Sunday , 16 August 2026

Le Mans FC vs Montpellier HSC, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2025-26
Mon 18 Aug 2025 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
Le Mans FC 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Montpellier HSC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Aug Montpellier HSC H 1–2 L
09 Aug En Avant Guingamp A 3–3 D
06 Mar FC Chambly Oise A 2–2 D
28 Feb En Avant Guingamp H 2–1 W
21 Feb AC Ajaccio A 0–2 L
14 Feb Rodez Aveyron Football H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Aug Le Mans FC A 2–1 W
09 Aug Red Star FC H 1–1 D
17 May FC Nantes A 0–3 L
10 May Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–4 L
04 May Stade Brestois 29 A 0–1 L
27 Apr Stade de Reims H 0–0 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Montpellier HSC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Montpellier HSC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Le Mans FC Lineups

Montpellier HSC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.28 Le Mans FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 Montpellier HSC xG
I would bet for: Le Mans FC or Montpellier HSC 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Le Mans FC36% Draw29% Montpellier HSC35%
Actual: Montpellier HSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Le Mans FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Montpellier HSC
64%
Le Mans FC or Montpellier HSC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Le Mans FC26% Draw48% Montpellier HSC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
9.9%
1 – 0
8.9%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.3%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Le Mans FC

Handicap Le Mans FC covers Push Montpellier HSC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 19% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Le Mans FC keeps clean sheet
29%
Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.