Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2019 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League .
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Yagi Akane
- Referee Akihiko Ikeuchi
- Referee Yusuke Hamamoto
- Referee Yosuke Takabe
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Jubilo Iwata | H | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Apr | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Mar | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Mar | FC Tōkyō | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Apr | FC Tōkyō | H | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Apr | Vissel Kobe | A | 4–2 | W |
| 06 Apr | Gamba Osaka | H | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | Oita FC Trinita | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Mar | Matsumoto Yamaga FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #4 |
| 31 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 46 | Scored | 41 |
| 44 | Conceded | 33 |
| +2 | GD | +8 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Nagoya Grampus and Sanfrecce Hiroshima get this one started.
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Nagoya Grampus in their trying to find a way past Sanfrecce Hiroshima's compact .
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 15' Nagoya Grampus currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 20' A quiet spell here at . Sanfrecce Hiroshima seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 25' The 33-year-old Joao Schmidt has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 30' Yuki Nogami has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 35' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 38' What a moment for Naoki Maeda! That strike on 38 puts his side firmly in control.
- 43' Nagoya Grampus are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 48' Nagoya Grampus are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sanfrecce Hiroshima backline.
- 53' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Sanfrecce Hiroshima winning 50% of all matches.
- 56' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Yuki Soma on, Naoki Maeda off on 56 minutes.
- 61' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 66' Yusuke Minagawa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Taishi Matsumoto at the 66 minute mark.
- 71' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 73' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Gakuto Notsuda departs to be replaced by Tsukasa Morishima.
- 78' Nagoya Grampus have won 396 goals from 439 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 82' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Emil Salomonsson departs to be replaced by Rhayner.
- 87' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Ryuji Izumi has done his job and it is now time for Shuhei Akasaki to step up.
- 90' The Nagoya Grampus manager makes a substitution. Aria Hasegawa departs to be replaced by Yuki Kobayashi.
- 1-0 the final result. Sanfrecce Hiroshima will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 2
- 1
- 23
-
25
Naoki Maeda ↓ Yuki Soma 56'
- 17
-
29
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Shuhei Akasaki 87'
- 6
-
9
Aria Hasegawa ↓ Yuki Kobayashi 90'
- 7
- 20
Bench
-
32
Shuhei Akasaki ↑ 87'
- 5
- 16
- 24
-
4
Yuki Kobayashi ↑ 90'
- 31
-
27
Yuki Soma ↑ 56'
Coach
Yahiro Kazama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 19
- 38
- 2
- 5
- 30
- 18
- 17
- 40
- 16
-
3
Emil Salomonsson ↓ Rhayner 82'
Bench
-
44
Rhayner ↑ 82'
- 34
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↑ 73'
- 15
- 23
- 27
-
22
Yusuke Minagawa ↑ 66'
Coach
Hiroshi Jofuku
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 4 |
| Kasper Junker | 4 |
| Naoki Maeda | 3 |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 |
| Gakuto Notsuda | 2 |
| Hayato Araki | 1 |
| Jo | 1 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2019-04-28
Nagoya Grampus
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2019-04-19
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
FC Tōkyō
L
2019-04-14
Vissel Kobe
2–4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2019-04-06
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–0
Gamba Osaka
W
2019-03-30
Oita FC Trinita
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2019-03-17
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Matsumoto Yamaga FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.92
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 69% + Over 2.5 goals 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.59
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
70%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
53%
Nagoya Grampus or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.8%
3 – 1
5.2%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
4%
1 – 3
4%
0 – 2
3.9%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 13% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 19% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 16% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
20%
✗
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.