Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nottingham Forest FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2019-20
Sat 9 Nov 2019 · 12:30 UTC The City Ground HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Derby County FCChampionship at The City Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren England
  • Referee Nick Greenhalgh
  • Referee Philip Dermott
  • Referee Tony Harrington

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Derby County FC H 1–0 W
02 Nov Luton Town FC A 2–1 W
23 Oct Hull City AFC H 1–2 L
20 Oct Wigan Athletic FC A 0–1 L
05 Oct Brentford FC H 1–0 W
01 Oct Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Nottingham Forest FC A 0–1 L
02 Nov Middlesbrough FC H 2–0 W
26 Oct Hull City AFC A 0–2 L
23 Oct Wigan Athletic FC H 1–0 W
19 Oct Charlton Athletic FC A 0–3 L
05 Oct Luton Town FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Nottingham Forest FC get us underway at The City Ground.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' Martyn Waghorn, a England , has 22 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' George Evans gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Matt Clarke and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for George Evans suffering a number of foals already.
  • 28' Jayden Bogle was booked on 28.
  • 31' Poor challenge from Ben Watson. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 36' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Duane Holmes has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 41' With 0 assists to his name this season, Joe Worrall is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nottingham Forest FC.
  • 46' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 56' Lewis Grabban adds to his 0 season tally! Nottingham Forest FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 60' Krystian Bielik was booked on 60.
  • 65' Ryan Yates is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
  • 69' Lewis Grabban was booked on 69.
  • 70' Derby County FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 70.
  • 72' Another change for Nottingham Forest FC made on 72 minute. Sammy Ameobi leaves to be changed by Joao Carvalho.
  • 73' The crowd applauds Duane Holmes as he leaves the pitch. Jamie Paterson steps in for Derby County FC.
  • 78' The 29-year-old Yuri Ribeiro has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 83' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nottingham Forest FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 84' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Graeme Shinnie is replaced by Martyn Waghorn on 84 minute.
  • 85' Time for substitution for Nottingham Forest FC. Joe Lolley is replaced by Albert Adomah.
  • 90' Albert Adomah has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 90.
  • 90' Nottingham Forest FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Brennan Johnson is hanging Tiago Silva on the field on 90 minute.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Nottingham Forest FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.23 Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC52% Draw30% Derby County FC18%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes34% 0% No66%
Avg goals/match: 1.86
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Derby County FC
48%
Nottingham Forest FC or Derby County FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC32% Draw56% Derby County FC12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.9%
2 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
7.3%
3 – 0
4.5%
1 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 2
2.9%
2 – 2
2.4%
4 – 0
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap Nottingham Forest FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 15% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 26% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
54%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.