Sunday , 16 August 2026

Paphos FC vs FK Crvena Zvezda, Champions League Q 2025 PLAYOFFS

Tue 26 Aug 2025 · 19:00 UTC Alphamega Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 33' Rade Krunic
Jaja 79' Y
Bruno 86' Y
Pepe 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Paphos FC vs FK Crvena ZvezdaChampions League Q at Alphamega Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
20 games this season 🟨 2.3/game 10.4 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Paphos FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals FK Crvena Zvezda

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug FK Crvena Zvezda H 1–1 D
19 Aug FK Crvena Zvezda A 2–1 W
12 Aug FK Dynamo Kyiv H 2–0 W
05 Aug FK Dynamo Kyiv A 1–0 W
30 Jul Maccabi Tel Aviv FC A 1–0 W
22 Jul Maccabi Tel Aviv FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Paphos FC A 1–1 D
19 Aug Paphos FC H 1–2 L
12 Aug KKS Lech Poznań H 1–1 D
06 Aug KKS Lech Poznań A 3–1 W
29 Jul Lincoln Red Imps FC H 5–1 W
22 Jul Lincoln Red Imps FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FK Crvena Zvezda this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Crvena Zvezda
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
2/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Paphos FC welcome FK Crvena Zvezda for this crunch clash at Alphamega Stadium.
  • 5' Nigeria international Peter Olayinka has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' The travelling FK Crvena Zvezda supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' FK Crvena Zvezda have won 139 goals from 245 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Crvena Zvezda needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Paphos FC in their trying to find a way past FK Crvena Zvezda's compact .
  • 30' The 31-year-old Derrick Luckassen has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 33' The referee shows FK Crvena Zvezda player a card on 33.
  • 34' Milos Veljkovic has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 34.
  • 39' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 39 minutes.
  • 44' FK Crvena Zvezda fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 49' Paphos FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FK Crvena Zvezda's shape.
  • 53' FK Crvena Zvezda player sees a card in front of him.
  • 56' FK Crvena Zvezda make a change. Bruno Duarte trudges off to be replaced by Marko Arnautovic on 56 minutes.
  • 60' Brilliant from the ! Mirko Ivanic makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 60.
  • 61' A change in the Paphos FC ranks — Kostas Pileas exits the field as Bruno Langa enters on 61.
  • 66' Paphos FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 68' The supporters are chanting for Mons Bassouamina. He replaces Anderson on 68 minute.
  • 73' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Paphos FC and FK Crvena Zvezda are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 78' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Paphos FC and FK Crvena Zvezda are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 79' It’s a booking for Paphos FC player. Jaja gets a card.
  • 84' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 86' The referee has no hesitation. Bruno is booked for Paphos FC — card on 86.
  • 89' Magnificent from Jaja! That is 2 goals in 374 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Pepe.
  • 90' Mirko Ivanic makes way for Peter Olayinka at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Crvena Zvezda.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.29 Paphos FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 FK Crvena Zvezda xG
I would bet for: Paphos FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Paphos FC44% Draw28% FK Crvena Zvezda28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Paphos FC or Draw
73%
Draw or FK Crvena Zvezda
56%
Paphos FC or FK Crvena Zvezda
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Paphos FC28% Draw50% FK Crvena Zvezda22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
10.8%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Paphos FC

Handicap Paphos FC covers Push FK Crvena Zvezda covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Paphos FC keeps clean sheet
34%
FK Crvena Zvezda keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.