Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tōkyō, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2020

Nagoya Grampus

1 – 0

Full Time

FC Tōkyō

Sun 15 Nov 2020 · 10:00 UTC Paloma Mizuho Stadium HT 45+5' · FT 45+7'

Gabriel Xavier 29' Y

Y 36' Masato Morishige

Naoki Maeda 81' Y

Naoki Maeda 82' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tōkyō — J. League at Paloma Mizuho Stadium.

Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Isao Nishihashi
Referee Hajime Matsuo
Referee Takeshi Suhara
Referee Bumpei Ueda

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 25 games · Avg 2.2 goals FC Tōkyō

Last 5 meetings

2020-11-15 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 FC Tōkyō 2020-08-15 FC Tōkyō 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2019-08-30 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 FC Tōkyō 2019-03-17 FC Tōkyō 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2018-10-07 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 FC Tōkyō

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Nov	FC Tōkyō	H	1–0	W
11 Nov	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–2	L
03 Nov	Sagan Tosu FC	A	0–0	D
31 Oct	Kashima Antlers	A	2–0	W
24 Oct	Vegalta Sendai	H	1–0	W
21 Oct	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	1–2	L

FC Tōkyō

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Nov	Nagoya Grampus	A	0–1	L
11 Nov	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	1–0	W
31 Oct	Kawasaki Frontale	A	1–2	L
28 Oct	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–3	L
24 Oct	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	0–4	L
18 Oct	Yokohama FC	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus		FC Tōkyō
#3	Position	#12
31	Points	37
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	13 / 0 / 5
46	Scored	55
44	Conceded	42
+2	GD	+13
1.72	PPG	2.06
56%	Win %	72%

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

85% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

5/3

16-30

–/2

31-45

2/5

46-60

2/3

61-75

2/3

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Tōkyō

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

7/1

46-60

8/1

61-75

10/–

76+

7/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

Yuya Yamagishi	3 G
Takuya Uchida	2 G	1 A
Yudai Kimura	2 G	1 A
Naomichi Ueda	1 G	1 A

FC Tōkyō

Motoki Nagakura	8 G	3 A
Marcelo Ryan	5 G	2 A
Dani Gomez	5 G
Soma Anzai	5 G
Teruhito Nakagawa	4 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Nagoya Grampus host FC Tōkyō — let the battle begin!
5' A quiet spell here at Paloma Mizuho Stadium. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nagoya Grampus and FC Tōkyō are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
29' Gabriel Xavier is having his name booked by the referee on 29.
34' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
36' FC Tokyo receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 36.
41' Ryoya Ogawa has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 13 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
46' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Gabriel Xavier suffering a number of foals already.
51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Adailton is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nagoya Grampus.
56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
61' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
65' Kensuke Nagai has so much to prove this time. He replaces Adailton on 65 minute.
70' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 452 games and scored 412 goals.
75' Kensuke Nagai is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
77' FC Tokyo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hirotaka Mita is hanging Diego Oliveira on the field on 77 minute.
81' A moment of madness from Naoki Maeda on 81 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Nagoya Grampus will be frustrated.
82' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Naoki Maeda.
85' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Hiroyuki Abe trudges off to be replaced by Yuki Soma on 85 minutes.
87' Takuya Uchida gets the nod from FC Tokyo. He replaces Arthur and will look to change the dynamic.
88' The crowd applauds Arthur as he leaves the pitch. Takuya Uchida steps in for FC Tokyo.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Nagoya Grampus to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Massimo Ficcadenti

FC Tōkyō Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

28
Takuya Uchida ↑ 87'
11
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 65'
24
Taichi Hara ↑ 77'
32
Joan Oumari
7
Hirotaka Mita ↑ 77'
1
Tsuyoshi Kodama
22
Takumi Nakamura

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Diego Oliveira	6
Kensuke Nagai	3
Kasper Junker	3
Diego Oliveira	2
Kensuke Nagai	2
Yasuki Kimoto	1
Kein Sato	1
Willian Rocha	1

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2020-11-15 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 FC Tōkyō W 2020-11-11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2020-11-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus D 2020-10-31 Kashima Antlers 0–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2020-10-24 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Vegalta Sendai W 2020-10-21 Yokohama F·Marinos 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L

FC Tōkyō Form

2020-11-15 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 FC Tōkyō L 2020-11-11 FC Tōkyō 1–0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo W 2020-10-31 Kawasaki Frontale 2–1 FC Tōkyō L 2020-10-28 FC Tōkyō 1–3 Kashiwa Reysol L 2020-10-24 FC Tōkyō 0–4 Yokohama F·Marinos L 2020-10-18 Yokohama FC 1–0 FC Tōkyō L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.07 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.94 FC Tōkyō xG

I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or FC Tōkyō 77% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus45% Draw23% FC Tōkyō32%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes74% 0% No26%

Avg goals/match: 4.01

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	75%	25%
± 3.5	56%	44%
± 4.5	37%	63%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

67%

Draw or FC Tōkyō

55%

Nagoya Grampus or FC Tōkyō

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus33% Draw38% FC Tōkyō29%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.1%

2 – 1

7.3%

2 – 2

1 – 2

6.9%

3 – 1

3 – 2

4.8%

2 – 3

4.5%

1 – 3

4.4%

2 – 0

0 – 2

3.5%

1 – 0

Actual

3 – 3

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	FC Tōkyō covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	12%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	18%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	16%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	11%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

15% ✗

FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.