Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

Philadelphia Union

1 – 2

Full Time

New York City FC

Wed 15 May 2024 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Kai Wagner 45' Y

Y 51' Santiago Rodriguez

Y 62' Agustin Ojeda

Jack Elliott 71' Y

Y 78' Andres Perea

Y 87' Monsef Bakrar

Y 90' Malachi Jones

Overview

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC — MLS at Subaru Park.

Philadelphia Union 18 games · 16 pts (2026/26)
New York City FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

Philadelphia Union 19 games · Avg 2.9 goals New York City FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-15 Philadelphia Union 1–2 New York City FC 2023-07-15 Philadelphia Union 2–1 New York City FC 2023-05-27 New York City FC 1–3 Philadelphia Union 2022-10-31 Philadelphia Union 3–1 New York City FC 2022-06-26 Philadelphia Union 2–1 New York City FC

Recent Form

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 May	New York City FC	H	1–2	L
11 May	Orlando City SC	H	2–3	L
04 May	D.C. United SC	A	2–2	D
30 Apr	Seattle Sounders FC	H	2–3	L
27 Apr	Real Salt Lake	H	1–2	L
14 Apr	Atlanta United FC	A	2–2	D

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 May	Philadelphia Union	A	2–1	W
11 May	Toronto FC	A	3–2	W
05 May	Colorado Rapids SC	H	0–2	L
27 Apr	Charlotte FC	H	2–1	W
20 Apr	D.C. United SC	H	2–0	W
13 Apr	New England Revolution	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union		New York City FC
#13	Position	#5
16	Points	26
18	Played	18
4 / 4 / 10	W / D / L	7 / 5 / 6
25	Scored	31
33	Conceded	24
-8	GD	+7
0.89	PPG	1.44
22%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

17% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

Philadelphia Union are 13th (16 pts). New York City FC are 5th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

0-15

3/3

16-30

1/5

31-45

3/3

46-60

3/1

61-75

4/2

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York City FC

0-15

4/–

16-30

3/4

31-45

2/4

46-60

3/2

61-75

2/2

76+

2/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski

8 G

1 A

New York City FC

Nicolas Fernandez Marcau	11 G	3 A
Hannes Wolf	5 G	1 A
Agustin Ojeda	4 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Subaru Park. Philadelphia Union are looking to make home advantage count against New York City FC.
2' The Costa Rica Alonso Martinez breaks the deadlock on 2 minutes. 0-1!
7' Sierra Leone international Malachi Jones has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
12' Philadelphia Union are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against New York City FC's shape.
17' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Philadelphia Union and New York City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
22' New York City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 22.
27' Santiago Rodriguez is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for New York City FC tonight.
32' Hannes Wolf has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 4 goals to his name this season.
37' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jack McGlynn, as he is very good at scoring at Subaru Park with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
42' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Philadelphia Union needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
45' Controversy at the stadium! Kai Wagner argues furiously but the card stands.
46' GOAL! Hannes Wolf fires home to make it 0-2!
47' Julian Carranza makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and Philadelphia Union are in front.
51' Controversy at the stadium! Santiago Rodriguez argues furiously but the card stands.
56' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mitja Ilenic is clearly more than just a goal scorer for New York City FC.
61' It looks like no one’s ball. Philadelphia Union is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
62' Agustin Ojeda has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 62.
67' New York City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Monsef Bakrar is hanging Alonso Martinez on the field on 67 minute.
71' The referee shows Philadelphia Union player a card on 71.
71' Alejandro Bedoya is ready to make an impact after coming on for Quinn Sullivan at the 71 minute mark.
76' The supporters are chanting for Justin Haak. He replaces Santiago Rodriguez on 76 minute.
78' That looks like a foul for a card for Andres Perea.
83' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
84' Philadelphia Union ring the changes. Leon Flach has done his job and it is now time for Jose Martinez to step up.
87' Monsef Bakrar catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 87.
89' Hannes Wolf makes way for Tayvon Gray at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York City FC.
90' Poor challenge from Malachi Jones. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from New York City FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

27
Kai Wagner
3
Jack Elliott
9
Julian Carranza
10
Daniel Gazdag
31
Leon Flach ↓ Jose Martinez 84'
33
Quinn Sullivan ↓ Alejandro Bedoya 71'
16
Jack McGlynn
26
Nathan Harriel ↓ Olivier Mbaizo 84'
5
Jacob Glesnes
7
Mikkel Uhre
1
Oliver Semmle

Bench

Coach Jim Curtin

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Nick Cushing

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Cory Burke	6
Valentin Castellanos	5
Daniel Gazdag	4
Maxi Moralez	4
Julian Carranza	3
Alonso Martinez	3
Alejandro Bedoya	3
David Villa	2

Head to Head

Philadelphia Union Form

2024-05-15 Philadelphia Union 1–2 New York City FC L 2024-05-11 Philadelphia Union 2–3 Orlando City SC L 2024-05-04 D.C. United SC 2–2 Philadelphia Union D 2024-04-30 Philadelphia Union 2–3 Seattle Sounders FC L 2024-04-27 Philadelphia Union 1–2 Real Salt Lake L 2024-04-14 Atlanta United FC 2–2 Philadelphia Union D

New York City FC Form

2024-05-15 Philadelphia Union 1–2 New York City FC W 2024-05-11 Toronto FC 2–3 New York City FC W 2024-05-05 New York City FC 0–2 Colorado Rapids SC L 2024-04-27 New York City FC 2–1 Charlotte FC W 2024-04-20 New York City FC 2–0 D.C. United SC W 2024-04-13 New York City FC 2–0 New England Revolution W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.58 Philadelphia Union xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.97 New York City FC xG

I would bet for: Philadelphia Union or New York City FC 75% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Philadelphia Union31% Draw25% New York City FC44%

Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.55

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw

57%

Draw or New York City FC

69%

Philadelphia Union or New York City FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Philadelphia Union25% Draw40% New York City FC35%

Actual: New York City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.8%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

6.8%

2 – 2

6.6%

0 – 2

5.6%

1 – 3

5.6%

0 – 1

5.1%

2 – 3

4.4%

0 – 0

4.2%

1 – 0

3.9%

0 – 3

3.6%

2 – 0

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap	Philadelphia Union covers	Push	New York City FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	9%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	15%	70%
-0.5	30%	—	70%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	19%	27%
+1.5	73%	—	27%
+2	73%	14%	13%
+2.5	87%	—	13%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.