Sunday , 16 August 2026

PFK Sochi vs FK Krasnodar, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2023-24
2 3
Full Time
Sat 18 May 2024 · 16:00 UTC Fisht HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

PFK Sochi vs FK KrasnodarRFPL at Fisht.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May FK Krasnodar H 2–3 L
12 May FK Nizhny Novgorod H 6–1 W
05 May FK Dinamo Moskva A 2–3 L
29 Apr FK Fakel Voronezh H 0–0 D
25 Apr RFK Akhmat Grozny A 0–1 L
21 Apr FK Ural H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May PFK Sochi A 3–2 W
11 May FK Spartak Moskva A 0–1 L
04 May RFK Akhmat Grozny H 0–1 L
29 Apr PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 0–0 D
24 Apr FK Baltika Kaliningrad H 3–2 W
19 Apr FK Fakel Voronezh H 2–0 W

Season Stats

PFK Sochi FK Krasnodar
#16 Position #2
22 Points 66
30 Played 30
6 / 4 / 20 W / D / L 20 / 6 / 4
29 Scored 60
60 Conceded 23
-31 GD +37
0.73 PPG 2.20
20% Win % 67%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

PFK Sochi are 16th (22 pts). FK Krasnodar are 2nd (66 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. FK Krasnodar kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The deadlock is broken! Nikita Krivtsov gets on the scoresheet on 5 minutes.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' PFK Sochi are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FK Krasnodar's shape.
  • 20' PFK Sochi are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Krasnodar backline.
  • 25' Joao Batxi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 30' FK Krasnodar have won 423 goals from 266 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 35' FK Krasnodar are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Robert Moreno will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 43' A goal from the Venezuela international Saul Guarirapa! He fires home on 43 to make it 1-1!
  • 48' FK Krasnodar fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 53' It looks surprising FK Krasnodar does not make any changes. Aleksandr Chernikov has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 58' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 63' Fresh legs for FK Krasnodar! Joao Batxi comes on to replace Nikita Krivtsov.
  • 64' The FK Krasnodar bench stirs into life. Kevin Castano is withdrawn and Kevin gets his opportunity.
  • 69' Nikita Burmistrov is replacing Aleksey Sutormin for the PFK Sochi side.
  • 73' Saul Guarirapa adds to his 0 season tally! PFK Sochi lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 78' The whistle greets Olakunle Olusegun as he departs to be replaced by Kady Borges.
  • 79' The supporters are chanting for Aleksandr Ektov. He replaces Joao Victor on 79 minute.
  • 81' It’s a booking for PFK Sochi player. Vanja Drkusic gets a card.
  • 81' Dmitriy Chistyakov gets the nod from PFK Sochi. He replaces Vanja Drkusic and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 83' Moses Cobnan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Aleksandr Chernikov at the 83 minute mark.
  • 85' What composure from Eduard Spertsyan! The Armenia international strokes it home. 2-2.
  • 90' Artem Makarchuk was booked on 90.
  • The final score is 2-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.08 PFK Sochi xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.44 FK Krasnodar xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PFK Sochi19% Draw22% FK Krasnodar59%
Actual: FK Krasnodar win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

PFK Sochi or Draw
40%
Draw or FK Krasnodar
81%
PFK Sochi or FK Krasnodar
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PFK Sochi14% Draw38% FK Krasnodar48%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
8.9%
1 – 1
8.6%
1 – 3
7.4%
0 – 3
7%
0 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 4
4.6%
0 – 0
4.3%
0 – 4
4.3%
2 – 1
4.1%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — PFK Sochi

Handicap PFK Sochi covers Push FK Krasnodar covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 9% 86%
-0.5 14% 86%
+0.5 34% 66%
+1 34% 21% 45%
+1.5 55% 45%
+2 55% 19% 25%
+2.5 75% 25%

Clean Sheet

PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
10%
FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.