Saturday , 14 November 2026

Morecambe FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Tue 1 Nov 2022 · 19:45 UTC Mazuma Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
Morecambe FC 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov Derby County FC H 1–1 D
29 Oct Wycombe Wanderers FC A 1–1 D
25 Oct Cheltenham Town FC A 0–1 L
22 Oct Barnsley FC H 1–0 W
15 Oct Burton Albion FC A 1–1 D
08 Oct Ipswich Town FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov Morecambe FC A 1–1 D
29 Oct Bristol Rovers FC H 4–2 W
25 Oct Exeter City FC H 0–0 D
21 Oct Ipswich Town FC A 0–1 L
15 Oct Accrington Stanley FC A 3–0 W
08 Oct Port Vale FC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Morecambe FC host Derby County FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Craig Forsyth made 397 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Liam Gibson suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 30' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 35' Morecambe FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
  • 40' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 41' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for David McGoldrick.
  • 46' Morecambe FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
  • 47' GOAL! Jensen Weir scores on 45.
  • 52' Connor Ripley is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Derby County FC tonight.
  • 53' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Caleb Watts.
  • 58' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 59' GOAL! Louie Sibley fires home to make it 1-1!
  • 60' Dylan Connolly is replacing Caleb Watts for the Morecambe FC side.
  • 65' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 70' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Morecambe FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 73' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. David McGoldrick is withdrawn and William Osula gets his opportunity.
  • 74' The whistle greets Kieran Phillips as he departs to be replaced by Cole Stockton.
  • 79' It looks like no one’s ball. Morecambe FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 81' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Eiran Cashin.
  • 84' The crowd applauds Nathaniel Mendez-Laing as he leaves the pitch. Liam Thompson steps in for Derby County FC.
  • 89' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.13 Morecambe FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Morecambe FC or Derby County FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Morecambe FC38% Draw31% Derby County FC31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Morecambe FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Derby County FC
62%
Morecambe FC or Derby County FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Morecambe FC25% Draw52% Derby County FC23%
Actual: Morecambe FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.4%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
2.8%
3 – 0
2.5%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Morecambe FC

Handicap Morecambe FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 20% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 19% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Morecambe FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.