Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2022 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2022

Toronto FC

1 – 4

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Sat 5 Mar 2022 · 19:00 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 31' Dylan Nealis

Carlos Salcedo 61' Y

Y 67' Patryk Klimala

Y 86' Sean Nealis

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at BMO Field.

Toronto FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Toronto FC 17 games · Avg 2.5 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2022-03-05 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls 2021-07-21 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2021-05-08 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Toronto FC 2020-11-08 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC 2020-10-14 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Mar	New York Red Bulls	H	1–4	L
26 Feb	FC Dallas	A	1–1	D
07 Nov	D.C. United SC	H	1–3	L
30 Oct	Atlanta United FC	A	1–1	D
27 Oct	Philadelphia Union	H	2–2	D
23 Oct	Montreal Impact FC	H	1–1	D

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Mar	Toronto FC	A	4–1	W
26 Feb	San Jose Earthquakes	A	3–1	W
07 Nov	Nashville SC	A	1–1	D
03 Nov	Atlanta United FC	H	0–0	D
30 Oct	Montreal Impact FC	H	1–0	W
27 Oct	D.C. United SC	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Toronto FC		New York Red Bulls
#13	Position	#10
29	Points	33
27	Played	26
6 / 11 / 10	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 11
39	Scored	34
51	Conceded	48
-12	GD	-14
1.07	PPG	1.27
22%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

23% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts). New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC

0-15

1/3

16-30

2/5

31-45

5/6

46-60

4/7

61-75

7/6

76+

9/10

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/3

31-45

5/6

46-60

5/8

61-75

2/6

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC

Daniel Salloi	7 G	5 A
Josh Sargent	7 G	2 A

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	10 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

Events

Match Events

0' Toronto FC have kicked off against New York Red Bulls. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
10' Toronto FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined New York Red Bulls backline.
15' A quiet spell here at BMO Field. Toronto FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
17' A goal from the Scotland international Lewis Morgan! He fires home on 17 to make it 0-1!
22' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gerhard Struber might look to freshen things up shortly.
24' Lewis Morgan has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 24 minutes.
29' USA international Tom Barlow has been a key figure this campaign — 5 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
31' Dylan Nealis was booked on 31.
36' New York Red Bulls started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 36.
40' Assisted by Patryk Klimala with the perfectly-timed delivery and Lewis Morgan makes no mistake. 0-3!
42' Aaron Long makes no mistake. The score reads 0-4 and New York Red Bulls are in front.
46' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Jacob Shaffelburg departs to be replaced by Ifunanyachi Achara.
51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
56' It is a cagey affair so far. Toronto FC in their trying to find a way past New York Red Bulls's compact .
61' That is a Yellow card for Toronto FC. Carlos Salcedo will be fuming at that decision.
66' Fresh legs for New York Red Bulls! Caden Clark comes on to replace Omir Fernandez.
67' New York Red Bulls receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 67.
70' Toronto FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Noble Okello is hanging Jayden Nelson on the field on 70 minute.
75' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Toronto FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
80' Michael Bradley makes way for Ralph Priso-Mbongue at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toronto FC.
85' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
86' Controversy at the stadium! Sean Nealis argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
The referee brings this contest to a close. New York Red Bulls take all three points.

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

3
Carlos Salcedo
25
Alex Bono
4
Michael Bradley ↓ Ralph Priso-Mbongue 80'
21
Jonathan Osorio
10
Pozuelo
27
Shane O'Neill
22
Jacob Shaffelburg ↓ Ifunanyachi Achara 46'
11
Jayden Nelson ↓ Noble Okello 70'
7
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty

Bench

Coach Bob Bradley

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

7
Thomas Edwards ↑ 66'
18
Ryan Meara
37
Caden Clark ↑ 66'
2
Lucas Monzon

Coach Gerhard Struber

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lewis Morgan	5
Luquinhas	3
Tom Barlow	3
Emil Forsberg	3
Pozuelo	2
Elias Manoel	2
Kemar Lawrence	2
Caden Clark	2

Head to Head

Toronto FC Form

2022-03-05 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls L 2022-02-26 FC Dallas 1–1 Toronto FC D 2021-11-07 Toronto FC 1–3 D.C. United SC L 2021-10-30 Atlanta United FC 1–1 Toronto FC D 2021-10-27 Toronto FC 2–2 Philadelphia Union D 2021-10-23 Toronto FC 1–1 Montreal Impact FC D

New York Red Bulls Form

2022-03-05 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls W 2022-02-26 San Jose Earthquakes 1–3 New York Red Bulls W 2021-11-07 Nashville SC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2021-11-03 New York Red Bulls 0–0 Atlanta United FC D 2021-10-30 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Montreal Impact FC W 2021-10-27 D.C. United SC 1–0 New York Red Bulls L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.46 Toronto FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.97 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Toronto FC28% Draw25% New York Red Bulls47%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.43

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	66%	34%
± 3.5	44%	56%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw

53%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

72%

Toronto FC or New York Red Bulls

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Toronto FC23% Draw41% New York Red Bulls36%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted

1 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

10.2%

1 – 2

8.8%

2 – 1

6.6%

2 – 2

6.4%

0 – 2

6.3%

1 – 3

5.8%

0 – 1

5.8%

0 – 0

4.7%

2 – 3

4.2%

1 – 0

4.1%

0 – 3

2 – 0

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap	Toronto FC covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	8%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	15%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	52%	—	48%
+1	52%	20%	28%
+1.5	72%	—	28%
+2	72%	15%	13%
+2.5	87%	—	13%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.