Thursday , 2 July 2026

PSV vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
2 0
Full Time
Fri 16 Feb 2024 · 19:00 UTC Philips Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'
Luuk de Jong 18' 1–0
Olivier Boscagli 56' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

PSV vs Heracles AlmeloEredivisie at Philips Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Ingmar Oostrom
  • Assistant 1 Joost van Zuilen
  • Assistant 2 Frans Ozinga (Netherlands)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Feb Heracles Almelo H 2–0 W
11 Feb FC Volendam A 5–1 W
03 Feb AFC Ajax A 1–1 D
27 Jan Almere City FC H 2–0 W
21 Jan FC Utrecht A 1–1 D
13 Jan SBV Excelsior H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Feb PSV A 0–2 L
10 Feb SBV Vitesse H 3–2 W
03 Feb NEC A 1–3 L
27 Jan AFC Ajax H 2–4 L
20 Jan FC Volendam H 1–1 D
12 Jan RKC Waalwijk A 2–1 W

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Philips Stadion. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. PSV must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 13' Bryan Limbombe is having his name booked by the referee on 13.
  • 17' Poor challenge from Jordy Bruijn. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 18' Luuk de Jong does the damage! The net is bulging and PSV surge ahead!
  • 23' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His PSV side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 28' Heracles Almelo come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 31' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ajdin Hrustic.
  • 36' A quiet spell here at Philips Stadion. Heracles Almelo seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 41' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 46' Another change for Heracles Almelo made on 46 minute. Jordy Bruijn leaves to be changed by Jetro Willems.
  • 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 56' Brilliant from the ! Olivier Boscagli makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 56.
  • 60' The whistle greets Emil Hansson as he departs to be replaced by Thomas Bruns.
  • 61' Isaac Babadi gets the nod from PSV. He replaces Malik Tillman and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 66' Supporters expect more eagerness from Walter Benitez, as he is very good at scoring at Philips Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 71' Ajdin Hrustic has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 76' PSV ring the changes. Joey Veerman has done his job and it is now time for Patrick van Aanholt to step up.
  • 81' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 85' A tactical swap from PSVShurandy Sambo on, Hirving Lozano off on 85 minutes.
  • 90' Heracles Almelo are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.98 PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.73 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: PSV to win 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PSV66% Draw21% Heracles Almelo13%
Actual: PSV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

PSV or Draw
88%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
34%
PSV or Heracles Almelo
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
PSV46% Draw43% Heracles Almelo11%
Actual: PSV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
12.6%
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 0
8.4%
3 – 0
8.3%
3 – 1
6.1%
4 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.3%
1 – 2
3.3%
4 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — PSV

Handicap PSV covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 20% 59%
-1.5 41% 59%
-1 41% 24% 34%
-0.5 66% 34%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 8% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

PSV keeps clean sheet
49%
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.