Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

Philadelphia Union

1 – 2

Full Time

New York City FC

Wed 15 May 2024 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Kai Wagner 45' Y

Y 51' Santiago Rodriguez

Y 62' Agustin Ojeda

Jack Elliott 71' Y

Y 78' Andres Perea

Y 87' Monsef Bakrar

Y 90' Malachi Jones

Overview

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC — MLS at Subaru Park.

Philadelphia Union 34 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
New York City FC 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

Philadelphia Union 20 games · Avg 3.0 goals New York City FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-15 Philadelphia Union 1–2 New York City FC 2023-07-15 Philadelphia Union 2–1 New York City FC 2023-05-27 New York City FC 1–3 Philadelphia Union 2022-10-31 Philadelphia Union 3–1 New York City FC 2022-06-26 Philadelphia Union 2–1 New York City FC

Recent Form

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 May	New York City FC	H	1–2	L
11 May	Orlando City SC	H	2–3	L
04 May	D.C. United SC	A	2–2	D
30 Apr	Seattle Sounders FC	H	2–3	L
27 Apr	Real Salt Lake	H	1–2	L
14 Apr	Atlanta United FC	A	2–2	D

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 May	Philadelphia Union	A	2–1	W
11 May	Toronto FC	A	3–2	W
05 May	Colorado Rapids SC	H	0–2	L
27 Apr	Charlotte FC	H	2–1	W
20 Apr	D.C. United SC	H	2–0	W
13 Apr	New England Revolution	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union		New York City FC
#6	Position	#10
50	Points	42
34	Played	34
14 / 8 / 12	W / D / L	10 / 12 / 12
66	Scored	49
52	Conceded	45
+14	GD	+4
1.47	PPG	1.24
41%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

24% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

18% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

Philadelphia Union are 6th (50 pts). New York City FC are 10th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

0-15

4/6

16-30

6/7

31-45

8/7

46-60

12/2

61-75

17/5

76+

8/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York City FC

0-15

5/2

16-30

6/5

31-45

6/8

46-60

5/6

61-75

5/6

76+

5/10

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski	19 G	2 A
Bruno Damiani	13 G	3 A
Cavan Sullivan	9 G	6 A

New York City FC

Nicolas Fernandez Marcau	16 G	6 A
Agustin Ojeda	5 G	5 A
Hannes Wolf	5 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at Subaru Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Philadelphia Union and New York City FC.
2' GOAL! Alonso Martinez fires home to make it 0-1!
7' Over 7 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
12' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jack Elliott suffering a number of foals already.
17' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering New York City FC that had 305 games and scored 475 goals.
22' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Nick Cushing will be considering his options from the bench.
27' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mikkel Uhre is clearly more than just a goal scorer for New York City FC.
32' Supporters expect more eagerness from Monsef Bakrar, as he is very good at scoring at Subaru Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
37' The energy levels are beginning to show. Nick Cushing might look to freshen things up shortly.
42' New York City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
45' It’s a booking for Philadelphia Union player. Kai Wagner gets a card.
46' What a moment for Hannes Wolf! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
47' What a moment for Julian Carranza! That strike on 47 puts his side firmly in control.
51' New York City FC player sees a card in front of him.
56' Birk Risa is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for New York City FC tonight.
61' Germany international Oliver Semmle has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
62' That looks like a foul for a card for Agustin Ojeda.
67' Monsef Bakrar is replacing Alonso Martinez for the New York City FC side.
71' Jack Elliott catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 71.
71' The supporters are chanting for Alejandro Bedoya. He replaces Quinn Sullivan on 71 minute.
76' The supporters are chanting for Justin Haak. He replaces Santiago Rodriguez on 76 minute.
78' It’s gonna be a card for Andres Perea.
83' Philadelphia Union have won 521 goals from 305 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
84' The Philadelphia Union manager makes a substitution. Leon Flach departs to be replaced by Jose Martinez.
87' Monsef Bakrar has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 87.
89' Time for substitution for New York City FC. Hannes Wolf is replaced by Tayvon Gray.
90' New York City FC player sees a card in front of him.
Full Time. New York City FC beats Philadelphia Union

Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

27
Kai Wagner
3
Jack Elliott
9
Julian Carranza
10
Daniel Gazdag
31
Leon Flach ↓ Jose Martinez 84'
33
Quinn Sullivan ↓ Alejandro Bedoya 71'
16
Jack McGlynn
26
Nathan Harriel ↓ Olivier Mbaizo 84'
5
Jacob Glesnes
7
Mikkel Uhre
1
Oliver Semmle

Bench

Coach Jim Curtin

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Nick Cushing

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Cory Burke	6
Valentin Castellanos	5
Daniel Gazdag	4
Maxi Moralez	4
Alejandro Bedoya	3
Alonso Martinez	3
Julian Carranza	3
Bruno Damiani	2

Head to Head

Philadelphia Union Form

2024-05-15 Philadelphia Union 1–2 New York City FC L 2024-05-11 Philadelphia Union 2–3 Orlando City SC L 2024-05-04 D.C. United SC 2–2 Philadelphia Union D 2024-04-30 Philadelphia Union 2–3 Seattle Sounders FC L 2024-04-27 Philadelphia Union 1–2 Real Salt Lake L 2024-04-14 Atlanta United FC 2–2 Philadelphia Union D

New York City FC Form

2024-05-15 Philadelphia Union 1–2 New York City FC W 2024-05-11 Toronto FC 2–3 New York City FC W 2024-05-05 New York City FC 0–2 Colorado Rapids SC L 2024-04-27 New York City FC 2–1 Charlotte FC W 2024-04-20 New York City FC 2–0 D.C. United SC W 2024-04-13 New York City FC 2–0 New England Revolution W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.82 Philadelphia Union xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.68 New York City FC xG

I would bet for: Philadelphia Union or New York City FC 74% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Philadelphia Union39% Draw26% New York City FC35%

Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.5

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	67%	33%
± 3.5	46%	54%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw

64%

Draw or New York City FC

61%

Philadelphia Union or New York City FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Philadelphia Union31% Draw41% New York City FC28%

Actual: New York City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.1%

2 – 1

8.1%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 2

6.7%

2 – 0

3 – 1

4.9%

1 – 0

4.9%

0 – 1

4.4%

0 – 0

4.4%

0 – 2

4.3%

1 – 3

4.2%

3 – 2

4.1%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap	Philadelphia Union covers	Push	New York City FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	12%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	18%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	65%	—	35%
+1	65%	17%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	11%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.