Saturday , 14 November 2026

PAE AEK vs AFC Ajax, Europe 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
1 – 1
Full Time
Thu 5 Oct 2023 · 16:45 UTC Agia Sophia Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct AFC Ajax H 1–1 D
21 Sep Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 3–2 W
30 Aug Royal Antwerp FC H 1–2 L
22 Aug Royal Antwerp FC A 0–1 L
19 Aug GNK Dinamo Zagreb H 2–2 D
15 Aug GNK Dinamo Zagreb A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct PAE AEK A 1–1 D
27 Sep Feyenoord Rotterdam H 0–4 L
21 Sep Olympique de Marseille H 3–3 D
17 Sep FC Twente '65 A 1–3 L
03 Sep Fortuna Sittard A 0–0 D
31 Aug PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad H 0–1 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Agia Sophia Stadium!
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' Carlos Forbs is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AFC Ajax tonight.
  • 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 20' The 26-year-old Josip Sutalo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 30' A stunning finish from Steven Bergwijn — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 35' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both PAE AEK and AFC Ajax are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 40' A meaty challenge results in booking for Domagoj Vida on 40.
  • 45' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His PAE AEK side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 50' Sergio Araujo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for PAE AEK so far.
  • 52' Orbelin Pineda has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 52.
  • 56' It’s gonna be a card for Brian Brobbey.
  • 61' It’s gonna be a card for Josip Sutalo.
  • 66' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 67' Orbelin Pineda makes way for Jens Jonsson at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from PAE AEK.
  • 72' Benjamin Tahirovic has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 73' The whistle greets Brian Brobbey as he departs to be replaced by Chuba Akpom.
  • 74' Domagoj Vida is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 74' Another substitution for PAE AEK to replace Ehsan Hajsafi by Niclas Eliasson on 74 minute.
  • 79' Mijat Gacinovic makes way for Milad Mohammadi at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from PAE AEK.
  • 84' AFC Ajax ring the changes. Carlos Forbs has done his job and it is now time for Amourricho van Axel Dongen to step up.
  • 89' It’s gonna be a card for Sergio Araujo.
  • 90' Nordin Amrabat catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.26 PAE AEK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: PAE AEK or AFC Ajax 71% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
PAE AEK39% Draw29% AFC Ajax32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

PAE AEK or Draw
68%
Draw or AFC Ajax
61%
PAE AEK or AFC Ajax
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PAE AEK26% Draw49% AFC Ajax25%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.5%
1 – 0
9.5%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — PAE AEK

Handicap PAE AEK covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 20% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 19% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

PAE AEK keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.