Minnesota United FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2026

Minnesota United FC

1 – 0

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sat 28 Feb 2026 · 21:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Minnesota United FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS .

Minnesota United FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Minnesota United FC 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-28 Minnesota United FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati 2024-09-19 Minnesota United FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-05-08 Minnesota United FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2020-10-24 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Minnesota United FC 2020-10-04 Minnesota United FC 2–0 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

Minnesota United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Feb	FC Cincinnati	H	1–0	W
22 Feb	Austin FC	A	2–2	D
19 Oct	Los Angeles Galaxy	A	1–2	L
05 Oct	Sporting Kansas City	H	3–0	W
28 Sep	Colorado Rapids SC	A	1–1	D
21 Sep	Chicago Fire FC	H	0–3	L

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Feb	Minnesota United FC	A	0–1	L
21 Feb	Atlanta United FC	H	2–0	W
18 Oct	Montreal Impact FC	H	3–0	W
04 Oct	New York Red Bulls	A	1–0	W
28 Sep	Orlando City SC	H	1–1	D
21 Sep	Los Angeles Galaxy	A	3–2	W

Season Stats

Minnesota United FC		FC Cincinnati
#29	Position	#9
29	Points	33
27	Played	26
7 / 8 / 12	W / D / L	8 / 9 / 9
40	Scored	55
49	Conceded	64
-9	GD	-9
1.07	PPG	1.27
26%	Win %	31%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season

15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Minnesota United FC are 29th (29 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Minnesota United FC

0-15

4/7

16-30

4/9

31-45

6/2

46-60

4/5

61-75

7/4

76+

5/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

4/3

16-30

5/9

31-45

9/9

46-60

5/11

61-75

4/4

76+

13/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Minnesota United FC

Kelvin Yeboah	14 G	2 A
Anthony Markanich	8 G	2 A

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	14 G	1 A
Evander	13 G	7 A
Tom Barlow	7 G	2 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Minnesota United FC vs FC Cincinnati — let the football do the talking.
Minnesota United FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Minnesota United FC Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin Molino	2
Ike Opara	2
Yuya Kubo	1
Angelo Rodriguez	1
Luca Orellano	1
Ethan Finlay	1
Mason Toye	1
Hassani Dotson	1

Head to Head

Minnesota United FC Form

2026-02-28 Minnesota United FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati W 2026-02-22 Austin FC 2–2 Minnesota United FC D 2025-10-19 Los Angeles Galaxy 2–1 Minnesota United FC L 2025-10-05 Minnesota United FC 3–0 Sporting Kansas City W 2025-09-28 Colorado Rapids SC 1–1 Minnesota United FC D 2025-09-21 Minnesota United FC 0–3 Chicago Fire FC L

FC Cincinnati Form

2026-02-28 Minnesota United FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati L 2026-02-21 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Atlanta United FC W 2025-10-18 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Montreal Impact FC W 2025-10-04 New York Red Bulls 0–1 FC Cincinnati W 2025-09-28 FC Cincinnati 1–1 Orlando City SC D 2025-09-21 Los Angeles Galaxy 2–3 FC Cincinnati W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.87 Minnesota United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.53 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Minnesota United FC46% Draw25% FC Cincinnati29%

Actual: Minnesota United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.4

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	65%	35%
± 3.5	44%	56%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

Minnesota United FC or Draw

70%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

54%

Minnesota United FC or FC Cincinnati

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Minnesota United FC34% Draw41% FC Cincinnati25%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.4%

2 – 1

8.6%

1 – 2

2 – 2

6.5%

2 – 0

5.9%

1 – 0

Actual

3 – 1

5.3%

0 – 0

4.8%

0 – 1

4.4%

3 – 2

4.1%

0 – 2

3.9%

3 – 0

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Minnesota United FC

Handicap	Minnesota United FC covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	14%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	20%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	69%	—	31%
+1	69%	16%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	9%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✗

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.