Sunday , 16 August 2026

ES Troyes AC vs Montpellier HSC, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2025-26
Sat 23 Aug 2025 · 12:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Montpellier HSC H 1–0 W
15 Aug Clermont Foot 63 A 0–0 D
09 Aug Grenoble Foot 38 H 2–1 W
10 May Amiens SC H 1–0 W
02 May Grenoble Foot 38 A 1–3 L
25 Apr USL Dunkerque H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug ES Troyes AC A 0–1 L
18 Aug Le Mans FC A 2–1 W
09 Aug Red Star FC H 1–1 D
17 May FC Nantes A 0–3 L
10 May Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–4 L
04 May Stade Brestois 29 A 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Montpellier HSC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Montpellier HSC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

ES Troyes AC Lineups

Montpellier HSC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.28 ES Troyes AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86 Montpellier HSC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ES Troyes AC48% Draw29% Montpellier HSC23%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.14
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

ES Troyes AC or Draw
77%
Draw or Montpellier HSC
52%
ES Troyes AC or Montpellier HSC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ES Troyes AC30% Draw52% Montpellier HSC18%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.1%
1 – 1
13.9%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
9.2%
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
3.9%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 2
1.6%

Asian Handicap — ES Troyes AC

Handicap ES Troyes AC covers Push Montpellier HSC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 24% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
43%
Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.