Thursday , 2 July 2026

Milton Keynes Dons FC vs Plymouth Argyle FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 15 Oct 2022 · 14:00 UTC Stadium mk HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Oct Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–4 L
11 Oct Bristol Rovers FC H 0–1 L
08 Oct Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–2 L
01 Oct Peterborough United FC H 2–3 L
17 Sep Oxford United FC A 2–1 W
13 Sep Bolton Wanderers FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Oct Milton Keynes Dons FC A 4–1 W
08 Oct Accrington Stanley FC H 3–0 W
04 Oct Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–1 W
01 Oct Wycombe Wanderers FC A 1–0 W
25 Sep Ipswich Town FC H 2–1 W
17 Sep Portsmouth FC A 2–2 D

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Milton Keynes Dons FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 9' What a strike from Morgan Whittaker! The score is 0-1.
  • 14' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 19' It looks like no one’s ball. Plymouth Argyle FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 24' Nathan Holland has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 25' What a strike from Niall Ennis! The score is 0-2.
  • 30' It’s high time Liam Manning made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 35' The travelling Plymouth Argyle FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 37' What a strike from Finn Azaz! The score is 0-3.
  • 42' Plymouth Argyle FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 42.
  • 47' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jordan Houghton, as he is very good at scoring at Stadium mk with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 49' GOAL! Will Grigg scores on 49.
  • 54' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Plymouth Argyle FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 59' GOAL! Finn Azaz scores on 59.
  • 62' Another substitution for Plymouth Argyle FC to replace Bali Mumba by Conor Grant on 62 minute.
  • 67' Ethan Robson is replacing Josh McEachran for the Milton Keynes Dons FC side.
  • 68' Milton Keynes Dons FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Matthew Dennis is hanging Nathan Holland on the field on 68 minute.
  • 70' Ethan Robson is having his name booked by the referee on 70.
  • 75' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jamie Cumming made 409 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 80' Plymouth Argyle FC is showing some good football. However, Plymouth Argyle FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 81' Another change for Milton Keynes Dons FC made on 81 minute. Will Grigg leaves to be changed by Matthew Smith.
  • 85' Jamie Cumming was booked on 85.
  • 87' The supporters are chanting for Sam Cosgrove. He replaces Adam Randell on 87 minute.
  • Another three points for Plymouth Argyle FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.32 Milton Keynes Dons FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67 Plymouth Argyle FC xG
I would bet for: Milton Keynes Dons FC or Plymouth Argyle FC 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Milton Keynes Dons FC29% Draw27% Plymouth Argyle FC44%
Actual: Plymouth Argyle FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Milton Keynes Dons FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Plymouth Argyle FC
71%
Milton Keynes Dons FC or Plymouth Argyle FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Milton Keynes Dons FC23% Draw44% Plymouth Argyle FC33%
Actual: Plymouth Argyle FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
12%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
7.6%
2 – 1
7%
0 – 2
6.9%
0 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 0
5.8%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
4.4%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Milton Keynes Dons FC

Handicap Milton Keynes Dons FC covers Push Plymouth Argyle FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 16% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 21% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Milton Keynes Dons FC keeps clean sheet
20%
Plymouth Argyle FC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.