Thursday , 2 July 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs Liverpool FC, Champions League 2025-26 LEAGUE STAGE

Wed 21 Jan 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
Olympique de Marseille 1 games · Avg 3.0 goals Liverpool FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan Liverpool FC H 0–3 L
17 Jan Angers SCO A 5–2 W
04 Jan FC Nantes H 0–2 L
14 Dec AS Monaco FC H 1–0 W
09 Dec Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A 3–2 W
05 Dec Lille OSC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan Olympique de Marseille A 3–0 W
17 Jan Burnley FC H 1–1 D
12 Jan Barnsley FC H 4–1 W
08 Jan Arsenal FC A 0–0 D
04 Jan Fulham FC A 2–2 D
01 Jan Leeds United FC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille Liverpool FC
#25 Position #3
9 Points 18
8 Played 8
3 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 0 / 2
11 Scored 20
14 Conceded 8
-3 GD +12
1.13 PPG 2.25
38% Win % 75%

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season
42% Clean Sheets
Liverpool FC this season

Olympique de Marseille are 25th (9 pts). Liverpool FC are 3rd (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Olympique de Marseille Lineups

Liverpool FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.59 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.44 Liverpool FC xG
I would bet for: Liverpool FC to win 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille15% Draw21% Liverpool FC64%
Actual: Liverpool FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
35%
Draw or Liverpool FC
85%
Olympique de Marseille or Liverpool FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille7% Draw37% Liverpool FC56%
Actual: Liverpool FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
14.2%
0 – 1
11.6%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 2
8.2%
1 – 1
7.5%
0 – 4
6.8%
1 – 3
6.7%
0 – 0
6.3%
1 – 4
4.2%
0 – 5
3.4%
2 – 2
2.4%
1 – 0
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push Liverpool FC covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 1% 98%
-1.5 2% 98%
-1 2% 5% 94%
-0.5 6% 94%
+0.5 23% 77%
+1 23% 22% 55%
+1.5 45% 55%
+2 45% 22% 32%
+2.5 68% 32%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
10%
Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
56%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.