Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2022 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

MLS · 2022

Toronto FC

1 – 4

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Sat 5 Mar 2022 · 19:00 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 31' Dylan Nealis

Carlos Salcedo 61' Y

Y 67' Patryk Klimala

Y 86' Sean Nealis

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at BMO Field.

Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

Toronto FC 17 games · Avg 2.5 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2022-03-05 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls 2021-07-21 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2021-05-08 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Toronto FC 2020-11-08 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC 2020-10-14 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Mar	New York Red Bulls	H	1–4	L
26 Feb	FC Dallas	A	1–1	D
07 Nov	D.C. United SC	H	1–3	L
30 Oct	Atlanta United FC	A	1–1	D
27 Oct	Philadelphia Union	H	2–2	D
23 Oct	Montreal Impact FC	H	1–1	D

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Mar	Toronto FC	A	4–1	W
26 Feb	San Jose Earthquakes	A	3–1	W
07 Nov	Nashville SC	A	1–1	D
03 Nov	Atlanta United FC	H	0–0	D
30 Oct	Montreal Impact FC	H	1–0	W
27 Oct	D.C. United SC	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Toronto FC		New York Red Bulls
#12	Position	#8
17	Points	25
18	Played	18
3 / 8 / 7	W / D / L	7 / 4 / 7
24	Scored	29
32	Conceded	39
-8	GD	-10
0.94	PPG	1.39
17%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

16% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

16% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC

0-15

1/2

16-30

1/3

31-45

4/3

46-60

2/5

61-75

4/4

76+

6/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/1

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

1/5

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	9 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at BMO Field. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Toronto FC and New York Red Bulls.
5' Canada international Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
10' New York Red Bulls are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Toronto FC and New York Red Bulls are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
17' Lewis Morgan has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 17 minutes.
22' Toronto FC have won 371 goals from 284 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
24' Against the run of play, Lewis Morgan has scored! This game has turned on its head.
29' Shane O'Neill has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
31' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Dylan Nealis on 31 minutes.
36' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
40' Brilliant from the ! Lewis Morgan makes it 0-3 with a superb finish on 40.
42' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Aaron Long makes it 0-4.
46' Ifunanyachi Achara gets the nod from Toronto FC. He replaces Jacob Shaffelburg and will look to change the dynamic.
51' The 31-year-old Tom Barlow has been sensational this season — 5 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Alex Bono suffering a number of foals already.
61' That is a Yellow card for Toronto FC. Carlos Salcedo will be fuming at that decision.
66' New York Red Bulls manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Caden Clark is hanging Omir Fernandez on the field on 66 minute.
67' Patryk Klimala is having his name booked by the referee on 67.
70' The supporters are chanting for Noble Okello. He replaces Jayden Nelson on 70 minute.
75' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Toronto FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
80' Another substitution for Toronto FC to replace Michael Bradley by Ralph Priso-Mbongue on 80 minute.
85' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toronto FC that had 284 games and scored 371 goals.
86' Sean Nealis picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
Full Time. New York Red Bulls beats Toronto FC

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

3
Carlos Salcedo
25
Alex Bono
4
Michael Bradley ↓ Ralph Priso-Mbongue 80'
21
Jonathan Osorio
10
Pozuelo
27
Shane O'Neill
22
Jacob Shaffelburg ↓ Ifunanyachi Achara 46'
11
Jayden Nelson ↓ Noble Okello 70'
7
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty

Bench

Coach Bob Bradley

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

7
Thomas Edwards ↑ 66'
18
Ryan Meara
37
Caden Clark ↑ 66'
2
Lucas Monzon

Coach Gerhard Struber

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lewis Morgan	5
Emil Forsberg	3
Luquinhas	3
Tom Barlow	3
Brian White	2
Pozuelo	2
Elias Manoel	2
Kemar Lawrence	2

Head to Head

Toronto FC Form

2022-03-05 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls L 2022-02-26 FC Dallas 1–1 Toronto FC D 2021-11-07 Toronto FC 1–3 D.C. United SC L 2021-10-30 Atlanta United FC 1–1 Toronto FC D 2021-10-27 Toronto FC 2–2 Philadelphia Union D 2021-10-23 Toronto FC 1–1 Montreal Impact FC D

New York Red Bulls Form

2022-03-05 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls W 2022-02-26 San Jose Earthquakes 1–3 New York Red Bulls W 2021-11-07 Nashville SC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2021-11-03 New York Red Bulls 0–0 Atlanta United FC D 2021-10-30 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Montreal Impact FC W 2021-10-27 D.C. United SC 1–0 New York Red Bulls L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.55 Toronto FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.09 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Toronto FC28% Draw24% New York Red Bulls48%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes69% 0% No31%

Avg goals/match: 3.64

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	69%	31%
± 3.5	49%	51%
± 4.5	30%	70%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw

52%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

72%

Toronto FC or New York Red Bulls

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Toronto FC23% Draw40% New York Red Bulls37%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted

1 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

9.4%

1 – 2

8.6%

2 – 2

6.6%

2 – 1

6.4%

1 – 3

5.9%

0 – 2

5.8%

0 – 1

2 – 3

4.6%

0 – 0

0 – 3

3.9%

1 – 0

3.5%

3 – 2

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap	Toronto FC covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	8%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	15%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	51%	—	49%
+1	51%	20%	29%
+1.5	71%	—	29%
+2	71%	15%	14%
+2.5	86%	—	14%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.