Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FK Krasnodar vs PFK Sochi, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
5 – 1
Full Time
Sun 17 Aug 2025 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Aug PFK Sochi H 5–1 W
10 Aug FK Orenburg A 1–0 W
02 Aug FK Dinamo Moskva H 1–0 W
26 Jul FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 1–2 L
20 Jul FK Nizhny Novgorod A 3–0 W
24 May FK Dinamo Moskva H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Aug FK Krasnodar A 1–5 L
10 Aug FK Dinamo Moskva H 1–1 D
04 Aug FK Rubin Kazan A 1–2 L
26 Jul FK Akron Tolyatti H 0–4 L
19 Jul FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 0–3 L
25 May FK Rubin Kazan A 1–1 D

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FK Krasnodar this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Krasnodar
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/–
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Krasnodar
Nikita Krivtsov 3 G 1 A
Jubal 3 G
Christian 2 G 2 A
Juan Boselli 2 G 1 A
Joao Batxi 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
  • It finishes all square. FK Krasnodar and PFK Sochi share the spoils 5-1.

Lineups

FK Krasnodar Lineups

PFK Sochi Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.14 FK Krasnodar xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 PFK Sochi xG
I would bet for: FK Krasnodar to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Krasnodar65% Draw21% PFK Sochi14%
Actual: FK Krasnodar win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

FK Krasnodar or Draw
86%
Draw or PFK Sochi
35%
FK Krasnodar or PFK Sochi
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Krasnodar46% Draw41% PFK Sochi13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
10.4%
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
9.3%
3 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
6.8%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
3.9%
4 – 1
3.7%
0 – 1
3.6%

Asian Handicap — FK Krasnodar

Handicap FK Krasnodar covers Push PFK Sochi covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 19% 59%
-1.5 41% — 59%
-1 41% 23% 37%
-0.5 63% — 37%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.