Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2019-20
Sat 5 Oct 2019 · 14:00 UTC HT 45+2' · FT 45+8'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Luton Town FCChampionship .

Match Details

  • Referee Geoff Eltringham
  • Referee Paul Hodskinson
  • Referee Geoff Russell
  • Referee Mark Dwyer

Head-to-Head

2
1
5
Derby County FC 8 games · Avg 2.6 goals Luton Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Luton Town FC H 2–0 W
02 Oct Barnsley FC A 2–2 D
28 Sep Birmingham City FC H 3–2 W
21 Sep Leeds United FC A 1–1 D
13 Sep Cardiff City FC H 1–1 D
31 Aug Brentford FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Derby County FC A 0–2 L
02 Oct Millwall FC H 1–1 D
28 Sep Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–1 W
21 Sep Hull City AFC H 0–3 L
14 Sep Queens Park Rangers FC A 2–3 L
31 Aug Huddersfield Town AFC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Derby County FC and Luton Town FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Luton Town FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 10' Derby County FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 11' Luton Town FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Matthew Pearson on 11.
  • 16' The travelling Luton Town FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 21' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 26' Izzy Brown has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 31' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 36' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 41' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 46' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 46.
  • 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
  • 56' The energy levels are beginning to show. Graeme Jones might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 61' Daniel Potts needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 63' Izzy Brown has so much to prove this time. He replaces Callum McManaman on 63 minute.
  • 68' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kelle Roos suffering a number of foals already.
  • 70' A stunning finish from Tom Lawrence — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 72' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Martyn Waghorn is hanging Chris Martin on the field on 72 minute.
  • 74' The whistle greets Harry Cornick as he departs to be replaced by Kazenga LuaLua.
  • 76' Graeme Shinnie was booked on 76.
  • 81' Luke Bolton gets the nod from Luton Town FC. He replaces Andrew Shinnie and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 84' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Jamie Paterson departs to be replaced by Duane Holmes.
  • 89' Andre Wisdom gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Krystian Bielik and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.69 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC56% Draw25% Luton Town FC19%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Luton Town FC
44%
Derby County FC or Luton Town FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC39% Draw47% Luton Town FC14%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.5%
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
6.1%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 24% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
43%
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.