Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus, 2018
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League .
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Yudai Yamamoto
- Referee Takanori Sakumoto
- Referee Yuki Tsukakoshi
- Referee Tetsuro Yoshida
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Nov | Vegalta Sendai | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Nov | Jubilo Iwata | A | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Oct | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Oct | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Sep | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Nov | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Nov | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Nov | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Oct | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Oct | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #3 |
| 30 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 41 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 44 |
| +8 | GD | +2 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus get this one started.
- 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 10' Nagoya Grampus has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kazuki Kushibiki suffering a number of foals already.
- 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 30' Naoki Maeda needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 40' Yuichi Maruyama has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 439 appearances.
- 45' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 50' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Hiroshi Jofuku will be considering his options from the bench.
- 55' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 60' It’s high time Hiroshi Jofuku made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 65' A quiet spell here at . Sanfrecce Hiroshima seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 70' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is showing some good football. However, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 75' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 80' Sho Sasaki, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 85' Nagoya Grampus looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Tsukasa Morishima scoring 1 goals.
- 90' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Nagoya Grampus's shape.
- Nagoya Grampus celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 1
- 5
- 2
- 27
- 33
- 30
- 18
-
15
Sho Inagaki ↓ Shunki Higashi 76'
- 36
- 31
Bench
-
6
Toshihiro Aoyama ↑ 80'
- 16
- 34
- 4
- 23
-
8
Kazuyuki Morisaki ↑ 64'
-
41
Shunki Higashi ↑ 76'
Coach
Hiroshi Jofuku
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 17
-
29
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Kazuki Kushibiki 90'
- 4
- 10
-
14
Yosuke Akiyama ↓ Naoki Maeda 73'
-
28
Keiji Tamada ↓ Ikki Arai 82'
- 7
- 20
- 15
- 47
Bench
-
25
Naoki Maeda ↑ 73'
- 16
-
3
Kazuki Kushibiki ↑ 90'
-
5
Ikki Arai ↑ 82'
- 9
- 38
- 31
Coach
Yahiro Kazama
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 4 |
| Kasper Junker | 4 |
| Naoki Maeda | 3 |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 |
| Gakuto Notsuda | 2 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 1 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 1 |
| Akito Suzuki | 1 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2018-11-24
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2
Nagoya Grampus
L
2018-11-10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Vegalta Sendai
L
2018-11-03
Jubilo Iwata
3–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2018-10-20
Shimizu S-Pulse
2–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2018-10-06
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–3
Kashiwa Reysol
L
2018-09-29
Gamba Osaka
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.93
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.75
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus 75% + Both teams to score 70%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.68
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
63%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
61%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.4%
1 – 0
4.3%
1 – 3
4.2%
2 – 3
4%
0 – 2
3.9%
0 – 1
3.9%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 13% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 18% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 17% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 10% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

