Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

Philadelphia Union

1 – 2

Full Time

New York City FC

Wed 15 May 2024 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Kai Wagner 45' Y

Y 51' Santiago Rodriguez

Y 62' Agustin Ojeda

Jack Elliott 71' Y

Y 78' Andres Perea

Y 87' Monsef Bakrar

Y 90' Malachi Jones

Overview

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC — MLS at Subaru Park.

Philadelphia Union 15 games · 7 pts (2026/26)
New York City FC 15 games · 19 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

Philadelphia Union 19 games · Avg 2.9 goals New York City FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-15 Philadelphia Union 1–2 New York City FC 2023-07-15 Philadelphia Union 2–1 New York City FC 2023-05-27 New York City FC 1–3 Philadelphia Union 2022-10-31 Philadelphia Union 3–1 New York City FC 2022-06-26 Philadelphia Union 2–1 New York City FC

Recent Form

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 May	New York City FC	H	1–2	L
11 May	Orlando City SC	H	2–3	L
04 May	D.C. United SC	A	2–2	D
30 Apr	Seattle Sounders FC	H	2–3	L
27 Apr	Real Salt Lake	H	1–2	L
14 Apr	Atlanta United FC	A	2–2	D

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 May	Philadelphia Union	A	2–1	W
11 May	Toronto FC	A	3–2	W
05 May	Colorado Rapids SC	H	0–2	L
27 Apr	Charlotte FC	H	2–1	W
20 Apr	D.C. United SC	H	2–0	W
13 Apr	New England Revolution	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union		New York City FC
#15	Position	#8
7	Points	19
15	Played	15
1 / 4 / 10	W / D / L	5 / 4 / 6
18	Scored	25
30	Conceded	21
-12	GD	+4
0.47	PPG	1.27
7%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

20% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

Philadelphia Union are 15th (7 pts). New York City FC are 8th (19 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

0-15

2/3

16-30

1/4

31-45

2/2

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/1

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York City FC

0-15

2/–

16-30

2/3

31-45

1/3

46-60

3/2

61-75

1/2

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Philadelphia Union have kicked off against New York City FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
2' Alonso Martinez adds to his 0 season tally! New York City FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
7' Over 7 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
12' Daniel Gazdag has been relatively quiet despite scoring 64 goals in his last 95 appearances.
17' New York City FC have won 454 goals from 286 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
22' New York City FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
27' Santiago Rodriguez needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
32' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Matt Freese suffering a number of foals already.
37' The energy levels are beginning to show. Nick Cushing might look to freshen things up shortly.
42' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. New York City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
45' The referee has no hesitation. Kai Wagner is booked for Philadelphia Union — card on 45.
46' A stunning finish from Hannes Wolf — that came from absolutely nowhere!
47' What composure from Julian Carranza! The Argentina international strokes it home. 1-2.
51' That looks like a foul for a card for Santiago Rodriguez.
56' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
61' Nathan Harriel is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Philadelphia Union so far.
62' Agustin Ojeda picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
67' Time for substitution for New York City FC. Alonso Martinez is replaced by Monsef Bakrar.
71' The referee calls foul for Jack Elliott. He receives a card.
71' Another substitution for Philadelphia Union to replace Quinn Sullivan by Alejandro Bedoya on 71 minute.
76' The whistle greets Santiago Rodriguez as he departs to be replaced by Justin Haak.
78' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Andres Perea.
83' A quiet spell here at Subaru Park. Philadelphia Union seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
84' Time for substitution for Philadelphia Union. Leon Flach is replaced by Jose Martinez.
87' Controversy at the stadium! Monsef Bakrar argues furiously but the card stands.
89' Fresh legs for New York City FC! Tayvon Gray comes on to replace Hannes Wolf.
90' That looks like a foul for a card for Malachi Jones.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Philadelphia Union 1-2 New York City FC.

Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

27
Kai Wagner
3
Jack Elliott
9
Julian Carranza
10
Daniel Gazdag
31
Leon Flach ↓ Jose Martinez 84'
33
Quinn Sullivan ↓ Alejandro Bedoya 71'
16
Jack McGlynn
26
Nathan Harriel ↓ Olivier Mbaizo 84'
5
Jacob Glesnes
7
Mikkel Uhre
1
Oliver Semmle

Bench

Coach Jim Curtin

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Nick Cushing

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Cory Burke	6
Valentin Castellanos	5
Daniel Gazdag	4
Maxi Moralez	4
Julian Carranza	3
Alonso Martinez	3
Alejandro Bedoya	3
Mikkel Uhre	2

Head to Head

Philadelphia Union Form

2024-05-15 Philadelphia Union 1–2 New York City FC L 2024-05-11 Philadelphia Union 2–3 Orlando City SC L 2024-05-04 D.C. United SC 2–2 Philadelphia Union D 2024-04-30 Philadelphia Union 2–3 Seattle Sounders FC L 2024-04-27 Philadelphia Union 1–2 Real Salt Lake L 2024-04-14 Atlanta United FC 2–2 Philadelphia Union D

New York City FC Form

2024-05-15 Philadelphia Union 1–2 New York City FC W 2024-05-11 Toronto FC 2–3 New York City FC W 2024-05-05 New York City FC 0–2 Colorado Rapids SC L 2024-04-27 New York City FC 2–1 Charlotte FC W 2024-04-20 New York City FC 2–0 D.C. United SC W 2024-04-13 New York City FC 2–0 New England Revolution W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.5 Philadelphia Union xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2 New York City FC xG

I would bet for: Philadelphia Union or New York City FC 75% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Philadelphia Union30% Draw25% New York City FC45%

Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes67% 0% No33%

Avg goals/match: 3.5

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	67%	33%
± 3.5	46%	54%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw

55%

Draw or New York City FC

70%

Philadelphia Union or New York City FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Philadelphia Union23% Draw40% New York City FC37%

Actual: New York City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.9%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

6.6%

2 – 2

6.5%

0 – 2

6.1%

1 – 3

5.8%

0 – 1

5.5%

0 – 0

4.4%

2 – 3

4.4%

0 – 3

1 – 0

3.9%

2 – 0

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap	Philadelphia Union covers	Push	New York City FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	8%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	15%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	52%	—	48%
+1	52%	20%	28%
+1.5	72%	—	28%
+2	72%	15%	14%
+2.5	86%	—	14%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.