Thursday , 2 July 2026

PSV vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
4 3
Full Time
Sat 13 Dec 2025 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

PSV vs Heracles AlmeloEredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Alex Bos

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Dec Heracles Almelo H 4–3 W
09 Dec Club Atletico de Madrid H 2–3 L
06 Dec SC Heerenveen A 2–0 W
30 Nov FC Volendam H 3–0 W
26 Nov Liverpool FC A 4–1 W
22 Nov NAC Breda A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Dec PSV A 3–4 L
06 Dec Telstar 1963 H 1–1 D
29 Nov Fortuna Sittard A 1–1 D
22 Nov Go Ahead Eagles H 4–2 W
08 Nov SBV Excelsior A 2–1 W
02 Nov PEC Zwolle H 8–2 W

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for PSV and Heracles Almelo.
  • Another three points for PSV.

Lineups

PSV Lineups

Heracles Almelo Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.27 PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PSV58% Draw21% Heracles Almelo21%
Actual: PSV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

PSV or Draw
79%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
42%
PSV or Heracles Almelo
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
PSV41% Draw39% Heracles Almelo20%
Actual: PSV win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted
4 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
8.8%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 2
5.6%
1 – 0
5.2%
3 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.7%
4 – 1
3.8%
0 – 0
3.8%
0 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — PSV

Handicap PSV covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 17% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 20% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

PSV keeps clean sheet
25%
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.