SBV Excelsior vs PSV, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SBV Excelsior vs PSV — Eredivisie .
- SBV Excelsior 2 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
- PSV 2 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Dennis Higler
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Fortuna Sittard | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | PSV | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | SBV Excelsior | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | NEC | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | AFC Ajax | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | SC Heerenveen | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Telstar 1963 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | FC Twente '65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | FC Utrecht | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II Tilburg | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | PSV | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | FC Volendam | A | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | FC Twente '65 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | FC Utrecht | A | 1–4 | L |
| 16 Aug | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | SBV Excelsior | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | AFC Ajax | H | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Sep | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | H | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | NEC | A | 5–3 | W |
| 30 Aug | Telstar 1963 | H | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | FC Groningen | H | 4–2 | W |
Season Stats
| SBV Excelsior | PSV | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #3 |
| 3 | Points | 4 |
| 2 | Played | 2 |
| 1 / 0 / 1 | W / D / L | 1 / 1 / 0 |
| 5 | Scored | 4 |
| 2 | Conceded | 3 |
| +3 | GD | +1 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 2.00 |
| 50% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
78%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season
SBV Excelsior this season
0%
Clean Sheets
PSV this season
PSV this season
SBV Excelsior are 4th (3 pts). PSV are 3rd (4 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SBV Excelsior
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
PSV
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Lineups
SBV Excelsior Lineups
PSV Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luuk de Jong | 6 |
| Steven Bergwijn | 3 |
| Xavi Simons | 3 |
| Ibrahim Sangare | 2 |
| Siebe Horemans | 1 |
| Erick Gutierrez | 1 |
| Fabio Silva | 1 |
| Derensili Sanches Fernandes | 1 |
Head to Head
SBV Excelsior Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.84
SBV Excelsior xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.98
PSV xG
I would bet for:
SBV Excelsior or PSV 76% + Over 2.5 goals 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: PSV win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.82
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
SBV Excelsior or Draw
57%
Draw or PSV
66%
SBV Excelsior or PSV
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 3
4.6%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 1
3.9%
2 – 0
3.8%
1 – 0
3.5%
Asian Handicap — SBV Excelsior
| Handicap | SBV Excelsior covers | Push | PSV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 11% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 17% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 18% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 12% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
PSV keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

