Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Millwall FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 16 Aug 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Nield
4 games this season 🟨 1.5/game ⚽ 2.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug Middlesbrough FC H 0–3 L
09 Aug Norwich City FC A 2–1 W
03 May Burnley FC A 1–3 L
26 Apr Swansea City AFC H 1–0 W
21 Apr Norwich City FC H 3–1 W
18 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug Millwall FC A 3–0 W
09 Aug Swansea City AFC H 1–0 W
03 May Coventry City FC A 0–2 L
26 Apr Norwich City FC H 0–0 D
21 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC A 1–2 L
18 Apr Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Millwall FC Middlesbrough FC
#11 Position #3
11 Points 15
8 Played 8
3 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 4 / 3 / 1
15 Scored 16
15 Conceded 12
+0 GD +4
1.38 PPG 1.88
38% Win % 50%

Key Stats

41% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
35% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
38% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
13% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 3rd (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Millwall FC
Lyndon Dykes 4 G 1 A
Tairyk Arconte 3 G
Josh Coburn 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G
Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 6 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Millwall FC Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.58 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.02 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC or Middlesbrough FC 75% + Over 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC31% Draw25% Middlesbrough FC44%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.6
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
69%
Millwall FC or Middlesbrough FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC24% Draw40% Middlesbrough FC36%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
1 – 2
8.5%
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 3
5.7%
0 – 2
5.6%
0 – 1
5%
2 – 3
4.5%
0 – 0
4.1%
1 – 0
3.7%
0 – 3
Actual
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 15% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 20% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 14% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.