Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Morecambe FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Tue 1 Nov 2022 · 19:45 UTC Mazuma Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
Morecambe FC 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov Derby County FC H 1–1 D
29 Oct Wycombe Wanderers FC A 1–1 D
25 Oct Cheltenham Town FC A 0–1 L
22 Oct Barnsley FC H 1–0 W
15 Oct Burton Albion FC A 1–1 D
08 Oct Ipswich Town FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov Morecambe FC A 1–1 D
29 Oct Bristol Rovers FC H 4–2 W
25 Oct Exeter City FC H 0–0 D
21 Oct Ipswich Town FC A 0–1 L
15 Oct Accrington Stanley FC A 3–0 W
08 Oct Port Vale FC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Morecambe FC and Derby County FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' Haydon Roberts has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 341 appearances.
  • 20' Morecambe FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
  • 25' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 30' Kieran Phillips has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 35' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Morecambe FC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 40' Jacob Bedeau has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 41' That is a Yellow card for Derby County FC. David McGoldrick will be fuming at that decision.
  • 46' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Morecambe FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 47' A stunning finish from Jensen Weir — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 52' A quiet spell here at Mazuma Stadium. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 53' That is a Yellow card for Morecambe FC. Caleb Watts will be fuming at that decision.
  • 58' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 59' Louie Sibley is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the midfielder.
  • 60' The Morecambe FC bench stirs into life. Caleb Watts is withdrawn and Dylan Connolly gets his opportunity.
  • 65' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 70' Morecambe FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
  • 73' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — David McGoldrick exits the field as William Osula enters on 73.
  • 74' Another change for Morecambe FC made on 74 minute. Kieran Phillips leaves to be changed by Cole Stockton.
  • 79' Derby County FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 81' Derby County FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 84' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing departs to be replaced by Liam Thompson.
  • 89' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.13 Morecambe FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Morecambe FC or Derby County FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Morecambe FC38% Draw31% Derby County FC31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Morecambe FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Derby County FC
62%
Morecambe FC or Derby County FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Morecambe FC25% Draw52% Derby County FC23%
Actual: Morecambe FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.4%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
2.8%
3 – 0
2.5%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Morecambe FC

Handicap Morecambe FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 20% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 19% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Morecambe FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.