Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SBV Excelsior vs FC Groningen, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
Fri 5 Dec 2025 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SBV Excelsior vs FC Groningen — Eredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Martijn Vos
3 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 6.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Dec FC Groningen H 0–2 L
29 Nov NAC Breda H 1–0 W
22 Nov AFC Ajax A 2–1 W
08 Nov Heracles Almelo H 1–2 L
01 Nov Telstar 1963 A 2–2 D
26 Oct Go Ahead Eagles A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Dec SBV Excelsior A 2–0 W
02 Dec AFC Ajax A 0–2 L
23 Nov PEC Zwolle H 2–2 D
09 Nov NEC A 0–2 L
02 Nov FC Twente '65 H 1–1 D
25 Oct Fortuna Sittard A 2–1 W

Season Stats

SBV Excelsior FC Groningen
#7 Position #8
11 Points 11
7 Played 7
3 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 2
15 Scored 15
9 Conceded 13
+6 GD +2
1.57 PPG 1.57
43% Win % 43%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season
14% Clean Sheets
FC Groningen this season

SBV Excelsior are 7th (11 pts). FC Groningen are 8th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SBV Excelsior
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Groningen
0-15
3/2
16-30
5/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SBV Excelsior
Aymen Sliti 3 G 1 A
David Garden 3 G
Irakli Yegoian 2 G 5 A
Noah Naujoks 2 G
Casper Widell 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SBV Excelsior Lineups

FC Groningen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.61 SBV Excelsior xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46 FC Groningen xG
I would bet for: SBV Excelsior or FC Groningen 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SBV Excelsior38% Draw27% FC Groningen35%
Actual: FC Groningen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

SBV Excelsior or Draw
65%
Draw or FC Groningen
62%
SBV Excelsior or FC Groningen
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SBV Excelsior30% Draw44% FC Groningen26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
6.7%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 0
5.9%
0 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — SBV Excelsior

Handicap SBV Excelsior covers Push FC Groningen covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 19% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 17% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
FC Groningen keeps clean sheet
21% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.