Thursday , 2 July 2026

SBV Excelsior vs NAC Breda, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
Sat 29 Nov 2025 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SBV Excelsior vs NAC BredaEredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
7 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 4.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov NAC Breda H 1–0 W
22 Nov AFC Ajax A 2–1 W
08 Nov Heracles Almelo H 1–2 L
01 Nov Telstar 1963 A 2–2 D
26 Oct Go Ahead Eagles A 0–2 L
19 Oct Fortuna Sittard H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov SBV Excelsior A 0–1 L
22 Nov PSV H 0–1 L
08 Nov FC Volendam A 1–2 L
01 Nov Go Ahead Eagles H 1–0 W
24 Oct SC Heerenveen A 3–3 D
18 Oct PEC Zwolle H 2–2 D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SBV Excelsior Lineups

NAC Breda Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.36 SBV Excelsior xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 NAC Breda xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SBV Excelsior49% Draw28% NAC Breda23%
Actual: SBV Excelsior win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

SBV Excelsior or Draw
77%
Draw or NAC Breda
51%
SBV Excelsior or NAC Breda
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SBV Excelsior31% Draw51% NAC Breda18%
Actual: SBV Excelsior win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
12.3%
2 – 0
9%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
1.9%

Asian Handicap — SBV Excelsior

Handicap SBV Excelsior covers Push NAC Breda covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 23% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
40%
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.