Thursday , 2 July 2026

Le Mans FC vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2025-26
1 0
Full Time
Fri 22 Aug 2025 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Le Mans FC vs SC BastiaLigue 2 .

Match Details

  • Referee Thierry Bouille (France)

Head-to-Head

1
Le Mans FC 1 games · Avg 1.0 goals SC Bastia

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Aug SC Bastia H 1–0 W
18 Aug Montpellier HSC H 1–2 L
09 Aug En Avant Guingamp A 3–3 D
06 Mar FC Chambly Oise A 2–2 D
28 Feb En Avant Guingamp H 2–1 W
21 Feb AC Ajaccio A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Aug Le Mans FC A 0–1 L
15 Aug Pau FC H 1–1 D
10 May SM Caen H 2–1 W
02 May En Avant Guingamp A 2–2 D
25 Apr Grenoble Foot 38 H 2–3 L
19 Apr Paris FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Le Mans FC SC Bastia
#2 Position #3
62 Points 28
34 Played 34
16 / 14 / 4 W / D / L 5 / 13 / 16
50 Scored 23
31 Conceded 42
+19 GD -19
1.82 PPG 0.82
47% Win % 15%

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Le Mans FC are 2nd (62 pts). SC Bastia are 3rd (28 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Le Mans FC Lineups

SC Bastia Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.55 Le Mans FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.52 SC Bastia xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 67% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Le Mans FC60% Draw26% SC Bastia14%
Actual: Le Mans FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes33% 0% No67%
Avg goals/match: 2.07
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Le Mans FC or Draw
86%
Draw or SC Bastia
40%
Le Mans FC or SC Bastia
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Le Mans FC41% Draw51% SC Bastia8%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.8%
2 – 0
14.7%
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
7.7%
3 – 0
7.5%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
4.1%
4 – 0
2.9%
1 – 2
2.5%
2 – 2
2.1%
4 – 1
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Le Mans FC

Handicap Le Mans FC covers Push SC Bastia covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 19% 66%
-1.5 34% 66%
-1 34% 28% 38%
-0.5 62% 38%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 8% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Le Mans FC keeps clean sheet
60%
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.