Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs Liverpool FC, Champions League 2025-26 LEAGUE STAGE

Wed 21 Jan 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
Olympique de Marseille 1 games · Avg 3.0 goals Liverpool FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan Liverpool FC H 0–3 L
17 Jan Angers SCO A 5–2 W
04 Jan FC Nantes H 0–2 L
14 Dec AS Monaco FC H 1–0 W
09 Dec Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A 3–2 W
05 Dec Lille OSC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan Olympique de Marseille A 3–0 W
17 Jan Burnley FC H 1–1 D
12 Jan Barnsley FC H 4–1 W
08 Jan Arsenal FC A 0–0 D
04 Jan Fulham FC A 2–2 D
01 Jan Leeds United FC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille Liverpool FC
#25 Position #3
9 Points 18
8 Played 8
3 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 0 / 2
11 Scored 20
14 Conceded 8
-3 GD +12
1.13 PPG 2.25
38% Win % 75%

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Liverpool FC this season

Olympique de Marseille are 25th (9 pts). Liverpool FC are 3rd (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Liverpool FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Olympique de Marseille Lineups

Liverpool FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.59 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.44 Liverpool FC xG
I would bet for: Liverpool FC to win 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille15% Draw21% Liverpool FC64%
Actual: Liverpool FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
35%
Draw or Liverpool FC
85%
Olympique de Marseille or Liverpool FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille7% Draw37% Liverpool FC56%
Actual: Liverpool FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
14.2%
0 – 1
11.6%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 2
8.2%
1 – 1
7.5%
0 – 4
6.8%
1 – 3
6.7%
0 – 0
6.3%
1 – 4
4.2%
0 – 5
3.4%
2 – 2
2.4%
1 – 0
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push Liverpool FC covers
-2.5 0% — 100%
-2 0% 1% 98%
-1.5 2% — 98%
-1 2% 5% 94%
-0.5 6% — 94%
+0.5 23% — 77%
+1 23% 22% 55%
+1.5 45% — 55%
+2 45% 22% 32%
+2.5 68% — 32%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
10% ✓
Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
56% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.