 pts). New York City FC are 8th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

0-15

4/6

16-30

4/7

31-45

6/4

46-60

9/1

61-75

14/3

76+

6/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York City FC

0-15

5/2

16-30

4/4

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/4

61-75

4/6

76+

2/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski	16 G	2 A
Bruno Damiani	8 G	1 A
Cavan Sullivan	7 G	4 A

New York City FC

Nicolas Fernandez Marcau	15 G	4 A
Agustin Ojeda	5 G	5 A
Hannes Wolf	5 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Philadelphia Union and New York City FC get this one started.
5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bradley Carnell will be considering his options from the bench.
10' The travelling New York City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
15' New York City FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Benie Traore scoring 1 goals.
19' Poor challenge from Danley Jean Jacques. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
24' Philadelphia Union are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined New York City FC backline.
29' Over 29 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
34' A moment of madness from Kevin O'Toole on 34 minutes earns him a card. New York City FC will be frustrated.
36' That looks like a foul for a card for Jacob Glesnes.
40' Mikkel Uhre doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
45' The home supporters are growing impatient. Philadelphia Union must find a spark to ignite this game.
46' Another change for New York City FC made on 46 minute. Kevin O'Toole leaves to be changed by Aiden O'Neill.
51' Olwethu Makhanya needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
55' Bruno Damiani picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
59' Tai Baribo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mikkel Uhre at the 59 minute mark.
64' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
69' With 0 assists to his name this season, Tayvon Gray is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Philadelphia Union.
73' Another substitution for Philadelphia Union to replace Bruno Damiani by Jesus Bueno on 73 minute.
78' Another change for New York City FC made on 78 minute. Hannes Wolf leaves to be changed by Julian Fernandez.
81' Another substitution for Philadelphia Union to replace Milan Iloski by Olivier Mbaizo on 81 minute.
86' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
87' The New York City FC manager makes a substitution. Maxi Moralez departs to be replaced by Maximo Carrizo.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Philadelphia Union to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

27
Kai Wagner
18
Andre Blake
19
Indiana Vassilev ↓ Alejandro Bedoya 81'
32
Milan Iloski ↓ Olivier Mbaizo 81'
26
Nathan Harriel
21
Danley Jean Jacques
5
Jacob Glesnes
7
Mikkel Uhre ↓ Tai Baribo 59'
20
Bruno Damiani ↓ Jesus Bueno 73'
29
Olwethu Makhanya
4
Jovan Lukic

Bench

Coach Bradley Carnell

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pascal Jansen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Cory Burke	6
Valentin Castellanos	5
Daniel Gazdag	4
Maxi Moralez	4
Alonso Martinez	3
Julian Carranza	3
Alejandro Bedoya	3
David Villa	2

Head to Head

Philadelphia Union Form

2025-10-04 Philadelphia Union 1–0 New York City FC W 2025-09-27 D.C. United SC 0–6 Philadelphia Union W 2025-09-20 Philadelphia Union 1–0 New England Revolution W 2025-09-14 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 7–0 Philadelphia Union L 2025-08-30 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Philadelphia Union W 2025-08-23 Philadelphia Union 4–0 Chicago Fire FC W

New York City FC Form

2025-10-04 Philadelphia Union 1–0 New York City FC L 2025-09-27 New York Red Bulls 2–3 New York City FC W 2025-09-24 New York City FC 0–4 Internacional CF Miami L 2025-09-20 New York City FC 2–0 Charlotte FC W 2025-09-17 New York City FC 3–2 Columbus Crew SC W 2025-09-14 Chicago Fire FC 1–3 New York City FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.79 Philadelphia Union xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.21 New York City FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Philadelphia Union52% Draw25% New York City FC23%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 3

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw

76%

Draw or New York City FC

48%

Philadelphia Union or New York City FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Philadelphia Union36% Draw44% New York City FC20%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.6%

2 – 1

9.3%

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 0

7.9%

0 – 0

6.7%

1 – 2

6.3%

2 – 2

5.6%

3 – 1

5.6%

0 – 1

5.2%

3 – 0

4.6%

0 – 2

3.6%

3 – 2

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap	Philadelphia Union covers	Push	New York City FC covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	15%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	22%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	14%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

30% ✗

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.