Thursday , 2 July 2026

Montpellier HSC vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2025-26
Sat 20 Sep 2025 · 12:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
Montpellier HSC 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals SC Bastia

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep SC Bastia H 2–0 W
15 Sep En Avant Guingamp A 0–1 L
29 Aug Amiens SC H 1–1 D
23 Aug ES Troyes AC A 0–1 L
18 Aug Le Mans FC A 2–1 W
09 Aug Red Star FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep Montpellier HSC A 0–2 L
16 Sep US Boulogne Cote d'Opale A 0–1 L
12 Sep Amiens SC A 0–0 D
30 Aug En Avant Guingamp H 1–3 L
22 Aug Le Mans FC A 0–1 L
15 Aug Pau FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Montpellier HSC SC Bastia
#14 Position #3
0 Points 28
0 Played 34
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 5 / 13 / 16
0 Scored 23
0 Conceded 42
+0 GD -19
PPG 0.82
Win % 15%

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Montpellier HSC are 14th (0 pts). SC Bastia are 3rd (28 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Montpellier HSC Lineups

SC Bastia Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.81 Montpellier HSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.3 SC Bastia xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 89% + Under — clean sheet likely 83%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Montpellier HSC48% Draw38% SC Bastia14%
Actual: Montpellier HSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes17% 0% No83%
Avg goals/match: 1.11
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 64%
36%
± 1.5 31%
69%
± 2.5 11%
89%
± 3.5 3%
97%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Montpellier HSC or Draw
86%
Draw or SC Bastia
52%
Montpellier HSC or SC Bastia
62%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Montpellier HSC24% Draw70% SC Bastia6%
Actual: Montpellier HSC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
35.8%
1 – 0
25.1%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9%
0 – 1
8.1%
2 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
2.6%
1 – 2
1.2%
0 – 2
1.2%
3 – 1
1.1%
2 – 2
0.7%
4 – 0
0.5%

Asian Handicap — Montpellier HSC

Handicap Montpellier HSC covers Push SC Bastia covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 29% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 9% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
74%
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
45%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.