Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Heracles Almelo vs PSV, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
0 – 6
Full Time
Sat 4 Nov 2023 · 15:30 UTC Erve Asito 11,867 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 22' Luuk de Jong pen
0–2 44' Jerdy Schouten
0–3 65' Malik Tillman
0–4 69' Andre Ramalho
0–5 84' Guus Til
0–6 90' Ricardo Pepi

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs PSV — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Joey Kooij
  • Assistant 1 Patrick Inia
  • Assistant 2 Dyon Fikkert
5 games this season 🟨 4.2/game ⚽ 18.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov PSV H 0–6 L
28 Oct SC Heerenveen A 0–3 L
22 Oct FC Twente '65 H 2–2 D
07 Oct Go Ahead Eagles A 0–4 L
01 Oct PEC Zwolle H 2–1 W
28 Sep AZ A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov Heracles Almelo A 6–0 W
29 Oct AFC Ajax H 5–2 W
24 Oct Racing Club de Lens A 1–1 D
21 Oct Fortuna Sittard H 3–1 W
08 Oct Sparta Rotterdam A 4–0 W
03 Oct Sevilla FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
PSV this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

PSV
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
2/–
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

PSV
Sven Mijnans 4 G 1 A
Guus Til 4 G
Ricardo Pepi 3 G
Sergino Dest 2 G 2 A
Ruben van Bommel 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Heracles Almelo launch into their encounter with PSV.
  • 5' PSV is showing some good football. However, PSV are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Navajo Bakboord, as he is very good at scoring at Erve Asito with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 20' Heracles Almelo currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 21' It’s gonna be a Red card for Justin Hoogma.
  • 22' Brilliant from the centre-forward! Luuk de Jong makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 22.
  • 23' Heracles Almelo make a change. Mario Engels trudges off to be replaced by Sava Cestic on 23 minutes.
  • 25' The referee has no hesitation. Navajo Bakboord is booked for Heracles Almelo — Yellow card on 25.
  • 26' Navajo Bakboord is having his name booked by the referee on 26.
  • 31' PSV are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 36' It is a cagey affair so far. Heracles Almelo in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past PSV's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 41' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 44' Against the run of play, Jerdy Schouten has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 46' The Heracles Almelo bench stirs into life. Marko Vejinovic is withdrawn and Jannes Wieckhoff gets his opportunity.
  • 47' Fresh legs for PSV! Ismael Saibari comes on to replace Jerdy Schouten.
  • 52' PSV fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 55' The supporters are chanting for Malik Tillman. He replaces Ismael Saibari on 55 minute.
  • 60' PSV manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ricardo Pepi is hanging Luuk de Jong on the field on 60 minute.
  • 65' Malik Tillman has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 65 minutes.
  • 68' Fresh legs for Heracles Almelo! Mohamed Sankoh comes on to replace Emil Hansson.
  • 69' A goal from the Brazil international Andre Ramalho! He fires home on 69 to make it 0-4!
  • 74' Ismael Saibari is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for Heracles Almelo tonight.
  • 76' Heracles Almelo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jetro Willems is hanging Thomas Bruns on the field on 76 minute.
  • 78' Johan Bakayoko makes way for Yorbe Vertessen at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from PSV.
  • 83' PSV is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 84' GOAL! Guus Til scores on 84.
  • 89' The home supporters are growing impatient. Heracles Almelo must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 90' Ricardo Pepi is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Heracles Almelo.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.96 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.31 PSV xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + PSV to win 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo17% Draw22% PSV61%
Actual: PSV win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
39%
Draw or PSV
83%
Heracles Almelo or PSV
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo13% Draw39% PSV48%
Actual: PSV win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–6 not predicted
0 – 6
Actual
0 – 2
10.1%
1 – 2
9.4%
1 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
8.4%
0 – 3
7.6%
1 – 3
7.2%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 4
4.4%
1 – 4
4.2%
2 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push PSV covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 3% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 9% 87%
-0.5 13% — 87%
+0.5 34% — 66%
+1 34% 22% 44%
+1.5 56% — 44%
+2 56% 20% 24%
+2.5 76% — 24%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
11% ✓
PSV keeps clean sheet
39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.