New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2021

New York Red Bulls

1 – 0

Full Time

New York City FC

Sun 17 Oct 2021 · 17:00 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Sean Nealis 16' Y

Sean Davis 21' Y

Y 34' Maxime Chanot

Y 82' Malte Amundsen

Y 83' Malte Amundsen

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
New York City FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 19 games · Avg 2.5 goals New York City FC

Last 5 meetings

2021-10-17 New York Red Bulls 1–0 New York City FC 2021-09-26 New York City FC 0–1 New York Red Bulls 2021-09-23 New York Red Bulls 1–1 New York City FC 2020-11-02 New York City FC 5–2 New York Red Bulls 2020-08-20 New York Red Bulls 1–0 New York City FC

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Oct	New York City FC	H	1–0	W
09 Oct	Internacional CF Miami	H	1–0	W
02 Oct	FC Cincinnati	A	1–0	W
29 Sep	Philadelphia Union	H	1–1	D
26 Sep	New York City FC	A	1–0	W
23 Sep	New York City FC	H	1–1	D

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Oct	New York Red Bulls	A	0–1	L
03 Oct	Nashville SC	H	0–0	D
30 Sep	Chicago Fire FC	A	0–2	L
26 Sep	New York Red Bulls	H	0–1	L
23 Sep	New York Red Bulls	A	1–1	D
18 Sep	FC Cincinnati	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		New York City FC
#8	Position	#5
25	Points	26
18	Played	18
7 / 4 / 7	W / D / L	7 / 5 / 6
29	Scored	31
39	Conceded	24
-10	GD	+7
1.39	PPG	1.44
39%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

37% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

16% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

17% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts). New York City FC are 5th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/1

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

1/5

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York City FC

0-15

4/–

16-30

3/4

31-45

2/4

46-60

3/2

61-75

2/2

76+

2/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	9 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

New York City FC

Nicolas Fernandez Marcau	11 G	3 A
Hannes Wolf	5 G	1 A
Agustin Ojeda	4 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at Red Bull Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
3' Goal! Christian Casseres Jr. scores his 8 goal in 286 matches.
8' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
13' The energy levels are beginning to show. Ronny Deila might look to freshen things up shortly.
16' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Sean Nealis on 16 minutes.
21' Sean Davis was booked on 21.
26' Carlos Miguel needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
31' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
34' A meaty challenge results in booking for Maxime Chanot on 34.
39' New York Red Bulls is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
44' New York Red Bulls are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against New York City FC's shape.
46' New York City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Thiago is hanging Jesus Medina on the field on 46 minute.
51' New York City FC have won 459 goals from 289 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
56' The supporters are chanting for Wikelman Carmona. He replaces Omir Fernandez on 56 minute.
57' New York Red Bulls make a change. Omir Fernandez trudges off to be replaced by Wikelman Carmona on 57 minutes.
62' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Maxi Moralez made 289 appearances and scored 39 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
64' The New York Red Bulls manager makes a substitution. Fabio departs to be replaced by Patryk Klimala.
68' Andres Jasson gets the nod from New York City FC. He replaces Tayvon Gray and will look to change the dynamic.
69' Fresh legs for New York City FC! Malte Amundsen comes on to replace Gudmundur Thorarinsson.
74' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both New York Red Bulls and New York City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
79' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering New York Red Bulls that had 286 games and scored 422 goals.
82' Malte Amundsen catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 82.
83' Malte Amundsen picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
84' The whistle greets Dru Yearwood as he departs to be replaced by Youba Diarra.
89' New York Red Bulls are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
Another three points for New York Red Bulls.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

16
Dru Yearwood ↓ Youba Diarra 84'
27
Sean Davis
6
Kyle Duncan
13
Carlos Miguel
21
Omir Fernandez ↓ Wikelman Carmona 56'
15
Sean Nealis
5
Andrew Gutman
47
John Tolkin
4
Andres Reyes
9
Fabio ↓ Patryk Klimala 64'
23
Christian Casseres Jr.

Bench

Coach Gerhard Struber

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

11
Valentin Castellanos
10
Maxi Moralez
4
Maxime Chanot
6
Alexander Callens
19
Jesus Medina ↓ Thiago 46'
1
Sean Johnson
16
James Sands
55
Keaton Parks
24
Tayvon Gray ↓ Andres Jasson 68'
20
Gudmundur Thorarinsson ↓ Malte Amundsen 69'
42
Santiago Rodriguez ↓ Heber 68'

Bench

7
Alfredo Morales
12
Malte Amundsen ↑ 69'
15
Tony Rocha
9
Heber ↑ 68'
13
Luis Barraza
23
Gedion Zelalem
32
Vuk Latinovich
21
Andres Jasson ↑ 68'
8
Thiago ↑ 46'

Coach Ronny Deila

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Valentin Castellanos	5
Maxi Moralez	4
Omir Fernandez	3
Alonso Martinez	3
Andres Perea	3
Bradley Wright-Phillips	2
Heber	2
Daniel Royer	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2021-10-17 New York Red Bulls 1–0 New York City FC W 2021-10-09 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Internacional CF Miami W 2021-10-02 FC Cincinnati 0–1 New York Red Bulls W 2021-09-29 New York Red Bulls 1–1 Philadelphia Union D 2021-09-26 New York City FC 0–1 New York Red Bulls W 2021-09-23 New York Red Bulls 1–1 New York City FC D

New York City FC Form

2021-10-17 New York Red Bulls 1–0 New York City FC L 2021-10-03 New York City FC 0–0 Nashville SC D 2021-09-30 Chicago Fire FC 2–0 New York City FC L 2021-09-26 New York City FC 0–1 New York Red Bulls L 2021-09-23 New York Red Bulls 1–1 New York City FC D 2021-09-18 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York City FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.37 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.5 New York City FC xG

I would bet for: New York Red Bulls or New York City FC 75% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls43% Draw25% New York City FC32%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.87

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

68%

Draw or New York City FC

57%

New York Red Bulls or New York City FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

New York Red Bulls26% Draw45% New York City FC29%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.6%

1 – 2

8.4%

2 – 1

7.7%

0 – 1

7.6%

0 – 0

7.5%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 2

6.3%

2 – 2

5.8%

2 – 0

5.3%

1 – 3

4.2%

3 – 1

3.5%

0 – 3

3.1%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	New York City FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	10%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	18%	67%
-0.5	33%	—	67%
+0.5	61%	—	39%
+1	61%	20%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	12%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

23% ✗

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.