Sunday , 16 August 2026

PSV vs SBV Excelsior, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
5 1
Full Time
Sat 10 Jan 2026 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

PSV vs SBV ExcelsiorEredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Joey Kooij
3 games this season 🟨 3.0/game 12.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan SBV Excelsior H 5–1 W
21 Dec FC Utrecht A 2–1 W
13 Dec Heracles Almelo H 4–3 W
09 Dec Club Atlético de Madrid H 2–3 L
06 Dec SC Heerenveen A 2–0 W
30 Nov FC Volendam H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan PSV A 1–5 L
20 Dec PEC Zwolle H 2–1 W
05 Dec FC Groningen H 0–2 L
29 Nov NAC Breda H 1–0 W
22 Nov AFC Ajax A 2–1 W
08 Nov Heracles Almelo H 1–2 L

Season Stats

PSV SBV Excelsior
#6 Position #8
4 Points 3
2 Played 2
1 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 1
4 Scored 5
3 Conceded 2
+1 GD +3
2.00 PPG 1.50
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
78% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
PSV this season
50% Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season

PSV are 6th (4 pts). SBV Excelsior are 8th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

PSV
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SBV Excelsior
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
2/
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 5-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

PSV Lineups

SBV Excelsior Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.5 PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7 SBV Excelsior xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PSV58% Draw20% SBV Excelsior22%
Actual: PSV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 4.2
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 59%
41%
± 4.5 41%
59%

Double Chance

PSV or Draw
78%
Draw or SBV Excelsior
42%
PSV or SBV Excelsior
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
PSV42% Draw36% SBV Excelsior22%
Actual: PSV win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
6.4%
3 – 2
5.4%
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
4.8%
4 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.7%
1 – 0
3.4%
4 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — PSV

Handicap PSV covers Push SBV Excelsior covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 16% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 19% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 13% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

PSV keeps clean sheet
19%
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.