Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SBV Excelsior vs PSV, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
1 – 2
Full Time
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SBV Excelsior vs PSV — Eredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Dennis Higler
4 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 4.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep PSV H 1–2 L
20 Sep FC Volendam A 2–1 W
14 Sep Sparta Rotterdam H 0–1 L
30 Aug FC Twente '65 H 1–0 W
24 Aug FC Utrecht A 1–4 L
16 Aug Feyenoord Rotterdam H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep SBV Excelsior A 2–1 W
21 Sep AFC Ajax H 2–2 D
16 Sep Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H 1–3 L
13 Sep NEC A 5–3 W
30 Aug Telstar 1963 H 0–2 L
23 Aug FC Groningen H 4–2 W

Season Stats

SBV Excelsior PSV
#7 Position #3
11 Points 16
7 Played 7
3 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 5 / 1 / 1
15 Scored 24
9 Conceded 10
+6 GD +14
1.57 PPG 2.29
43% Win % 71%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
78% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season
0% Clean Sheets
PSV this season

SBV Excelsior are 7th (11 pts). PSV are 3rd (16 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SBV Excelsior
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
PSV
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
2/–
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SBV Excelsior
Aymen Sliti 3 G 1 A
David Garden 3 G
Irakli Yegoian 2 G 5 A
Noah Naujoks 2 G
Casper Widell 1 G
PSV
Sven Mijnans 4 G 1 A
Guus Til 4 G
Ricardo Pepi 3 G
Sergino Dest 2 G 2 A
Ruben van Bommel 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. SBV Excelsior get us underway at .
  • PSV celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

SBV Excelsior Lineups

PSV Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.45 SBV Excelsior xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.5 PSV xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SBV Excelsior23% Draw22% PSV55%
Actual: PSV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.95
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

SBV Excelsior or Draw
45%
Draw or PSV
77%
SBV Excelsior or PSV
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SBV Excelsior19% Draw37% PSV44%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
7.8%
1 – 3
7%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
6.1%
2 – 3
5%
2 – 1
5%
0 – 3
5%
0 – 1
4.5%
1 – 4
4.4%
2 – 4
3.2%
0 – 4
3.1%

Asian Handicap — SBV Excelsior

Handicap SBV Excelsior covers Push PSV covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 11% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 41% — 59%
+1 41% 20% 39%
+1.5 61% — 39%
+2 61% 17% 22%
+2.5 78% — 22%

Clean Sheet

SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
9% ✓
PSV keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.