Saturday , 14 November 2026

Derby County FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2019-20
Sat 5 Oct 2019 · 14:00 UTC HT 45+2' · FT 45+8'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Luton Town FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Geoff Eltringham
  • Referee Paul Hodskinson
  • Referee Geoff Russell
  • Referee Mark Dwyer

Head-to-Head

2
1
5
Derby County FC 8 games · Avg 2.6 goals Luton Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Luton Town FC H 2–0 W
02 Oct Barnsley FC A 2–2 D
28 Sep Birmingham City FC H 3–2 W
21 Sep Leeds United FC A 1–1 D
13 Sep Cardiff City FC H 1–1 D
31 Aug Brentford FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Derby County FC A 0–2 L
02 Oct Millwall FC H 1–1 D
28 Sep Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–1 W
21 Sep Hull City AFC H 0–3 L
14 Sep Queens Park Rangers FC A 2–3 L
31 Aug Huddersfield Town AFC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Derby County FC and Luton Town FC.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 10' It looks surprising Luton Town FC does not make any changes. Daniel Potts has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 11' Matthew Pearson doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 16' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 21' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 26' Luton Town FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 31' Luton Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 31.
  • 36' The travelling Luton Town FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 41' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 46' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Phillip Cocu might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 56' It is a cagey affair so far. Derby County FC in their trying to find a way past Luton Town FC's compact .
  • 61' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Derby County FC and Luton Town FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 63' A change in the Luton Town FC ranks — Callum McManaman exits the field as Izzy Brown enters on 63.
  • 68' James Collins, a Ireland forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 70' Tom Lawrence makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Derby County FC are in front.
  • 72' Martyn Waghorn gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Chris Martin and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 74' A tactical swap from Luton Town FC — Kazenga LuaLua on, Harry Cornick off on 74 minutes.
  • 76' Poor challenge from Graeme Shinnie. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 81' The crowd applauds Andrew Shinnie as he leaves the pitch. Luke Bolton steps in for Luton Town FC.
  • 84' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Jamie Paterson is replaced by Duane Holmes on 84 minute.
  • 89' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Krystian Bielik is replaced by Andre Wisdom on 89 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Derby County FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.69 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC56% Draw25% Luton Town FC19%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Luton Town FC
44%
Derby County FC or Luton Town FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC39% Draw47% Luton Town FC14%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.5%
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
6.1%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 24% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
43% ✗
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.