Wednesday , 30 September 2026

PAE AEK vs AFC Ajax, Europe 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
1 – 1
Full Time
Thu 5 Oct 2023 · 16:45 UTC Agia Sophia Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct AFC Ajax H 1–1 D
21 Sep Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 3–2 W
30 Aug Royal Antwerp FC H 1–2 L
22 Aug Royal Antwerp FC A 0–1 L
19 Aug GNK Dinamo Zagreb H 2–2 D
15 Aug GNK Dinamo Zagreb A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct PAE AEK A 1–1 D
27 Sep Feyenoord Rotterdam H 0–4 L
21 Sep Olympique de Marseille H 3–3 D
17 Sep FC Twente '65 A 1–3 L
03 Sep Fortuna Sittard A 0–0 D
31 Aug PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad H 0–1 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and PAE AEK launch into their encounter with AFC Ajax.
  • 5' PAE AEK started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' PAE AEK currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Maurice Steijn will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 25' PAE AEK are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against AFC Ajax's shape.
  • 30' Steven Bergwijn has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 30 minutes.
  • 35' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 40' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Domagoj Vida on 40 minutes.
  • 45' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 50' A quiet spell here at Agia Sophia Stadium. AFC Ajax seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 52' That is a card for PAE AEK. Orbelin Pineda will be fuming at that decision.
  • 56' It’s a booking for AFC Ajax player. Brian Brobbey gets a card.
  • 61' The referee has no hesitation. Josip Sutalo is booked for AFC Ajax — card on 61.
  • 66' AFC Ajax have won 837 goals from 487 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 67' Another change for PAE AEK made on 67 minute. Orbelin Pineda leaves to be changed by Jens Jonsson.
  • 72' AFC Ajax seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 73' Brian Brobbey makes way for Chuba Akpom at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from AFC Ajax.
  • 74' GOAL! Domagoj Vida scores on 74. Assisted by Nordin Amrabat
  • 74' Niclas Eliasson is replacing Ehsan Hajsafi for the PAE AEK side.
  • 79' The supporters are chanting for Milad Mohammadi. He replaces Mijat Gacinovic on 79 minute.
  • 84' Amourricho van Axel Dongen is replacing Carlos Forbs for the AFC Ajax side.
  • 89' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sergio Araujo on 89.
  • 90' Nordin Amrabat was booked on 90.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.26 PAE AEK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: PAE AEK or AFC Ajax 71% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
PAE AEK39% Draw29% AFC Ajax32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

PAE AEK or Draw
68%
Draw or AFC Ajax
61%
PAE AEK or AFC Ajax
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PAE AEK26% Draw49% AFC Ajax25%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.5%
1 – 0
9.5%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — PAE AEK

Handicap PAE AEK covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 20% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 19% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

PAE AEK keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.