Thursday , 2 July 2026

SBV Excelsior vs FC Groningen, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
Fri 5 Dec 2025 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SBV Excelsior vs FC GroningenEredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Martijn Vos

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Dec FC Groningen H 0–2 L
29 Nov NAC Breda H 1–0 W
22 Nov AFC Ajax A 2–1 W
08 Nov Heracles Almelo H 1–2 L
01 Nov Telstar 1963 A 2–2 D
26 Oct Go Ahead Eagles A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Dec SBV Excelsior A 2–0 W
02 Dec AFC Ajax A 0–2 L
23 Nov PEC Zwolle H 2–2 D
09 Nov NEC A 0–2 L
02 Nov FC Twente '65 H 1–1 D
25 Oct Fortuna Sittard A 2–1 W

Season Stats

SBV Excelsior FC Groningen
#13 Position #4
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

SBV Excelsior are 13th (0 pts). FC Groningen are 4th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SBV Excelsior Lineups

FC Groningen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.4 SBV Excelsior xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 FC Groningen xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 88% + Under — clean sheet likely 80%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SBV Excelsior21% Draw40% FC Groningen39%
Actual: FC Groningen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes20% 0% No80%
Avg goals/match: 1.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 66%
34%
± 1.5 33%
67%
± 2.5 12%
88%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

SBV Excelsior or Draw
61%
Draw or FC Groningen
79%
SBV Excelsior or FC Groningen
60%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SBV Excelsior9% Draw69% FC Groningen22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
33.7%
0 – 1
22.2%
1 – 1
10.7%
1 – 0
10.7%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
4%
2 – 0
2.1%
0 – 3
2.1%
2 – 1
2%
1 – 3
1.1%
2 – 2
1%
0 – 4
0.4%

Asian Handicap — SBV Excelsior

Handicap SBV Excelsior covers Push FC Groningen covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 2% 97%
-1.5 3% 97%
-1 3% 13% 84%
-0.5 16% 84%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 27% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 10% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
47%
FC Groningen keeps clean sheet
67%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.