Thursday , 2 July 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs FC Nantes, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Sun 4 Jan 2026 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs FC NantesLigue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Bollengier

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan FC Nantes H 0–2 L
14 Dec AS Monaco FC H 1–0 W
09 Dec Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A 3–2 W
05 Dec Lille OSC A 0–1 L
29 Nov Toulouse FC H 2–2 D
25 Nov Newcastle United FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Olympique de Marseille A 2–0 W
12 Dec Angers SCO A 1–4 L
06 Dec Racing Club de Lens H 1–2 L
30 Nov Olympique Lyonnais A 0–3 L
23 Nov FC Lorient H 1–1 D
08 Nov Le Havre AC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille FC Nantes
#7 Position #1
0 Points 24
0 Played 34
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 5 / 9 / 20
0 Scored 29
0 Conceded 52
+0 GD -23
PPG 0.71
Win % 15%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Olympique de Marseille are 7th (0 pts). FC Nantes are 1st (24 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Olympique de Marseille Lineups

FC Nantes Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.76 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.54 FC Nantes xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 85% + Olympique de Marseille or Draw 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique de Marseille39% Draw38% FC Nantes23%
Actual: FC Nantes win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes24% 0% No76%
Avg goals/match: 1.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 70%
30%
± 1.5 38%
62%
± 2.5 15%
85%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
77%
Draw or FC Nantes
61%
Olympique de Marseille or FC Nantes
62%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique de Marseille21% Draw66% FC Nantes13%
Actual: FC Nantes win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
30.2%
1 – 0
19%
0 – 1
13%
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 0
7.2%
2 – 1
4.4%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
3.1%
3 – 0
1.8%
2 – 2
1.4%
3 – 1
1.2%
0 – 3
0.6%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push FC Nantes covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 24% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 16% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
59%
FC Nantes keeps clean sheet
47%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.