Thursday , 2 July 2026

Ipswich Town FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Fri 21 Oct 2022 · 19:00 UTC Portman Road HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Derby County FC H 1–0 W
15 Oct Lincoln City FC H 0–1 L
08 Oct Morecambe FC A 2–1 W
04 Oct Cambridge United FC H 3–0 W
01 Oct Portsmouth FC H 3–2 W
25 Sep Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Ipswich Town FC A 0–1 L
15 Oct Accrington Stanley FC A 3–0 W
08 Oct Port Vale FC H 1–2 L
01 Oct Cambridge United FC A 2–0 W
17 Sep Wycombe Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
13 Sep Lincoln City FC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.13 Ipswich Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Ipswich Town FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ipswich Town FC41% Draw30% Derby County FC29%
Actual: Ipswich Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Ipswich Town FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Derby County FC
59%
Ipswich Town FC or Derby County FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Ipswich Town FC25% Draw53% Derby County FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
13.8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
7%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
2.8%
3 – 0
2.6%
1 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Ipswich Town FC

Handicap Ipswich Town FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 21% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 19% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Ipswich Town FC keeps clean sheet
36%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.