Wednesday , 30 September 2026

NK Maribor vs Rosenborg BK, Champions League 2019-20 3RD QUALIFYING ROUND

Wed 7 Aug 2019 · 18:15 UTC HT 45+3' · FT 45+3'

Overview

Match Preview

NK Maribor vs Rosenborg BK — Champions League .

Match Details

  • Referee Francois Letexier
  • Referee Cyril Mugnier
  • Referee Mehdi Rahmouni
  • Referee Willy Delajod
13 games this season 🟨 4.1/game ⚽ 8.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Head-to-Head

2
NK Maribor 2 games · Avg 4.0 goals Rosenborg BK

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Aug Rosenborg BK H 1–3 L
31 Jul AIK Fotboll A 2–3 L
24 Jul AIK Fotboll H 2–1 W
17 Jul KF Valur H 2–0 W
10 Jul KF Valur A 3–0 W
16 Aug Rangers FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Aug NK Maribor A 3–1 W
31 Jul FK BATE Barysau H 2–0 W
24 Jul FK BATE Barysau A 1–2 L
17 Jul Linfield FC H 4–0 W
10 Jul Linfield FC A 2–0 W
13 Dec RB Leipzig A 1–1 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — NK Maribor and Rosenborg BK get this one started.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Eirik Horneland will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 6' The referee shows NK Maribor player a Yellow card on 6.
  • 11' NK Maribor have won 23 goals from 105 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 14' Tore Reginiussen makes way for Gustav Valsvik at the 14 minute mark. A tactical switch from Rosenborg BK.
  • 19' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 23' The referee has no hesitation. Samuel Adegbenro is booked for Rosenborg BK — Yellow card on 23.
  • 28' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 33' Even Hovland is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Rosenborg BK so far.
  • 38' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Andrej Kotnik made 105 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 43' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both NK Maribor and Rosenborg BK are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 48' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 49' Aleks Pihler has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 49.
  • 50' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Alexander Soderlund makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 55' Rosenborg BK is showing some good football. However, Rosenborg BK are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 60' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 60 minutes.
  • 64' Alexander Soderlund does the damage! The net is bulging and Rosenborg BK surge ahead!
  • 64' Rudi Pozeg Vancas gets the nod from NK Maribor. He replaces Dino Hotic and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 68' Rosenborg BK ring the changes. Alexander Soderlund has done his job and it is now time for Pal Helland to step up.
  • 70' Magnificent from Marcos Tavares! That is 5 goals in 105 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 71' The deadlock is broken! Mike Jensen gets on the scoresheet on 71 minutes.
  • 76' Over 76 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 80' Fresh legs for Rosenborg BK! Anders Trondsen comes on to replace Gjermund Asen.
  • 85' NK Maribor make a change. Andrej Kotnik trudges off to be replaced by Martin Kramaric on 85 minutes.
  • 89' The referee has no hesitation. Mike Jensen is booked for Rosenborg BK — Yellow card on 89.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — NK Maribor 1-3 Rosenborg BK.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.23 NK Maribor xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.65 Rosenborg BK xG
I would bet for: NK Maribor or Rosenborg BK 72% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
NK Maribor29% Draw28% Rosenborg BK43%
Actual: Rosenborg BK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

NK Maribor or Draw
57%
Draw or Rosenborg BK
71%
NK Maribor or Rosenborg BK
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
NK Maribor22% Draw45% Rosenborg BK33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 1
8.4%
0 – 2
7.5%
0 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — NK Maribor

Handicap NK Maribor covers Push Rosenborg BK covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 16% 73%
-0.5 27% — 73%
+0.5 54% — 46%
+1 54% 21% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

NK Maribor keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Rosenborg BK keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.