Thursday , 2 July 2026

GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs PAE AEK, Champions League Q 2023 ROUND 3

Tue 15 Aug 2023 · 18:00 UTC Maksimir HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs PAE AEKChampions League Q at Maksimir.

Match Details

  • Referee Joao Pedro Pinheiro
20 games this season 🟨 1.4/game 5.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Aug PAE AEK H 1–2 L
02 Aug Astana FK A 2–0 W
25 Jul Astana FK H 4–0 W
02 Nov Chelsea FC A 1–2 L
25 Oct AC Milan H 0–4 L
11 Oct FC Red Bull Salzburg H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Aug GNK Dinamo Zagreb A 2–1 W
10 Dec Leicester City FC A 0–2 L
03 Dec Sporting Clube de Braga H 2–4 L
26 Nov FK Zorya Luhansk H 0–3 L
05 Nov FK Zorya Luhansk A 4–1 W
29 Oct Leicester City FC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — GNK Dinamo Zagreb and PAE AEK get this one started.
  • 5' PAE AEK is showing some good football. However, PAE AEK are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jens Jonsson suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 20' PAE AEK fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 30' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 35' GNK Dinamo Zagreb is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 39' Marko Bulat does the damage! The net is bulging and GNK Dinamo Zagreb surge ahead!
  • 44' It looks like no one’s ball. PAE AEK is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 46' GNK Dinamo Zagreb manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mahir Emreli is hanging Dario Spikic on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' Domagoj Vida has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 55' GNK Dinamo Zagreb player sees a card in front of him.
  • 55' The supporters are chanting for Nordin Amrabat. He replaces Niclas Eliasson on 55 minute.
  • 57' Poor challenge from Ehsan Hajsafi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 59' The Switzerland Steven Zuber breaks the deadlock on 59 minutes. 1-1!
  • 64' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 67' The PAE AEK bench stirs into life. Jens Jonsson is withdrawn and Konstantinos Galanopoulos gets his opportunity.
  • 72' The GNK Dinamo Zagreb bench stirs into life. Luka Ivanusec is withdrawn and Martin Baturina gets his opportunity.
  • 77' PAE AEK come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 82' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. PAE AEK needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 84' Petros Mantalos gets the nod from PAE AEK. He replaces Damian Szymanski and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 89' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 90' Konstantinos Galanopoulos puts PAE AEK on the lead.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Petros Mantalos.
  • The final score is 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.36 GNK Dinamo Zagreb xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 PAE AEK xG
I would bet for: GNK Dinamo Zagreb or PAE AEK 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
GNK Dinamo Zagreb36% Draw28% PAE AEK36%
Actual: PAE AEK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

GNK Dinamo Zagreb or Draw
64%
Draw or PAE AEK
64%
GNK Dinamo Zagreb or PAE AEK
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
GNK Dinamo Zagreb26% Draw46% PAE AEK28%
Actual: GNK Dinamo Zagreb win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
8.3%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.9%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 0
7.7%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — GNK Dinamo Zagreb

Handicap GNK Dinamo Zagreb covers Push PAE AEK covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 19% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 19% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

GNK Dinamo Zagreb keeps clean sheet
26%
PAE AEK keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.