Saturday , 14 November 2026

Paphos FC vs FK Crvena Zvezda, Champions League Q 2025 PLAYOFFS

Tue 26 Aug 2025 · 19:00 UTC Alphamega Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 33' Rade Krunic
Jaja 79' Y
Bruno 86' Y
Pepe 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Paphos FC vs FK Crvena Zvezda — Champions League Q at Alphamega Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
23 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 12.2 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
Paphos FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals FK Crvena Zvezda

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug FK Crvena Zvezda H 1–1 D
19 Aug FK Crvena Zvezda A 2–1 W
12 Aug FK Dynamo Kyiv H 2–0 W
05 Aug FK Dynamo Kyiv A 1–0 W
30 Jul Maccabi Tel Aviv FC A 1–0 W
22 Jul Maccabi Tel Aviv FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Paphos FC A 1–1 D
19 Aug Paphos FC H 1–2 L
12 Aug KKS Lech Poznań H 1–1 D
06 Aug KKS Lech Poznań A 3–1 W
29 Jul Lincoln Red Imps FC H 5–1 W
22 Jul Lincoln Red Imps FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FK Crvena Zvezda this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Crvena Zvezda
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Crvena Zvezda
Marko Arnautovic 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Alphamega Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Paphos FC and FK Crvena Zvezda.
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Paphos FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 10' David Goldar has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 15' Bruno Duarte is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FK Crvena Zvezda tonight.
  • 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Crvena Zvezda that had 247 games and scored 143 goals.
  • 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
  • 33' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Rade Krunic on 33 minutes.
  • 34' That looks like a foul for a card for Milos Veljkovic.
  • 39' Vlad Dragomir has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 44' FK Crvena Zvezda is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 49' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 53' Shavy Warren Babicka picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 56' The whistle greets Bruno Duarte as he departs to be replaced by Marko Arnautovic.
  • 60' Mirko Ivanic doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 61' A change in the Paphos FC ranks — Kostas Pileas exits the field as Bruno Langa enters on 61.
  • 66' Paphos FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Crvena Zvezda backline.
  • 68' The supporters are chanting for Mons Bassouamina. He replaces Anderson on 68 minute.
  • 73' Both keepers have barely been tested. Paphos FC and FK Crvena Zvezda are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 78' Paphos FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 79' Jaja catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 79.
  • 84' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 86' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Bruno on 86 minutes.
  • 89' Assisted by Pepe with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jaja makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 90' Paphos FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • 90' FK Crvena Zvezda manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Peter Olayinka is hanging Mirko Ivanic on the field on 90 minute.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.29 Paphos FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 FK Crvena Zvezda xG
I would bet for: Paphos FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Paphos FC44% Draw28% FK Crvena Zvezda28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Paphos FC or Draw
73%
Draw or FK Crvena Zvezda
56%
Paphos FC or FK Crvena Zvezda
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Paphos FC28% Draw50% FK Crvena Zvezda22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
10.8%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Paphos FC

Handicap Paphos FC covers Push FK Crvena Zvezda covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Paphos FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
FK Crvena Zvezda keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.