Sunday , 16 August 2026

Morecambe FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Tue 1 Nov 2022 · 19:45 UTC Mazuma Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
Morecambe FC 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov Derby County FC H 1–1 D
29 Oct Wycombe Wanderers FC A 1–1 D
25 Oct Cheltenham Town FC A 0–1 L
22 Oct Barnsley FC H 1–0 W
15 Oct Burton Albion FC A 1–1 D
08 Oct Ipswich Town FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov Morecambe FC A 1–1 D
29 Oct Bristol Rovers FC H 4–2 W
25 Oct Exeter City FC H 0–0 D
21 Oct Ipswich Town FC A 0–1 L
15 Oct Accrington Stanley FC A 3–0 W
08 Oct Port Vale FC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Morecambe FC gets underway.
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Morecambe FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Liam Rosenior might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 15' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 20' Morecambe FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 25' Morecambe FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 35' A quiet spell here at Mazuma Stadium. Morecambe FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 40' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 41' David McGoldrick is having his name booked by the referee on 41.
  • 46' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 47' A goal from the England international Jensen Weir! He fires home on 45 to make it 1-0!
  • 52' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 52.
  • 53' Poor challenge from Caleb Watts. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 58' Anthony O'Connor has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 59' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Louie Sibley makes it 1-1.
  • 60' Morecambe FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dylan Connolly is hanging Caleb Watts on the field on 60 minute.
  • 65' It is a cagey affair so far. Morecambe FC in their trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact .
  • 70' Joseph Wildsmith is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
  • 73' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! William Osula comes on to replace David McGoldrick.
  • 74' The Morecambe FC manager makes a substitution. Kieran Phillips departs to be replaced by Cole Stockton.
  • 79' Morecambe FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 81' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Eiran Cashin.
  • 84' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing is replaced by Liam Thompson on 84 minute.
  • 89' It looks surprising Morecambe FC does not make any changes. William Osula has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.13 Morecambe FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Morecambe FC or Derby County FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Morecambe FC38% Draw31% Derby County FC31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Morecambe FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Derby County FC
62%
Morecambe FC or Derby County FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Morecambe FC25% Draw52% Derby County FC23%
Actual: Morecambe FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.4%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
2.8%
3 – 0
2.5%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Morecambe FC

Handicap Morecambe FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 20% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 19% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Morecambe FC keeps clean sheet
35%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.