Saturday , 14 November 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs FC Metz, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Fri 10 Apr 2026 · 19:05 UTC Orange Velodrome 63,923 HT 45' · FT 45'
Igor Paixao 48' 2–0
Hamed Traore 90+3' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs FC Metz — Ligue 1 at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Stephanie Frappart
  • Assistant 1 Mikael Berchebru
  • Assistant 2 Cedric Favre
8 games this season 🟨 2.1/game ⚽ 8.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Apr FC Metz H 3–1 W
05 Apr AS Monaco FC A 1–2 L
22 Mar Lille OSC H 1–2 L
13 Mar AJ Auxerre H 1–0 W
07 Mar Toulouse FC A 1–0 W
01 Mar Olympique Lyonnais H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Apr Olympique de Marseille A 1–3 L
05 Apr FC Nantes H 0–0 D
22 Mar Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–0 D
15 Mar Toulouse FC H 3–4 L
08 Mar Racing Club de Lens A 0–3 L
01 Mar Stade Brestois 29 H 0–1 L

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
0-15
4/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
6/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
Amine Gouiri 7 G 3 A
Amine Harit 3 G 1 A
Himad Abdelli 3 G
Igor Paixao 2 G 1 A
Keyliane Abdallah 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.74 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 FC Metz xG
I would bet for: Olympique de Marseille to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille57% Draw24% FC Metz19%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
81%
Draw or FC Metz
43%
Olympique de Marseille or FC Metz
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique de Marseille38% Draw45% FC Metz17%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
10.5%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push FC Metz covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 17% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 23% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
FC Metz keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.