Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2019-20
Sat 5 Oct 2019 · 14:00 UTC HT 45+2' · FT 45+8'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Luton Town FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Geoff Eltringham
  • Referee Paul Hodskinson
  • Referee Geoff Russell
  • Referee Mark Dwyer

Head-to-Head

2
1
5
Derby County FC 8 games · Avg 2.6 goals Luton Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Luton Town FC H 2–0 W
02 Oct Barnsley FC A 2–2 D
28 Sep Birmingham City FC H 3–2 W
21 Sep Leeds United FC A 1–1 D
13 Sep Cardiff City FC H 1–1 D
31 Aug Brentford FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Derby County FC A 0–2 L
02 Oct Millwall FC H 1–1 D
28 Sep Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–1 W
21 Sep Hull City AFC H 0–3 L
14 Sep Queens Park Rangers FC A 2–3 L
31 Aug Huddersfield Town AFC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Derby County FC vs Luton Town FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Luton Town FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' Ryan Tunnicliffe has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 11' A goal from the England international Matthew Pearson! He fires home on 11 to make it 0-1!
  • 16' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Graeme Jones will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 21' Derby County FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 26' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 31' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 36' The travelling Luton Town FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 41' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Luton Town FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 46' With 0 assists to his name this season, Harry Cornick is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Luton Town FC.
  • 51' Derby County FC have won 457 goals from 390 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 56' Pelly Ruddock is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Luton Town FC so far.
  • 61' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 63' Another change for Luton Town FC made on 63 minute. Callum McManaman leaves to be changed by Izzy Brown.
  • 68' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 70' A goal from the Wales international Tom Lawrence! He fires home on 70 to make it 1-1!
  • 72' Another change for Derby County FC made on 72 minute. Chris Martin leaves to be changed by Martyn Waghorn.
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Kazenga LuaLua. He replaces Harry Cornick on 74 minute.
  • 76' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Graeme Shinnie.
  • 81' Luke Bolton is ready to make an impact after coming on for Andrew Shinnie at the 81 minute mark.
  • 84' Duane Holmes is replacing Jamie Paterson for the Derby County FC side.
  • 89' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Krystian Bielik departs to be replaced by Andre Wisdom.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.69 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC56% Draw25% Luton Town FC19%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Luton Town FC
44%
Derby County FC or Luton Town FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC39% Draw47% Luton Town FC14%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.5%
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
6.1%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 24% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
43% ✗
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.