Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2019-20
Sat 5 Oct 2019 · 14:00 UTC HT 45+2' · FT 45+8'

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
1
5
Derby County FC 8 games · Avg 2.6 goals Luton Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Luton Town FC H 2–0 W
02 Oct Barnsley FC A 2–2 D
28 Sep Birmingham City FC H 3–2 W
21 Sep Leeds United FC A 1–1 D
13 Sep Cardiff City FC H 1–1 D
31 Aug Brentford FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Derby County FC A 0–2 L
02 Oct Millwall FC H 1–1 D
28 Sep Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–1 W
21 Sep Hull City AFC H 0–3 L
14 Sep Queens Park Rangers FC A 2–3 L
31 Aug Huddersfield Town AFC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Derby County FC launch into their encounter with Luton Town FC.
  • 5' Derby County FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 11' Matthew Pearson doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 16' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 21' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 26' Luton Town FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 31' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 36' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 41' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 46' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 56' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 56 minutes.
  • 61' Krystian Bielik is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
  • 63' The whistle greets Callum McManaman as he departs to be replaced by Izzy Brown.
  • 68' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 70' Tom Lawrence makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Derby County FC are in front.
  • 72' The whistle greets Chris Martin as he departs to be replaced by Martyn Waghorn.
  • 74' Harry Cornick makes way for Kazenga LuaLua at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from Luton Town FC.
  • 76' Graeme Shinnie was booked on 76.
  • 81' Luke Bolton has so much to prove this time. He replaces Andrew Shinnie on 81 minute.
  • 84' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Jamie Paterson by Duane Holmes on 84 minute.
  • 89' Andre Wisdom is replacing Krystian Bielik for the Derby County FC side.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.69 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC56% Draw25% Luton Town FC19%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Luton Town FC
44%
Derby County FC or Luton Town FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC39% Draw47% Luton Town FC14%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.5%
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
6.1%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 24% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
43%
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.