Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

Philadelphia Union

1 – 2

Full Time

New York City FC

Wed 15 May 2024 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Kai Wagner 45' Y

Y 51' Santiago Rodriguez

Y 62' Agustin Ojeda

Jack Elliott 71' Y

Y 78' Andres Perea

Y 87' Monsef Bakrar

Y 90' Malachi Jones

Overview

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC — MLS at Subaru Park.

Philadelphia Union 27 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
New York City FC 27 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Philadelphia Union 20 games · Avg 3.0 goals New York City FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-15 Philadelphia Union 1–2 New York City FC 2023-07-15 Philadelphia Union 2–1 New York City FC 2023-05-27 New York City FC 1–3 Philadelphia Union 2022-10-31 Philadelphia Union 3–1 New York City FC 2022-06-26 Philadelphia Union 2–1 New York City FC

Recent Form

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 May	New York City FC	H	1–2	L
11 May	Orlando City SC	H	2–3	L
04 May	D.C. United SC	A	2–2	D
30 Apr	Seattle Sounders FC	H	2–3	L
27 Apr	Real Salt Lake	H	1–2	L
14 Apr	Atlanta United FC	A	2–2	D

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 May	Philadelphia Union	A	2–1	W
11 May	Toronto FC	A	3–2	W
05 May	Colorado Rapids SC	H	0–2	L
27 Apr	Charlotte FC	H	2–1	W
20 Apr	D.C. United SC	H	2–0	W
13 Apr	New England Revolution	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union		New York City FC
#6	Position	#8
39	Points	33
27	Played	27
11 / 6 / 10	W / D / L	8 / 9 / 10
54	Scored	41
44	Conceded	36
+10	GD	+5
1.44	PPG	1.22
41%	Win %	30%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

26% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

19% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

Philadelphia Union are 6th (39 pts). New York City FC are 8th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

0-15

4/6

16-30

4/7

31-45

6/4

46-60

9/1

61-75

14/3

76+

6/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York City FC

0-15

5/2

16-30

4/4

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/4

61-75

4/6

76+

2/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski	16 G	2 A
Bruno Damiani	8 G	1 A
Cavan Sullivan	7 G	4 A

New York City FC

Nicolas Fernandez Marcau	15 G	4 A
Agustin Ojeda	5 G	5 A
Hannes Wolf	5 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Philadelphia Union launch into their encounter with New York City FC.
2' Alonso Martinez does the damage! The net is bulging and New York City FC surge ahead!
7' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
12' New York City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 12.
17' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
22' Philadelphia Union are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
27' Germany international Kai Wagner has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 3 assists in the Array this season.
32' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
37' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mikkel Uhre, as he is very good at scoring at Subaru Park with 11 goals in the last 9 games.
42' A quiet spell here at Subaru Park. New York City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
45' The referee shows Philadelphia Union player a card on 45.
46' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Hannes Wolf makes no mistake. 0-2!
47' GOAL! Julian Carranza scores on 47. Assisted by Jack McGlynn
51' It’s gonna be a card for Santiago Rodriguez.
56' The home supporters are growing impatient. Philadelphia Union must find a spark to ignite this game.
61' Philadelphia Union have won 491 goals from 293 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
62' Agustin Ojeda is having his name booked by the referee on 62.
67' Another change for New York City FC made on 67 minute. Alonso Martinez leaves to be changed by Monsef Bakrar.
71' Philadelphia Union receives a card for a hard tackle on 71.
71' Alejandro Bedoya has so much to prove this time. He replaces Quinn Sullivan on 71 minute.
76' Another change for New York City FC made on 76 minute. Santiago Rodriguez leaves to be changed by Justin Haak.
78' Andres Perea was booked on 78.
83' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
84' Jose Martinez is replacing Leon Flach for the Philadelphia Union side.
87' It’s a booking for New York City FC player. Monsef Bakrar gets a card.
89' Another substitution for New York City FC to replace Hannes Wolf by Tayvon Gray on 89 minute.
90' The referee shows New York City FC player a card on 90.
With this win, New York City FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

27
Kai Wagner
3
Jack Elliott
9
Julian Carranza
10
Daniel Gazdag
31
Leon Flach ↓ Jose Martinez 84'
33
Quinn Sullivan ↓ Alejandro Bedoya 71'
16
Jack McGlynn
26
Nathan Harriel ↓ Olivier Mbaizo 84'
5
Jacob Glesnes
7
Mikkel Uhre
1
Oliver Semmle

Bench

Coach Jim Curtin

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Nick Cushing

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Cory Burke	6
Valentin Castellanos	5
Daniel Gazdag	4
Maxi Moralez	4
Alonso Martinez	3
Julian Carranza	3
Alejandro Bedoya	3
David Villa	2

Head to Head

Philadelphia Union Form

2024-05-15 Philadelphia Union 1–2 New York City FC L 2024-05-11 Philadelphia Union 2–3 Orlando City SC L 2024-05-04 D.C. United SC 2–2 Philadelphia Union D 2024-04-30 Philadelphia Union 2–3 Seattle Sounders FC L 2024-04-27 Philadelphia Union 1–2 Real Salt Lake L 2024-04-14 Atlanta United FC 2–2 Philadelphia Union D

New York City FC Form

2024-05-15 Philadelphia Union 1–2 New York City FC W 2024-05-11 Toronto FC 2–3 New York City FC W 2024-05-05 New York City FC 0–2 Colorado Rapids SC L 2024-04-27 New York City FC 2–1 Charlotte FC W 2024-04-20 New York City FC 2–0 D.C. United SC W 2024-04-13 New York City FC 2–0 New England Revolution W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.87 Philadelphia Union xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.77 New York City FC xG

I would bet for: Philadelphia Union or New York City FC 75% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Philadelphia Union38% Draw25% New York City FC37%

Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes70% 0% No30%

Avg goals/match: 3.64

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	69%	31%
± 3.5	49%	51%
± 4.5	30%	70%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw

64%

Draw or New York City FC

62%

Philadelphia Union or New York City FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Philadelphia Union31% Draw40% New York City FC29%

Actual: New York City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.6%

2 – 1

7.9%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 2

6.9%

3 – 1

4.9%

2 – 0

4.6%

1 – 3

4.4%

1 – 0

4.4%

3 – 2

4.3%

0 – 2

4.2%

0 – 1

4.1%

2 – 3

4.1%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap	Philadelphia Union covers	Push	New York City FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	12%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	18%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	17%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	11%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.