Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F·Marinos, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Nagoya Grampus

2 – 1

Full Time

Yokohama F·Marinos

Sat 30 Mar 2024 · 07:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 25' Anderson Lopes

Tsukasa Morishima 33' Y

Y 62' Asahi Uenaka

Y 83' Takumi Kamijima

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F·Marinos — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Yokohama F·Marinos 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 16 games · Avg 2.9 goals Yokohama F·Marinos

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-30 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Yokohama F·Marinos 2023-07-08 Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Yokohama F·Marinos 2023-04-29 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Nagoya Grampus 2022-10-01 Nagoya Grampus 0–4 Yokohama F·Marinos 2022-05-07 Yokohama F·Marinos 2–1 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Mar	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	2–1	W
16 Mar	Kashiwa Reysol	A	2–0	W
09 Mar	Albirex Niigata	A	0–1	L
02 Mar	FC Machida Zelvia	H	0–1	L
23 Feb	Kashima Antlers	H	0–3	L
03 Dec	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–1	D

Yokohama F·Marinos

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Mar	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–2	L
17 Mar	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	3–2	W
01 Mar	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–1	L
25 Feb	Tokyo Verdy	A	2–1	W
03 Dec	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	1–3	L
24 Nov	Albirex Niigata	H	0–0	D

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus		Yokohama F·Marinos
#3	Position	#18
31	Points	20
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	6 / 0 / 12
46	Scored	31
44	Conceded	35
+2	GD	-4
1.72	PPG	1.11
56%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

17% Clean Sheets
Yokohama F·Marinos this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Yokohama F·Marinos are 18th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

4/3

61-75

3/1

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Yokohama F·Marinos

0-15

1/1

16-30

2/4

31-45

3/2

46-60

5/1

61-75

3/2

76+

3/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Nagoya Grampus to score. At the same time, Yokohama F·Marinos does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
10' Shinnosuke Hatanaka is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Yokohama F·Marinos tonight.
15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
20' Nagoya Grampus are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
24' Yuya Yamagishi makes way for Patric at the 24 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
25' Anderson Lopes picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
30' Kennedy Egbus Mikuni has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
33' A moment of madness from Tsukasa Morishima on 33 minutes earns him a card. Nagoya Grampus will be frustrated.
38' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
39' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Chang-rae Ha by Haruki Yoshida on 39 minute.
44' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
49' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Takuji Yonemoto made 437 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
54' Magnificent from Katsuya Nagato! That is 10 goals in 275 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
57' A tactical swap from Yokohama F.Marinos — Ryo Miyaichi on, Elber off on 57 minutes.
61' Ryosuke Yamanaka is ready to make an impact after coming on for Takuya Uchida at the 61 minute mark.
62' A meaty challenge results in booking for Asahi Uenaka on 62.
67' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
69' Yokohama F.Marinos manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jun Amano is hanging Tae-Hee Nam on the field on 69 minute.
74' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
75' Shinnosuke Hatanaka is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ren Kato at the 75 minute mark.
77' The deadlock is broken! Tsukasa Morishima gets on the scoresheet on 77 minutes.
77' Keiya Shiihashi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Takuji Yonemoto at the 77 minute mark.
79' A change in the Yokohama F.Marinos ranks — Kota Watanabe exits the field as Riku Yamane enters on 79.
83' The referee has no hesitation. Takumi Kamijima is booked for Yokohama F.Marinos — card on 83.
88' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nagoya Grampus and Yokohama F·Marinos are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
Yokohama F·Marinos will have plenty to reflect on. Nagoya Grampus were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

8
Keiya Shiihashi ↑ 77'
66
Ryosuke Yamanaka ↑ 61'
10
Patric ↑ 24'
16
Yohei Takeda
7
Ryuji Izumi ↑ 61'
17
Ken Masui
5
Haruki Yoshida ↑ 39'

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

Yokohama F·Marinos Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

23
Ryo Miyaichi ↑ 57'
20
Jun Amano ↑ 69'
4
Shinnosuke Hatanaka ↑ 75'
21
Hiroki Iikura
14
Asahi Uenaka ↑ 57'
28
Riku Yamane ↑ 79'
38
Yuhi Murakami

Coach Harry Kewell

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Marcos Junior	5
Jo	5
Jo	3
Elber	3
Kota Mizunuma	3
Takuya Kida	2
Kenyu Sugimoto	2
Shinnosuke Nakatani	2

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2024-03-30 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Yokohama F·Marinos W 2024-03-16 Kashiwa Reysol 0–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-03-09 Albirex Niigata 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-03-02 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 FC Machida Zelvia L 2024-02-23 Nagoya Grampus 0–3 Kashima Antlers L 2023-12-03 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D

Yokohama F·Marinos Form

2024-03-30 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Yokohama F·Marinos L 2024-03-17 Kyoto Sanga FC 2–3 Yokohama F·Marinos W 2024-03-01 Yokohama F·Marinos 0–1 Avispa Fukuoka L 2024-02-25 Tokyo Verdy 1–2 Yokohama F·Marinos W 2023-12-03 Kyoto Sanga FC 3–1 Yokohama F·Marinos L 2023-11-24 Yokohama F·Marinos 0–0 Albirex Niigata D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.02 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.84 Yokohama F·Marinos xG

I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or Yokohama F·Marinos 77% + Over 2.5 goals 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus44% Draw23% Yokohama F·Marinos33%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes72% 0% No28%

Avg goals/match: 3.86

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	73%	27%
± 3.5	53%	47%
± 4.5	34%	66%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

67%

Draw or Yokohama F·Marinos

56%

Nagoya Grampus or Yokohama F·Marinos

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus33% Draw39% Yokohama F·Marinos28%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.7%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

2 – 2

6.9%

3 – 1

5.1%

3 – 2

4.7%

2 – 0

4.4%

2 – 3

4.3%

1 – 3

4.3%

1 – 0

3.8%

0 – 2

3.7%

0 – 1

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	Yokohama F·Marinos covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	13%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	18%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	65%	—	35%
+1	65%	16%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	11%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Yokohama F·Marinos keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.