Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tōkyō, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2020

Nagoya Grampus

1 – 0

Full Time

FC Tōkyō

Sun 15 Nov 2020 · 10:00 UTC Paloma Mizuho Stadium HT 45+5' · FT 45+7'

Gabriel Xavier 29' Y

Y 36' Masato Morishige

Naoki Maeda 81' Y

Naoki Maeda 82' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tōkyō — J. League at Paloma Mizuho Stadium.

Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Isao Nishihashi
Referee Hajime Matsuo
Referee Takeshi Suhara
Referee Bumpei Ueda

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 24 games · Avg 2.3 goals FC Tōkyō

Last 5 meetings

2020-11-15 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 FC Tōkyō 2020-08-15 FC Tōkyō 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2019-08-30 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 FC Tōkyō 2019-03-17 FC Tōkyō 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2018-10-07 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 FC Tōkyō

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Nov	FC Tōkyō	H	1–0	W
11 Nov	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–2	L
03 Nov	Sagan Tosu FC	A	0–0	D
31 Oct	Kashima Antlers	A	2–0	W
24 Oct	Vegalta Sendai	H	1–0	W
21 Oct	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	1–2	L

FC Tōkyō

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Nov	Nagoya Grampus	A	0–1	L
11 Nov	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	1–0	W
31 Oct	Kawasaki Frontale	A	1–2	L
28 Oct	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–3	L
24 Oct	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	0–4	L
18 Oct	Yokohama FC	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus		FC Tōkyō
#3	Position	#12
31	Points	37
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	13 / 0 / 5
46	Scored	55
44	Conceded	42
+2	GD	+13
1.72	PPG	2.06
56%	Win %	72%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

22% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

4/3

61-75

3/1

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Tōkyō

0-15

–/1

16-30

–/2

31-45

8/–

46-60

2/–

61-75

4/4

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Nagoya Grampus host FC Tōkyō — let the battle begin!
5' Takuya Uchida is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
15' Adailton has been relatively quiet despite scoring 47 goals in his last 278 appearances.
20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
25' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
29' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Gabriel Xavier.
34' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
36' The referee calls foul for Masato Morishige. He receives a Yellow card.
41' It is a cagey affair so far. Nagoya Grampus in their trying to find a way past FC Tōkyō's compact .
46' Nagoya Grampus are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Tōkyō backline.
51' Takuji Yonemoto has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
56' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
61' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 439 games and scored 396 goals.
65' FC Tokyo ring the changes. Adailton has done his job and it is now time for Kensuke Nagai to step up.
70' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kenta Hasegawa will be considering his options from the bench.
75' A quiet spell here at Paloma Mizuho Stadium. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
77' FC Tokyo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hirotaka Mita is hanging Diego Oliveira on the field on 77 minute.
81' The referee calls foul for Naoki Maeda. He receives a Yellow card.
82' The referee has no hesitation. Naoki Maeda is booked for Nagoya Grampus — Yellow card on 82.
85' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 85 minute. Hiroyuki Abe leaves to be changed by Yuki Soma.
87' A change in the FC Tokyo ranks — Arthur exits the field as Takuya Uchida enters on 87.
88' A change in the FC Tokyo ranks — Arthur exits the field as Takuya Uchida enters on 88.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Massimo Ficcadenti

FC Tōkyō Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

28
Takuya Uchida ↑ 87'
11
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 65'
24
Taichi Hara ↑ 77'
32
Joan Oumari
7
Hirotaka Mita ↑ 77'
1
Tsuyoshi Kodama
22
Takumi Nakamura

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Diego Oliveira	6
Kensuke Nagai	3
Kasper Junker	3
Diego Oliveira	2
Kensuke Nagai	2
Adailton	1
Sho Inagaki	1
Willian Rocha	1

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2020-11-15 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 FC Tōkyō W 2020-11-11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2020-11-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus D 2020-10-31 Kashima Antlers 0–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2020-10-24 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Vegalta Sendai W 2020-10-21 Yokohama F·Marinos 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L

FC Tōkyō Form

2020-11-15 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 FC Tōkyō L 2020-11-11 FC Tōkyō 1–0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo W 2020-10-31 Kawasaki Frontale 2–1 FC Tōkyō L 2020-10-28 FC Tōkyō 1–3 Kashiwa Reysol L 2020-10-24 FC Tōkyō 0–4 Yokohama F·Marinos L 2020-10-18 Yokohama FC 1–0 FC Tōkyō L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.07 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.94 FC Tōkyō xG

I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or FC Tōkyō 77% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus45% Draw23% FC Tōkyō32%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes74% 0% No26%

Avg goals/match: 4.01

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	75%	25%
± 3.5	56%	44%
± 4.5	37%	63%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

67%

Draw or FC Tōkyō

55%

Nagoya Grampus or FC Tōkyō

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus33% Draw38% FC Tōkyō29%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.1%

2 – 1

7.3%

2 – 2

1 – 2

6.9%

3 – 1

3 – 2

4.8%

2 – 3

4.5%

1 – 3

4.4%

2 – 0

0 – 2

3.5%

1 – 0

Actual

3 – 3

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	FC Tōkyō covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	12%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	18%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	16%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	11%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

15% ✗

FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.