Thursday , 2 July 2026

Newport County AFC vs Gillingham FC, FA Cup 2025-26 ROUND 1

FA Cup · 2025-26
6 5
4 – 3 pen
Full Time
Sat 1 Nov 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Newport County AFC vs Gillingham FCFA Cup .

Match Details

  • Referee Ross Martin (England)

Head-to-Head

1
Newport County AFC 1 games · Avg 11.0 goals Gillingham FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov Gillingham FC H 6–5 W
02 Nov Peterborough United FC H 2–4 L
28 Jan Manchester United FC H 2–4 L
16 Jan Eastleigh FC A 3–1 W
06 Jan Eastleigh FC H 1–1 D
12 Dec Barnet FC A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov Newport County AFC A 5–6 L
02 Nov Blackpool FC H 0–2 L
06 Jan Sheffield United FC H 0–4 L
02 Dec Charlton Athletic FC H 2–0 W
04 Nov Hereford FC A 2–0 W
07 Jan Leicester City FC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Newport County AFC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Gillingham FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 6-5.

Lineups

Newport County AFC Lineups

Gillingham FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.96 Newport County AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.77 Gillingham FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 91% + Both teams to score 88%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Newport County AFC48% Draw19% Gillingham FC33%
Actual: Newport County AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes88% 0% No12%
Avg goals/match: 5.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 98%
2%
± 2.5 91%
9%
± 3.5 80%
20%
± 4.5 66%
34%

Double Chance

Newport County AFC or Draw
67%
Draw or Gillingham FC
52%
Newport County AFC or Gillingham FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Newport County AFC37% Draw31% Gillingham FC32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–5 not predicted
6 – 5
Actual
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
4.9%
3 – 3
4.8%
2 – 1
4.1%
3 – 1
3.9%
4 – 2
3.9%
1 – 2
3.9%
4 – 3
3.5%
1 – 3
3.4%
2 – 4
3.4%
3 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Newport County AFC

Handicap Newport County AFC covers Push Gillingham FC covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 13% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 16% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 15% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 11% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Newport County AFC keeps clean sheet
7%
Gillingham FC keeps clean sheet
6%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.