Wednesday , 30 September 2026

PSV vs SBV Excelsior, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
5 – 1
Full Time
Sat 10 Jan 2026 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

PSV vs SBV Excelsior — Eredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Joey Kooij
5 games this season 🟨 4.2/game ⚽ 18.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan SBV Excelsior H 5–1 W
21 Dec FC Utrecht A 2–1 W
13 Dec Heracles Almelo H 4–3 W
09 Dec Club Atlético de Madrid H 2–3 L
06 Dec SC Heerenveen A 2–0 W
30 Nov FC Volendam H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan PSV A 1–5 L
20 Dec PEC Zwolle H 2–1 W
05 Dec FC Groningen H 0–2 L
29 Nov NAC Breda H 1–0 W
22 Nov AFC Ajax A 2–1 W
08 Nov Heracles Almelo H 1–2 L

Season Stats

PSV SBV Excelsior
#3 Position #7
16 Points 11
7 Played 7
5 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 2
24 Scored 15
10 Conceded 9
+14 GD +6
2.29 PPG 1.57
71% Win % 43%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
78% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
PSV this season
29% Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season

PSV are 3rd (16 pts). SBV Excelsior are 7th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

PSV
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
2/–
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SBV Excelsior
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

PSV
Sven Mijnans 4 G 1 A
Guus Til 4 G
Ricardo Pepi 3 G
Sergino Dest 2 G 2 A
Ruben van Bommel 2 G 2 A
SBV Excelsior
Aymen Sliti 3 G 1 A
David Garden 3 G
Irakli Yegoian 2 G 5 A
Noah Naujoks 2 G
Casper Widell 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: PSV gets underway.
  • PSV celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

PSV Lineups

SBV Excelsior Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.14 PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 SBV Excelsior xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PSV69% Draw17% SBV Excelsior14%
Actual: PSV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 4.54
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 81%
19%
± 3.5 65%
35%
± 4.5 46%
54%

Double Chance

PSV or Draw
86%
Draw or SBV Excelsior
31%
PSV or SBV Excelsior
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
PSV54% Draw32% SBV Excelsior14%
Actual: PSV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 1
7.5%
2 – 1
7.4%
4 – 1
5.9%
3 – 0
5.6%
2 – 0
5.5%
1 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
5%
4 – 0
4.3%
4 – 2
4.1%
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — PSV

Handicap PSV covers Push SBV Excelsior covers
-2.5 33% — 67%
-2 33% 19% 48%
-1.5 52% — 48%
-1 52% 18% 30%
-0.5 70% — 30%
+0.5 86% — 14%
+1 86% 8% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

PSV keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.