Thursday , 2 July 2026

Oxford United FC vs Southampton FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Oxford United FC
2 – 1
Full Time
Southampton FC
Fri 26 Dec 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Oxford United FC vs Southampton FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Leigh Doughty

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Coventry City FC 46 95
2 Ipswich Town FC 46 84
3 Millwall FC 46 83
4 Southampton FC 46 80
5 Middlesbrough FC 46 80
6 Hull City AFC 46 73
7 Wrexham AFC 46 71
8 Derby County FC 46 69
9 Norwich City FC 46 65
10 Birmingham City FC 46 64
11 Swansea City AFC 46 64
12 Bristol City FC 46 62
13 Sheffield United FC 46 60
14 Preston North End FC 46 60
15 Queens Park Rangers FC 46 58
16 Watford FC 46 57
17 Stoke City FC 46 55
18 Portsmouth FC 46 55
19 Charlton Athletic FC 46 53
20 Blackburn Rovers FC 46 52
21 West Bromwich Albion FC 46 51
22 Oxford United FC 46 47
23 Leicester City FC 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday FC 46 0

Head-to-Head

1
1
Oxford United FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Southampton FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-12-26 Oxford United FC 2–1 Southampton FC

Recent Form

Oxford United FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Southampton FC H 2–1 W
20 Dec Charlton Athletic FC A 0–1 L
13 Dec Preston North End FC H 1–2 L
09 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–1 D
06 Dec Swansea City AFC A 0–2 L
28 Nov Ipswich Town FC H 2–1 W
Southampton FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Oxford United FC A 1–2 L
20 Dec Coventry City FC H 1–1 D
13 Dec Norwich City FC A 1–2 L
09 Dec West Bromwich Albion FC H 3–2 W
06 Dec Birmingham City FC H 3–1 W
29 Nov Millwall FC A 2–3 L

Season Stats

Oxford United FC Southampton FC
#22 Position #4
47 Points 80
46 Played 46
11 / 14 / 21 W / D / L 22 / 14 / 10
45 Scored 82
59 Conceded 56
-14 GD +26
1.02 PPG 1.74
24% Win % 48%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Oxford United FC are 22nd (47 pts). Southampton FC are 4th (80 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Oxford United FC Lineups

Southampton FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.55 Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Oxford United FC or Southampton FC 74% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Oxford United FC43% Draw26% Southampton FC31%
Actual: Oxford United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Southampton FC
57%
Oxford United FC or Southampton FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Oxford United FC29% Draw44% Southampton FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.8%
1 – 0
6.9%
0 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.9%
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap Oxford United FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 19% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 18% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.