Sunday , 16 August 2026

PAE AEK vs AFC Ajax, Europe 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
1 1
Full Time
Thu 5 Oct 2023 · 16:45 UTC Agia Sophia Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

PAE AEK vs AFC AjaxEurope at Agia Sophia Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Matej Jug
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct AFC Ajax H 1–1 D
21 Sep Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 3–2 W
30 Aug Royal Antwerp FC H 1–2 L
22 Aug Royal Antwerp FC A 0–1 L
19 Aug GNK Dinamo Zagreb H 2–2 D
15 Aug GNK Dinamo Zagreb A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct PAE AEK A 1–1 D
27 Sep Feyenoord Rotterdam H 0–4 L
21 Sep Olympique de Marseille H 3–3 D
17 Sep FC Twente '65 A 1–3 L
03 Sep Fortuna Sittard A 0–0 D
31 Aug PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad H 0–1 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Agia Sophia Stadium that hosts another battle between PAE AEK and AFC Ajax.
  • 5' AFC Ajax are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His PAE AEK side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 20' Carlos Forbs is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for PAE AEK tonight.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Milad Mohammadi, as he is very good at scoring at Agia Sophia Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 30' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Steven Bergwijn makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 35' France international Djibril Sidibe has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 40' PAE AEK player sees a card in front of him.
  • 45' Niclas Eliasson, a Sweden , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 50' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both PAE AEK and AFC Ajax are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 52' Controversy at the stadium! Orbelin Pineda argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 56' The referee shows AFC Ajax player a card on 56.
  • 61' A moment of madness from Josip Sutalo on 61 minutes earns him a card. AFC Ajax will be frustrated.
  • 66' Brian Brobbey has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 67' Jens Jonsson is replacing Orbelin Pineda for the PAE AEK side.
  • 72' It looks like no one’s ball. AFC Ajax is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 73' Brian Brobbey makes way for Chuba Akpom at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from AFC Ajax.
  • 74' What a strike from Domagoj Vida! The score is 1-1.
  • 74' Niclas Eliasson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ehsan Hajsafi on 74 minute.
  • 79' Another change for PAE AEK made on 79 minute. Mijat Gacinovic leaves to be changed by Milad Mohammadi.
  • 84' Another change for AFC Ajax made on 84 minute. Carlos Forbs leaves to be changed by Amourricho van Axel Dongen.
  • 89' It’s a booking for PAE AEK player. Sergio Araujo gets a card.
  • 90' The referee shows PAE AEK player a card on 90.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.26 PAE AEK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: PAE AEK or AFC Ajax 71% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
PAE AEK39% Draw29% AFC Ajax32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

PAE AEK or Draw
68%
Draw or AFC Ajax
61%
PAE AEK or AFC Ajax
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PAE AEK26% Draw49% AFC Ajax25%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.5%
1 – 0
9.5%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — PAE AEK

Handicap PAE AEK covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 20% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 19% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

PAE AEK keeps clean sheet
30%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.