Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2022 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2022

Toronto FC

1 – 4

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Sat 5 Mar 2022 · 19:00 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 31' Dylan Nealis

Carlos Salcedo 61' Y

Y 67' Patryk Klimala

Y 86' Sean Nealis

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at BMO Field.

Toronto FC 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

Toronto FC 17 games · Avg 2.5 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2022-03-05 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls 2021-07-21 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2021-05-08 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Toronto FC 2020-11-08 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC 2020-10-14 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Mar	New York Red Bulls	H	1–4	L
26 Feb	FC Dallas	A	1–1	D
07 Nov	D.C. United SC	H	1–3	L
30 Oct	Atlanta United FC	A	1–1	D
27 Oct	Philadelphia Union	H	2–2	D
23 Oct	Montreal Impact FC	H	1–1	D

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Mar	Toronto FC	A	4–1	W
26 Feb	San Jose Earthquakes	A	3–1	W
07 Nov	Nashville SC	A	1–1	D
03 Nov	Atlanta United FC	H	0–0	D
30 Oct	Montreal Impact FC	H	1–0	W
27 Oct	D.C. United SC	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Toronto FC		New York Red Bulls
#11	Position	#5
14	Points	22
14	Played	15
3 / 5 / 6	W / D / L	6 / 4 / 5
22	Scored	25
29	Conceded	32
-7	GD	-7
1.00	PPG	1.47
21%	Win %	40%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

20% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts). New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/3

31-45

1/3

46-60

2/5

61-75

4/4

76+

5/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

5/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/5

46-60

3/5

61-75

1/2

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at BMO Field. Toronto FC are looking to make home advantage count against New York Red Bulls.
5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alex Bono made 280 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bob Bradley might look to freshen things up shortly.
17' What a moment for Lewis Morgan! That strike on 17 puts his side firmly in control.
22' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
24' A goal from the Scotland international Lewis Morgan! He fires home on 24 to make it 0-2!
29' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
31' Dylan Nealis picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
36' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
40' Lewis Morgan adds to his 0 season tally! New York Red Bulls lead 0-3 — and this changes everything.
42' A stunning finish from Aaron Long — that came from absolutely nowhere!
46' Ifunanyachi Achara gets the nod from Toronto FC. He replaces Jacob Shaffelburg and will look to change the dynamic.
51' New York Red Bulls started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
61' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Carlos Salcedo.
66' New York Red Bulls make a change. Omir Fernandez trudges off to be replaced by Caden Clark on 66 minutes.
67' That is a Yellow card for New York Red Bulls. Patryk Klimala will be fuming at that decision.
70' The whistle greets Jayden Nelson as he departs to be replaced by Noble Okello.
75' Sean Nealis is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Toronto FC tonight.
80' Ralph Priso-Mbongue gets the nod from Toronto FC. He replaces Michael Bradley and will look to change the dynamic.
85' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. New York Red Bulls needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
86' Sean Nealis picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
Toronto FC will have plenty to reflect on. New York Red Bulls were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

3
Carlos Salcedo
25
Alex Bono
4
Michael Bradley ↓ Ralph Priso-Mbongue 80'
21
Jonathan Osorio
10
Pozuelo
27
Shane O'Neill
22
Jacob Shaffelburg ↓ Ifunanyachi Achara 46'
11
Jayden Nelson ↓ Noble Okello 70'
7
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty

Bench

Coach Bob Bradley

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

7
Thomas Edwards ↑ 66'
18
Ryan Meara
37
Caden Clark ↑ 66'
2
Lucas Monzon

Coach Gerhard Struber

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lewis Morgan	5
Luquinhas	3
Tom Barlow	3
Emil Forsberg	3
Elias Manoel	2
Kemar Lawrence	2
Caden Clark	2
Brian White	2

Head to Head

Toronto FC Form

2022-03-05 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls L 2022-02-26 FC Dallas 1–1 Toronto FC D 2021-11-07 Toronto FC 1–3 D.C. United SC L 2021-10-30 Atlanta United FC 1–1 Toronto FC D 2021-10-27 Toronto FC 2–2 Philadelphia Union D 2021-10-23 Toronto FC 1–1 Montreal Impact FC D

New York Red Bulls Form

2022-03-05 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls W 2022-02-26 San Jose Earthquakes 1–3 New York Red Bulls W 2021-11-07 Nashville SC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2021-11-03 New York Red Bulls 0–0 Atlanta United FC D 2021-10-30 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Montreal Impact FC W 2021-10-27 D.C. United SC 1–0 New York Red Bulls L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.68 Toronto FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.24 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Toronto FC29% Draw23% New York Red Bulls48%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes72% 0% No28%

Avg goals/match: 3.92

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	74%	26%
± 3.5	54%	46%
± 4.5	35%	65%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw

52%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

71%

Toronto FC or New York Red Bulls

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Toronto FC24% Draw38% New York Red Bulls38%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.3%

1 – 2

8.1%

2 – 2

6.7%

2 – 1

6.1%

1 – 3

0 – 2

5.1%

2 – 3

0 – 1

3 – 2

3.8%

0 – 3

3.7%

3 – 1

3.4%

1 – 4

Actual

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap	Toronto FC covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	8%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	14%	71%
-0.5	29%	—	71%
+0.5	51%	—	49%
+1	51%	19%	30%
+1.5	70%	—	30%
+2	70%	15%	15%
+2.5	85%	—	15%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.