Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heracles Almelo vs PSV, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
0 6
Full Time
Sat 4 Nov 2023 · 15:30 UTC Erve Asito 11,867 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 22' Luuk de Jong pen
0–2 44' Jerdy Schouten
0–3 65' Malik Tillman
0–4 69' Andre Ramalho
0–5 84' Guus Til
0–6 90' Ricardo Pepi

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs PSVEredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Joey Kooij
  • Assistant 1 Patrick Inia
  • Assistant 2 Dyon Fikkert

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov PSV H 0–6 L
28 Oct SC Heerenveen A 0–3 L
22 Oct FC Twente '65 H 2–2 D
07 Oct Go Ahead Eagles A 0–4 L
01 Oct PEC Zwolle H 2–1 W
28 Sep AZ A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov Heracles Almelo A 6–0 W
29 Oct AFC Ajax H 5–2 W
24 Oct Racing Club de Lens A 1–1 D
21 Oct Fortuna Sittard H 3–1 W
08 Oct Sparta Rotterdam A 4–0 W
03 Oct Sevilla FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Erve Asito will turn into a battlefield for Heracles Almelo and PSV.
  • 5' The 35-year-old Luuk de Jong has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Heracles Almelo side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 15' It looks surprising PSV does not make any changes. Olivier Boscagli has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 20' Jerdy Schouten is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Heracles Almelo tonight.
  • 21' Controversy at the stadium! Justin Hoogma argues furiously but the Red card stands.
  • 22' What a moment for Luuk de Jong! That strike on 22 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 23' Another change for Heracles Almelo made on 23 minute. Mario Engels leaves to be changed by Sava Cestic.
  • 25' The referee has no hesitation. Navajo Bakboord is booked for Heracles Almelo — Yellow card on 25.
  • 26' Navajo Bakboord picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 31' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering PSV that had 436 games and scored 819 goals.
  • 36' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 41' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 44' Goal! Jerdy Schouten scores his 10 goal in 137 matches.
  • 46' The Heracles Almelo manager makes a substitution. Marko Vejinovic departs to be replaced by Jannes Wieckhoff.
  • 47' Time for substitution for PSV. Jerdy Schouten is replaced by Ismael Saibari.
  • 52' Both keepers have barely been tested. Heracles Almelo and PSV are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 55' Ismael Saibari makes way for Malik Tillman at the 55 minute mark. A tactical switch from PSV.
  • 60' Ricardo Pepi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luuk de Jong at the 60 minute mark.
  • 65' Malik Tillman makes no mistake. The score reads 0-3 and PSV are in front.
  • 68' Mohamed Sankoh has so much to prove this time. He replaces Emil Hansson on 68 minute.
  • 69' GOAL! Andre Ramalho scores on 69.
  • 74' It is a cagey affair so far. Heracles Almelo in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past PSV's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 76' Another change for Heracles Almelo made on 76 minute. Thomas Bruns leaves to be changed by Jetro Willems.
  • 78' The crowd applauds Johan Bakayoko as he leaves the pitch. Yorbe Vertessen steps in for PSV.
  • 83' Ruben Roosken is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for PSV so far.
  • 84' Guus Til is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 89' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 90' What composure from Ricardo Pepi! The USA international strokes it home. 0-6.
  • The final score is 0-6.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.96 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.31 PSV xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + PSV to win 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo17% Draw22% PSV61%
Actual: PSV win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
39%
Draw or PSV
83%
Heracles Almelo or PSV
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo13% Draw39% PSV48%
Actual: PSV win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–6 not predicted
0 – 6
Actual
0 – 2
10.1%
1 – 2
9.4%
1 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
8.4%
0 – 3
7.6%
1 – 3
7.2%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 4
4.4%
1 – 4
4.2%
2 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push PSV covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 3% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 9% 87%
-0.5 13% 87%
+0.5 34% 66%
+1 34% 22% 44%
+1.5 56% 44%
+2 56% 20% 24%
+2.5 76% 24%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
11%
PSV keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.