New York City FC vs Houston Dynamo, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York City FC vs Houston Dynamo — MLS at Yankee Stadium.
- New York City FC 27 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Houston Dynamo 27 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May | Houston Dynamo | H | 0–3 | L |
| 25 May | Chicago Fire FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 17 May | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–0 | W |
| 14 May | D.C. United SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 10 May | Montreal Impact FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 04 May | FC Cincinnati | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May | New York City FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 25 May | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 3–3 | D |
| 18 May | FC Dallas | A | 2–0 | W |
| 15 May | Minnesota United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 11 May | Seattle Sounders FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 04 May | Los Angeles FC | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| New York City FC | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #20 |
| 33 | Points | 44 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 8 / 9 / 10 | W / D / L | 13 / 5 / 9 |
| 41 | Scored | 34 |
| 36 | Conceded | 32 |
| +5 | GD | +2 |
| 1.22 | PPG | 1.63 |
| 30% | Win % | 48% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
19%
Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
New York City FC this season
41%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
New York City FC are 8th (33 pts). Houston Dynamo are 20th (44 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York City FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/4
61-75
4/6
76+
2/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
7/4
46-60
5/3
61-75
5/3
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
New York City FC
| Nicolas Fernandez Marcau | 15 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Ojeda | 5 G | 5 A |
| Hannes Wolf | 5 G | 1 A |
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 14 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Yankee Stadium will turn into a battlefield for New York City FC and Houston Dynamo.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Aiden O'Neill, as he is very good at scoring at Yankee Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 10' Argentina international Franco Escobar has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 15' New York City FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Houston Dynamo's shape.
- 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 25' Justin Haak adds to his 0 season tally! New York City FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 35' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Erik Duenas.
- 40' With 1 assists to his name this season, Julian Fernandez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for New York City FC.
- 45' Over 45 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 46' The Houston Dynamo bench stirs into life. Junior Urso is withdrawn and Artur gets his opportunity.
- 50' What a strike from Gabriel Segal! The score is 1-1.
- 55' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Erik Duenas made 297 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 60' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 63' A meaty challenge results in booking for Felipe on 63.
- 65' The referee shows New York City FC player a card on 65.
- 65' A tactical swap from New York City FC — Nico Cavallo on, Justin Haak off on 65 minutes.
- 70' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 71' A change in the Houston Dynamo ranks — Erik Duenas exits the field as Ondrej Lingr enters on 71.
- 72' Another change for Houston Dynamo made on 72 minute. Felipe leaves to be changed by Griffin Dorsey.
- 74' It is a substitution in New York City FC team. Jonathan Shore is replaced by Keaton Parks on 74 minute.
- 79' Both keepers have barely been tested. New York City FC and Houston Dynamo are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 82' Duane Holmes is replacing Jack McGlynn for the Houston Dynamo side.
- 85' New York City FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 89' Another substitution for Houston Dynamo to replace Nicolas Lodeiro by Pablo Ortiz on 89 minute.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Nico Cavallo.
- Houston Dynamo celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
New York City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
-
17
Hannes Wolf ↓ Agustin Ojeda 65'
- 13
-
10
Maxi Moralez ↓ Maximo Carrizo 65'
- 49
-
80
Justin Haak ↓ Nico Cavallo 65'
- 24
- 5
-
32
Jonathan Shore ↓ Keaton Parks 74'
- 11
-
16
Alonso Martinez ↓ Monsef Bakrar 65'
Bench
- 19
-
55
Keaton Parks ↑ 74'
- 30
-
29
Maximo Carrizo ↑ 65'
-
26
Agustin Ojeda ↑ 65'
- 35
-
9
Monsef Bakrar ↑ 65'
-
2
Nico Cavallo ↑ 65'
- 99
Coach
Pascal Jansen
Houston Dynamo Lineups
Starting XI
- 31
-
20
Nicolas Lodeiro ↓ Pablo Ortiz 89'
- 2
-
30
Junior Urso ↓ Artur 46'
-
16
Erik Duenas ↓ Ondrej Lingr 71'
- 4
-
21
Jack McGlynn ↓ Duane Holmes 82'
- 35
- 17
-
36
Felipe ↓ Griffin Dorsey 72'
- 24
Bench
-
14
Duane Holmes ↑ 82'
- 1
-
6
Artur ↑ 46'
-
25
Griffin Dorsey ↑ 72'
-
9
Ondrej Lingr ↑ 71'
- 23
- 27
- 12
-
22
Pablo Ortiz ↑ 89'
Coach
Ben Olsen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Valentin Castellanos | 2 |
| Gabriel Segal | 2 |
| Juan Cabezas | 1 |
| Tomas Martinez | 1 |
| Alexandru Mitrita | 1 |
| Alberth Elis | 1 |
| Amine Bassi | 1 |
| Alejandro Fuenmayor | 1 |
Head to Head
New York City FC Form
2025-05-28
New York City FC
0–3
Houston Dynamo
L
2025-05-25
New York City FC
3–1
Chicago Fire FC
W
2025-05-17
New York City FC
2–0
New York Red Bulls
W
2025-05-14
D.C. United SC
0–0
New York City FC
D
2025-05-10
New York City FC
0–1
Montreal Impact FC
L
2025-05-04
New York City FC
1–0
FC Cincinnati
W
Houston Dynamo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.23
New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51
Houston Dynamo xG
I would bet for:
New York City FC or Houston Dynamo 72% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Houston Dynamo win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
New York City FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Houston Dynamo
69%
New York City FC or Houston Dynamo
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Houston Dynamo win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
8.7%
0 – 0
8.4%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
7.1%
1 – 0
6.9%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.4%
0 – 3
Actual
3 – 1
2.9%
Asian Handicap — New York City FC
| Handicap | New York City FC covers | Push | Houston Dynamo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 17% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 21% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 13% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

