Thursday , 1 October 2026

Southampton FC vs Coventry City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 20 Dec 2025 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Coventry City FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Adam Herczeg
5 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 11.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Dec Coventry City FC H 1–1 D
13 Dec Norwich City FC A 1–2 L
09 Dec West Bromwich Albion FC H 3–2 W
06 Dec Birmingham City FC H 3–1 W
29 Nov Millwall FC A 2–3 L
25 Nov Leicester City FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Dec Southampton FC A 1–1 D
13 Dec Bristol City FC H 1–0 W
09 Dec Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
06 Dec Ipswich Town FC A 0–3 L
29 Nov Charlton Athletic FC H 3–1 W
25 Nov Middlesbrough FC A 4–2 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
5/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/1
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Southampton FC
Cyle Larin 7 G
Finn Azaz 3 G 4 A
Leo Scienza 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Southampton FC Lineups

Coventry City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.57 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Coventry City FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC47% Draw27% Coventry City FC26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Coventry City FC
53%
Southampton FC or Coventry City FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC33% Draw47% Coventry City FC20%
Actual: Coventry City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 0
8.8%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Coventry City FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Coventry City FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.