Heracles Almelo vs PSV, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Heracles Almelo vs PSV — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.
- Heracles Almelo 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- PSV 2 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Joey Kooij
- Assistant 1 Patrick Inia
- Assistant 2 Dyon Fikkert
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Groningen | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Fortuna Sittard | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | PSV | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | SBV Excelsior | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | NEC | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | AFC Ajax | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | SC Heerenveen | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Telstar 1963 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | FC Twente '65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | ADO Den Haag | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | FC Utrecht | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II Tilburg | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov | PSV | H | 0–6 | L |
| 28 Oct | SC Heerenveen | A | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Oct | FC Twente '65 | H | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Oct | Go Ahead Eagles | A | 0–4 | L |
| 01 Oct | PEC Zwolle | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Sep | AZ | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov | Heracles Almelo | A | 6–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | AFC Ajax | H | 5–2 | W |
| 24 Oct | Racing Club de Lens | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Oct | Fortuna Sittard | H | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | Sparta Rotterdam | A | 4–0 | W |
| 03 Oct | Sevilla FC | H | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
PSV this season
PSV this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
PSV
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Erve Asito as Heracles Almelo face off against PSV in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Heracles Almelo currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 10' PSV are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Heracles Almelo and PSV are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 20' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 21' Justin Hoogma is having his name booked by the referee on 21.
- 22' Luuk de Jong has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 22 minutes.
- 23' The Heracles Almelo bench stirs into life. Mario Engels is withdrawn and Sava Cestic gets his opportunity.
- 25' The referee calls foul for Navajo Bakboord. He receives a Yellow card.
- 26' That is a Yellow card for Heracles Almelo. Navajo Bakboord will be fuming at that decision.
- 31' Heracles Almelo started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 31.
- 36' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 41' The 34-year-old Andre Ramalho has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 44' Magnificent from Jerdy Schouten! That is 10 goals in 137 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 46' The whistle greets Marko Vejinovic as he departs to be replaced by Jannes Wieckhoff.
- 47' Ismael Saibari is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jerdy Schouten at the 47 minute mark.
- 52' PSV seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 55' Ismael Saibari makes way for Malik Tillman at the 55 minute mark. A tactical switch from PSV.
- 60' The supporters are chanting for Ricardo Pepi. He replaces Luuk de Jong on 60 minute.
- 65' Brilliant from the ! Malik Tillman makes it 0-3 with a superb finish on 65.
- 68' Mohamed Sankoh has so much to prove this time. He replaces Emil Hansson on 68 minute.
- 69' What composure from Andre Ramalho! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-4.
- 74' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 76' It is a substitution in Heracles Almelo team. Thomas Bruns is replaced by Jetro Willems on 76 minute.
- 78' It is a substitution in PSV team. Johan Bakayoko is replaced by Yorbe Vertessen on 78 minute.
- 83' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Heracles Almelo and PSV are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 84' Against the run of play, Guus Til has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 89' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Heracles Almelo and PSV are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 90' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Ricardo Pepi makes it 0-6.
- 0-6 the final result. Heracles Almelo will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Heracles Almelo Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 18
-
17
Thomas Bruns ↓ Jetro Willems 76'
- 1
-
8
Mario Engels ↓ Sava Cestic 23'
- 21
-
29
Emil Hansson ↓ Mohamed Sankoh 68'
- 14
- 10
- 19
- 12
- 4
Bench
-
15
Jetro Willems ↑ 76'
- 28
- 16
- 7
- 27
-
3
Jannes Wieckhoff ↑ 46'
-
6
Sava Cestic ↑ 23'
-
44
Mohamed Sankoh ↑ 68'
-
32
Sem Scheperman ↑ 46'
- 39
- 9
- 35
Coach
John Lammers
PSV Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 27
-
9
Luuk de Jong ↓ Ricardo Pepi 60'
- 3
- 20
-
22
Jerdy Schouten ↓ Ismael Saibari 46'
- 18
- 1
- 5
- 8
- 23
- 11
Bench
-
30
Patrick van Aanholt ↑ 60'
- 16
- 24
-
14
Ricardo Pepi ↑ 60'
-
34
Ismael Saibari ↑ 46'
- 10
-
2
Shurandy Sambo ↑ 78'
-
32
Yorbe Vertessen ↑ 78'
- 19
- 31
- 26
Coach
Peter Bosz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Malik Tillman | 3 |
| Steven Bergwijn | 2 |
| Donyell Malen | 2 |
| Ismael Saibari | 2 |
| Luuk de Jong | 2 |
| Mohammed Ihattaren | 2 |
| Denzel Dumfries | 2 |
| Bruma | 2 |
Head to Head
Heracles Almelo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.96
Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.31
PSV xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 62% + PSV to win 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: PSV win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.27
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
Heracles Almelo or Draw
39%
Draw or PSV
83%
Heracles Almelo or PSV
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: PSV win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–6 not predicted0 – 6Actual
0 – 2
10.1%
1 – 2
9.4%
1 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
8.4%
0 – 3
7.6%
1 – 3
7.2%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 4
4.4%
1 – 4
4.2%
2 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo
| Handicap | Heracles Almelo covers | Push | PSV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 9% | 87% |
| -0.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| +0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +1 | 34% | 22% | 44% |
| +1.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +2 | 56% | 20% | 24% |
| +2.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
Clean Sheet
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
PSV keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

