Thursday , 2 July 2026

Morecambe FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Tue 1 Nov 2022 · 19:45 UTC Mazuma Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
Morecambe FC 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov Derby County FC H 1–1 D
29 Oct Wycombe Wanderers FC A 1–1 D
25 Oct Cheltenham Town FC A 0–1 L
22 Oct Barnsley FC H 1–0 W
15 Oct Burton Albion FC A 1–1 D
08 Oct Ipswich Town FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov Morecambe FC A 1–1 D
29 Oct Bristol Rovers FC H 4–2 W
25 Oct Exeter City FC H 0–0 D
21 Oct Ipswich Town FC A 0–1 L
15 Oct Accrington Stanley FC A 3–0 W
08 Oct Port Vale FC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Mazuma Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Morecambe FC and Derby County FC.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Louie Sibley, as he is very good at scoring at Mazuma Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 30' It’s high time Liam Rosenior made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Morecambe FC that had 98 games and scored 108 goals.
  • 40' Kieran Phillips needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 41' Derby County FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 46' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 47' What a strike from Jensen Weir! The score is 1-0.
  • 52' Morecambe FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 53' Caleb Watts was booked on 53.
  • 58' It looks surprising Morecambe FC does not make any changes. Craig Forsyth has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 59' What an equalizer from Louie Sibley!
  • 60' Dylan Connolly has so much to prove this time. He replaces Caleb Watts on 60 minute.
  • 65' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Liam Thompson made 385 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 70' Jacob Bedeau has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 17 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 73' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. David McGoldrick is replaced by William Osula.
  • 74' Another change for Morecambe FC made on 74 minute. Kieran Phillips leaves to be changed by Cole Stockton.
  • 79' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Morecambe FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 81' A meaty challenge results in booking for Eiran Cashin on 81.
  • 84' The whistle greets Nathaniel Mendez-Laing as he departs to be replaced by Liam Thompson.
  • 89' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.13 Morecambe FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Morecambe FC or Derby County FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Morecambe FC38% Draw31% Derby County FC31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Morecambe FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Derby County FC
62%
Morecambe FC or Derby County FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Morecambe FC25% Draw52% Derby County FC23%
Actual: Morecambe FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.4%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
2.8%
3 – 0
2.5%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Morecambe FC

Handicap Morecambe FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 20% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 19% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Morecambe FC keeps clean sheet
35%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.